FT : Banks stuck with $550m stake in Austria’s AMS after rights issue

Banks stuck with $550m stake in Austria’s AMS after rights issue
Lenders including UBS and HSBC left holding shares after poor take-up on equity issuance

Banks including UBS and HSBC are set to be stuck with a $550m (SFr528m) stake in Austrian sensor maker AMS, after a rights issue to help pay for its takeover of Germany’s Osram received a frosty reception from the stock market.

Shares in AMS fell more than 8 per cent on Wednesday to SFr8.75 in Swiss trading, well below the SFr9.20 at which the new stock was underwritten by banks and offered to investors.

Wednesday’s move means that the syndicate of banks placing the shares suffered mark-to-market losses of approximately $27m, net of fees, based on the 57.4m shares in AMS they were left holding. 

UBS and HSBC were the lead underwriters on the AMS rights issue, which raised $1.81bn (SFr1.75bn). Other banks on the syndicate included Bank of America, Citigroup, Commerzbank, Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley and Austria’s Erste Group. UBS and HSBC declined to comment.
Only 70 per cent of the 117.5m shares in AMS were successfully sold to investors, according to company filings.

The shortfall in placing the rights issue is one of the largest since UK banks were left saddled with almost three-quarters of British lender Bradford & Bingley’s £400m capital raise in 2008, according to a banker on the deal.

The situation underscores the challenges AMS has faced in completing an €4.5bn all-cash deal to buy struggling German lighting and sensor group Osram, which was agreed in December. 

The Premstaetten-based tech group makes facial recognition sensors for Apple and Android devices and intends for the acquisition to diversify its business by adding Osram’s large automotive business and expertise in laser sensors.

Those efforts have been hit by the effects of coronavirus, which has ravaged the global economy and sent shares in AMS down more than 72 per cent since February 10, to give it a market value of just over SFr2.6bn.

In December, after failing in a first takeover attempt in which it was pitched against private equity groups Bain and Advent, AMS succeeded in crossing a reduced acceptance threshold of 55 per cent with its second bid, of €41 per share. 

Workers’ representatives remained resolutely opposed to the approach by AMS, which at the time was a third of the size of its takeover target. They argued that it would not be able to manage a large global company and said that job cuts would inevitably follow. 

To placate unions, AMS agreed to rule out merger-related lay-offs until the end of 2022. 

Two weeks ago, to prove its commitment to the deal, AMS revealed that it had used its own cash to increase its holding in Osram to more than 23 per cent.

Osram, which makes lights and lasers for cars, last month scrapped its guidance for the 2020 fiscal year, citing “unprecedented operational and financial challenges”. 

In a statement, the Munich-based business said “the economic impact of the pandemic . . . can neither be adequately determined nor reliably quantified at this time”. It added it was considering the “temporary closure of some of its own production facilities”. 

Osram’s shares are trading at about €30, almost 30 per cent lower than the €41 per share offered by AMS.

FT : Oil tankers: the incredible hulks

Oil tankers: the incredible hulks
The collapse in the price of the black stuff is proving a boon for ship owners

Markets are tanking and tankers are riding high. The oil price collapse, triggered by falling global demand and a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia, is a boon for ship owners. Oil tankers are handy places to store the black stuff in expectation of a price rebound. 

Global oil storage is close to full. An eventual drawdown on stockpiles, when oil production cuts begin, would empty storage vessels and knock demand for ferrying crude. Meanwhile, traders including China’s Unipec, have chartered tankers to lock up inventory. As many as 150 supertankers, which can carry 300m barrels of oil, could be used as floating crude storage for up to a year, Pareto Securities predicts.

Rates for supertankers, which carry 2m barrels of the black stuff, have spiked to $240,000 per day, a 600 per cent increase over the past month, according to broker Clarksons Platou. Bahri, Saudi Arabia’s shipping arm, has hoovered up more than 21 supertankers, or 2.5 per cent of the global fleet. In the past two years it chartered just 10 per year on average.

No surprise, then, that share prices of oil tanker companies such as Belgium’s Euronav, Bermuda-based Frontline and DHT of the US have all fallen less than most landlubber businesses. But earnings-based valuations nevertheless look skinny. The forward enterprise value to ebitda of Euronav is close to 4 times, for example. That is the lowest level since 2008.

Speaking of supply, do not expect many new ship orders. Owners will put these off until the world economy stabilises. A transition to low-carbon propulsion is another reason for them to procrastinate. Tankers typically have a 25-year life. The industry’s carbon-neutral deadline of 2050 means new vessels will soon need to draw their power from sources other than natural gas.

That bodes well for keeping the notoriously cyclical tanker market tight. Oil tankers are a safe place to ride out asset price storms.

>>> US Gappiing down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • PAYS -20.5% (postpones earnings call), BB -14.6%, VRNT -12.3%, GVA -1.1%

Other news:

  • DK -8.5% (to dropdown logistics assets to DKL)
  • MAR -7.8% (disclosing data breach that impacted 5.2 mln customers)
  • CAR -7.5% (attributed to block trade)
  • GIII -6.2% (announces employee furloughs)
  • TWO -6.1% (details additional risk factors in 10-K)
  • NOC -5.3% (files mixed securities shelf offering)
  • SIX -4.5% (adopts short-term stockholder rights plan)
  • MTCH -4.4% (says it's seeing fewer new users joining; also co has delayed several product feature and press launches)
  • HPQ -3.8% (Xerox withdraws its offer to acquire HPQ)
  • AGNC -3.2% (believes that the worst is behind it for its Agency MBS portfolio)
  • MMM -2.4% (provides details about capacity increases of N95 respirators)
  • JKS -2.4% (sings a one-year AUD37 million line of credit agreement with the National Australia Bank)
  • XRX -2.2% (Xerox withdraws its offer to acquire HPQ)
  • SGMS -2.1% (signs new 4-year deal with LOTTO Bayern in Germany)

Analyst comments:

  • SYK -8% (downgraded to Sell from Buy at Goldman)
  • I -5.9% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman; tgt lowered to $0.50)
  • TSLA -3.7% (Bernstein stays Market Perform rated on TSLA, $730 tgt; "materially" lowering 2020 ests)
  • T -3.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan)
  • VAR -2.6% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman )
  • BRKR -2.5% (downgraded to Hold at Needham)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:

  • PUMP +1.8%  

Other news:

  • IFRX +74.3% (doses first patient in trial investigating IFX-1 in patients with severe COVID-19-induced pneumonia)
  • CEMI +32.8% (to launch DPP COVID-19 serological point-of-care test; results in 15 minutes from a simple finger stick)
  • MNK +16.2% (Mallinckrodt plc and Novoteris receive clearance from Health Canada to start pilot trial of high-dose inhaled nitric oxide therapy for COVID-19 infection and associated lung complications)
  • VEL +14% (files to delay its 10-K)
  • INSG +12.2% (ramping up production of its 4G and 5G MiFi mobile hotspots and other wireless connectivity devices in response to record increases in demand)
  • NVAX +8.4% (signs NanoFlu manufacturing agreement with EBS)
  • GCI +8.1% (announces business response to COVID-19)
  • OII +4.5% (confirms Q1 guidance but is withdrawing its full-year 2020 guidance)
  • BP +3.5% (provides COVID-19update)
  • VECO +2.9% (reports prelim Q1 revs in-line with consensus)
  • FLXN +2.9% (enters into an exclusive license agreement with HK Tainuo and Jiangsu Tainuo for the development and commercialization of ZILRETTA)
  • CMTL +2.4% (provides COVID-19 update; withdraws outlook)
  • WSO +2% (increases quarterly dividend to $1.775/share from $1.60/share)

Analyst comments:

  • ABM +0.8% (upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital Markets)

FT : BlackRock applies to set up China mutual fund business

BlackRock applies to set up China mutual fund business
World’s biggest asset manager joins Neuberger Berman in seeking slice of growing market

BlackRock, the world’s biggest asset manager, has applied to set up a mutual fund business in China, taking advantage of the latest liberalisation of the country’s financial services sector.

The China Securities Regulatory Commission said it had accepted applications from BlackRock and US investment manager Neuberger Berman, as authorities on Wednesday removed restrictions on fully foreign-owned fund management companies. Beijing also eliminated the cap on foreign ownership of securities businesses.

The opening of China’s fund industry is a pivotal moment for fund managers eager for a slice of a growing market that offers millions of potential investors for their mutual fund products. Foreign financial services companies and their governments have for the past 20 years been lobbying Beijing for greater participation in its domestic market.

In spite of disruption caused by the coronavirus pandemic, China has in recent months been moving more quickly to allow foreign participation in its financial sector, partly in response to the trade war with the US. Last year officials brought forward the timeline for full foreign ownership of securities, futures and fund management companies to 2020.

Authorities on Friday gave Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley permission to take majority control of their China securities ventures.

BlackRock has long harboured ambitions to expand its China business, and chief executive Larry Fink considers the market one of the company’s largest future opportunities.

“China’s $14tn asset management industry is the third-largest in the world, and as the Chinese market opens to foreign asset managers, our global reach and whole-portfolio approach will help us become the leading foreign asset manager in China,” Mr Fink wrote to shareholders on Sunday.

BlackRock already owns 16.5 per cent of Bank of China Investment Management, part of Bank of China, a legacy holding the asset manager picked up through a past acquisition.

“The rules allow what’s called one plus one, meaning as a foreign firm you can own one majority and one minority stake in a business. So they can keep that stake and do a new business on their own,” said Peter Alexander, managing director of Shanghai consultancy Z-Ben. 

“The real issue now is moving from plans on paper to executing those plans. That will take time,” said Mr Alexander.

The Chinese market is already highly competitive with state-owned banks, private companies, and new financial technology companies offering domestic investors a range of offerings and investment options.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 1st pf April 2020 V2 (+)

>>> Up
* 1&1 Drillisch Raised to Buy at LBBW; PT 25 euros (+)
* Aareal Bank Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 21 euros
* Acerinox Raised to Buy at Oddo BHF; PT 9 euros (+)
* Chemring Group Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 235 pence
* Deutsche Boerse Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Domino's Pizza Group Raised to Buy at Canaccord; PT 320 pence (+)
* Husqvarna Raised to Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 70 kronor (+)
* InterContinental Hotels Raised to Outperform at RBC
* Intesa Sanpaolo Raised to Buy at Banca Akros (ESN) (+)
* Jenoptik Raised to Buy at DZ Bank; PT 19 euros (+)
* J D Wetherspoon Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 1,020 pence
* M&G Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 160 pence
* Man Group Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 154 pence
* Marks & Spencer Raised to Buy at Investec; PT 140 pence (+)
* Marston's Raised to Hold at HSBC; PT 40 pence
* Mitchells & Butlers Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 270 pence
* NNIT Raised to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 85 kroner
* Premier Foods Raised to Buy at Shore Capital (+)
* Proximus Raised to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 21 euros
* Remedy Entertainment Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 18 euros
* Rio Tinto Raised to Outperform at BMO; PT 4,200 pence
* LSE Cut to Reduce at AlphaValue
* Sabadell Cut to Sell at SocGen; PT 39 euro cents
* SCA Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 103 kronor
* Ultra Electronics Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 2,300 pence
* Valora Raised to Hold at MainFirst; PT 200 Swiss francs (+)
* Voltabox Raised to Hold at Hauck & Aufhaeuser; PT 4 euros (+)

>>> Down
* 3i Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 880 pence
* Anglo American Cut to Market Perform at BMO; PT 1,400 pence
* Antofagasta Cut to Market Perform at BMO; PT 750 pence
* Ashmore Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 386 pence
* Beneteau Cut to Reduce at Oddo BHF (+)
* BIC Cut to Reduce at Oddo BHF (+)
* Continental AG PT Cut to 55 euros from 110 euros at Barclays (+)
* Demant Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken
* Fortum Oyj Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 12 euros
* Gestamp PT Cut to 2 euros from 3.20 euros at Barclays (+)
* GN Store Nord Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 324 kroner
* GrandVision Cut to Hold at ABN Amro Bank; PT 25.50 euros (+)
* Huhtamaki Oyj PT Cut to 35 euros from 50 euros at Berenberg
* KPN Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 2.70 euros
* Lufthansa Cut to Sell at LBBW; PT 6 euros (+)
* Maisons du Monde Cut to Reduce at Oddo BHF (+)
* Nemetschek Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Nemetschek PT Cut to 39 euros from 63 euros at Barclays (+)
* Novozymes Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 300 kroner (+)
* Safran Cut to Market Perform at Bernstein; PT 83 euros
* Standard Life Aberdeen Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley
* Talenom Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 6 euros (+)
* Uniper Cut to Reduce at HSBC; PT 21 euros
* Valeo Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 15 euros (+)

>>> Initiation
* Buzzi Unicem Resumed Buy at Citi; PT 22.50 euros
* Sixt Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 80 euros

>>> Call
* European Earnings, Dividends Should Fall 40% This Year: Barclays (+)
* Asos Should Consider Equity-Raising Options, Berenberg Says (+)
* Citi Sees Ad Revenue for Media Owners Dropping 20% in 2020 (+)
* DNB Estimates Cut, Outlook Pressured by Virus, Oil Price: SHB (+)
* *EUROPEAN ENERGY SECTOR CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS(+)
* *EUROPEAN TELECOMS RAISED TO MARKET WEIGHT AT BARCLAYS (+)
* *EUROPEAN HEALTH-CARE SECTOR RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS (+)
* IHG’s Defensive Model Undervalued, RBC Upgrades to Outperform
* Proximus Raised to Hold at Deutsche Bank as CMD Reassures (+)
* MS Cautious on EU Asset Managers, Prefers Private Players
* Reasons for Munich Re’s Guidance Pull Unclear, Citigroup Says (+)
* U.K. Bank Stocks May Underperform Peers on Dividend Cuts: Citi
* Ultra, Chemring Raised as Defense Should Be Defensive: Berenberg

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +3%
    • Meal Kits Are the Next Best Thing in Covid Lockdowns: Alex Webb
  • Axa (AXA TH) -5%
    • Munich Re Pulls 2020 Profit Guidance, Halts Share Buyback Plan
  • Getinge (GTN TH) -5.1%
  • Metro AG (B4B TH) -5.7%
  • Just Eat Takeaway (T5W TH) -5.8%
  • ASML (ASME TH) -6%
  • Total (TOTB TH) -6.2%
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) -6.2%
  • Siemens Gamesa (GTQ1 TH) -6.7%
  • UniCredit (CRIN TH) -7.1%
    • U.K. Banks Scrap Dividends, Buybacks After Regulator Push (2)
  • HSBC Holdings (HBC1 TH) -8.8%
    • HSBC, StanChart Under Pressure After U.K. Banks Axe Dividends