FT : NMC Health discovers further $1.2bn of undisclosed debt

NMC Health discovers further $1.2bn of undisclosed debt
Liabilities balloon at former FTSE 100 group with suspected fraud in its finance

NMC Health has discovered it has a further $1.2bn of undisclosed debt in the latest damaging revelation from the troubled healthcare provider, which earlier this month said it had found evidence of suspected fraud in its finances.

The Middle East-focused group said on Tuesday that its net debt had ballooned to $6.6bn after investigations uncovered more than $1bn of facilities that had not been flagged to the board, as well as about $50m of cheques used as guarantees.

The company’s last reported debt figure was $2.1bn, meaning that it has now discovered more than $4bn of loans that it had no knowledge of before a report by short-seller Muddy Waters in December raised questions about the extent of its financial position. 

At the time, the company denied the allegations of financial impropriety, but it has since admitted that it has found evidence of suspected fraud.

The crisis at NMC has raised questions about how a former FTSE 100 company in apparent good health and supported by several blue-chip financial advisers could have such huge holes in its accounts.

The Financial Conduct Authority is investigating the company, which has had its shares suspended since the end of February. Last month Prasanth Manghat was fired as chief executive, while chief financial officer Prashanth Shenoy resigned on Tuesday.

This month, the group said that it had uncovered more than $2.7bn in debt facilities previously not disclosed or approved by the board, more than twice its reported net debt position.

On Tuesday NMC revealed a complex web of loans, facilities and cheque guarantees.

The company has bilateral and syndicated debt obligations comprising more than 75 debt facilities from over 80 financial institutions, it said, with work ongoing to verify outstanding debt obligations. 

Its debt position is now estimated to be about $6.6bn, including a $360m convertible bond, a $400m sukuk — a bond structured to comply with sharia law — and billions of dollars of newly identified facilities.

Another $50m of cheques written by group companies and used as security for financing arrangements for others were also discovered.

NMC said it was continuing to work with its advisers — which include former FBI director Louis Freeh, who was appointed in January to investigate the allegations by Muddy Waters — to understand the nature and size of the undisclosed facilities, “including the circumstances in which they were obtained”. 

The board said that it believed that some of the proceeds may have been used for purposes outside the company, and it is trying to trace the proceeds and see if it can recover any cash.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • N/A

Other news:

  • MIST -72% (announces top-line results from Phase 3 NODE-301 trial of etripamil for PSVT misses primary endpoint)
  • NYMT -35% (suspends dividends; notifies financing counterparties that it does not expect to fund existing and anticipated future margin calls)
  • VXX -15.16% (falling with Futures rising in pre-mkt)
  • LC -1% (says "vigilantly" monitoring performance)

Analyst comments:

  • VSH -1% (downgraded to Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up -

With US futures up over 4%, most stocks are trading higher. The following represents stocks with specific catalysts.
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:

  • QIWI +7.2%, LX +6%

Select ETFs showing strength:

  • GDX +12.7%, IGV +7.3%, XLI +5.1%, XLE +4.8%, XLK +4.8%, DIA +4.5%, XLF +4.4%, SPY +4.4%, WWW +4.3%, IWM +4.3%, GLD +3.9%

Other news:

  • NVAX +45% (achieves all primary endpoints in phase 3 clinical trial)
  • CTMX +37% (CytomX Therapeutics and Astellas announce strategic collaboration to develop Probody T-Cell engaging bispecific therapies for treatment of cancer )
  • VAPO +23% (has seen significant increase in demand for Vapotherm Precision Flow)
  • MMX +17.6% (impacts of the outbreak of COVID-19 as it relates to the Company's royalty and stream interests)
  • ARCC +13% (provides COVID-19 update)
  • NAT +8.2% (doubles dividend)
  • VALE +9.5% (updates on the outbreak of the coronavirus and implications for Malaysia distribution center)
  • CCJ +8.7% (temporarily suspends production at Cigar Lake mine)
  • ZG +8.1% (withdraws 2020 guidance but expects Q1 to be within or exceed prior guidance)
  • JWN +8.1% (announces measures to strengthen financial position)
  • PSX +6.9% (announces actions in response to the challenging business environment)
  • IRBT +4.4% (withdraws FY20 guidance; guides Q1 revs below consensus)

Analyst comments:

  • SPCE +16.8% ( upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
  • TSLA +6.5% (upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS)
  • INTC +6.4% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Exane BNP Paribas)
  • NVDA +6.4% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Needham)
  • KO +6.3% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at HSBC Securities)
  • XLNX +5% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

  • Gapping up: Most stocks trading higher with Futures limit up
    • ZG +36%, CTMX +29%, VAPO +28%, ARCC +13%, NAT +6.3%, XLE +6.2%, XLK +6.2%, SPY +5.2%, IRBT +4.3%, GILD +4%
  • Gapping down:
    • MIST -75%, VXX -16.6%, LC -1%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 24rd of March 2020 V2(+)

>>> Up
* A2A Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 1.20 euros (yest. Morn)
* Akzo Nobel Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 65 euros
* Arkema Raised to Buy at Redburn (+)
* Aveva Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 3,758 pence (+)
* BMW Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT 45 euros
* DSV Panalpina Raised to Buy at Jyske Bank; PT 650 kroner (+)
* Elementis Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 85 pence
* Encavis Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 10 euros
* Enel Raised to Buy at LBBW; PT 7 euros (+)
* Entra Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 146 kroner
* Falck Renewables Raised to Accumulate at Banca Akros (ESN) (+)
* FLSmidth Raised to Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 170 kroner (+)
* Fresenius SE Raised to Outperform at Bernstein; PT 37.50 euros (+)
* Fresenius SE ADRs Raised to Outperform at Bernstein; PT $10 (+)
* Hera Raised to Buy at Banca Akros (ESN) (+)
* H&M Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 130 kronor
* Heineken Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 90.80 euros
* Inficon Raised to Buy at Research Partners; PT 650 Swiss francs
* Johnson Matthey Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 2,300 pence
* Nornickel GDRs Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $25
* Oeneo Raised to Add at Gilbert Dupont; PT 12 euros (+)
* Pharmanutra Raised to Outperform at Mediobanca SpA (+)
* Philips Raised to Buy at DZ Bank; PT 37 euros (+)
* PSP Swiss Raised to Buy at Research Partners
* Remedy Entertainment Raised to Hold at SEB Equities
* REN Raised to Buy at Citi
* Sainsbury Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 200 pence
* Snam Raised to Neutral at Citi; PT 3.60 euros
* SoftBank ADRs Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $19.92
* SSH Comms Raised to Reduce at Inderes; PT 70 euro cents (+)
* SSP Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 260 pence
* Stora Enso Oyj Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 10 euros
* Subsea 7 Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 70 kroner
* Tele2 Raised to Hold at Danske Bank Markets; PT 133 kronor (+)
* Tesco Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 250 pence

>>> Down
* Aeroports de Paris Cut to Reduce at Oddo BHF; PT 102 euros (+)
* Airbus Cut to Sell at SocGen; PT 38 euros (+)
* Airbus Cut to Hold at Commerzbank; PT 70 euros (+)
* AB InBev PT Cut to 55.20 euros from 94.60 euros at Berenberg
* Acciona Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 90 euros
* Airbus Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 65 euros
* Airbus PT Cut to 69 euros from 144 euros at Barclays (+)
* Apple PT Cut to $260 from $343 at Piper Sandler (+)
* Ashtead PT Cut to 1,400 pence from 2,400 pence at Deutsche Bank
* Bechtle PT Cut to 114 euros from 154 euros at Bankhaus Metzler (+)
* Carlo Gavazzi Cut to Hold at Research Partners
* Covestro Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 24 euros
* Enel Cut to Sell at Citi; PT 5 euros
* Ferratum Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 3 euros
* Fincantieri Cut to Neutral at Banca Akros (ESN) (+)
* HSBC Cut to Sell at SocGen; PT 450 pence
* Kone Oyj Cut to Sell at Danske Bank Markets; PT 42.50 euros (+)
* MTU Aero Cut to Sell at LBBW; PT 100 euros (+)
* Pearson Cut to Reduce at AlphaValue
* PGS ASA Cut to Hold at Arctic Securities; PT 4 kroner
* RPS Group PT Cut to 60 pence from 160 pence at Liberum (+)
* Saint-Gobain PT Cut to 27 euros from 42 euros at Oddo BHF (+)
* Securitas PT Cut to 80 kronor from 135 kronor at Deutsche Bank
* Umicore Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 32.70 euros
* Zalando Cut to Add at Baader Helvea; PT 36 euros

>>> Initiation


>>> Call
* Airbus Better Protected Than Boeing in Virus Downturn: Barclays
* Heineken, Carlsberg Raised at Berenberg as Defensive Picks
* Covid-19 Is Opportunity for German IT Service Firms: Berenberg
* European Airports Face $15 Billion Revenue Loss on Virus
* Fresenius Upgraded; Bernstein Says Stock a Bargain After Rout (+)
* H&M Measures Make it Relative Winner, Upgraded at Citi
* Hugo Boss CEO’s Resignation ‘Eventually’ Positive for Market: DB (+)
* Oil Majors in ‘Survival Mode,’ Berenberg Says, Cutting Targets (+)
* RBC Slashes Traffic, Earnings Estimates for Toll Road Operators (+)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +13%
  • Airbus (AIR TH) +13%
    • Airbus Cut to Sell at SocGen; PT 38 euros
  • Shell (R6C TH) +9.2%
  • Carnival Plc (POH1 TH) +8.9%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +8.8%
  • OMV (OMV TH) +8.5%
  • Fraport (FRA TH) +8.5%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) +8.5%
  • Dialog Semi (DLG TH) +8.4%
  • ING (INN1 TH) +7.7%
  • SEB (SEBA TH) -3.3%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +8.7%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) +8.5%
  • HeidelbergCement (HEI TH) +7.2%
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) +7%
    • World’s Major Airlines Ground Jets, Idle Employees
  • Wirecard (WDI TH) +6.9%
  • E.On (EOAN TH) +4.9%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +4.7%
  • Deutsche Telekom (DTE TH) +4.5%
  • Fresenius Medical (FME TH) +3.7%
  • Covestro (1COV TH) +3.6%
    • Covestro Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 24 euros
MDAX:
  • Airbus (AIR TH) +13%
  • ThyssenKrupp (TKA TH) +9.7%
    • Thyssenkrupp Pulls 2019/2020 Forecast on Covid-19
  • Fraport (FRA TH) +9.7%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) +9.4%
    • Mediaset Buys Further 4.25% Stake in P7S1
  • Varta (VAR1 TH) +8.1%
  • RTL (RRTL TH) +3.3%
  • Osram (OSR TH) +2.7%
  • Rocket Internet (RKET TH) +2.3%
  • Telefonica Deutschland (O2D TH) +2.3%
  • Qiagen (QIA TH) +1.9%
SDAX:
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) +15%
    • Nordex 2020 Revenue Forecast Beats Estimates
  • Bertrandt (BDT TH) +14%
  • LPKF (LPK TH) +14%
  • Corestate (CCAP TH) +12%
  • SNP Schneider-Neureither (SHF TH) +12%
  • Hamborner REIT (HAB TH) +4.4%
  • Jenoptik (JEN TH) +4.1%
  • Kloeckner (KCO TH) +3.2%