Back in the heady days of 2017 and 2018, the investment bank was so excited about this potential new asset class that it was said to be considering launching a bitcoin trading desk, a huge step in the direction of “mainstream adoption”.
The bank’s analysts would put out notes predicting all-time highs for bitcoin based on exciting bits of technical analysis, while former executives seemed to be leaving Wall Street in droves to pursue illustrious careers in crypto.
In early 2018 (peak mania), Goldman was said to have “caved” on bitcoin, putting out a nine-page report entitled “Bitcoin as Money”. Could bitcoin succeed as a form of money? "In theory, yes," the bank’s economists wrote.
But then in August 2018, with the price of cryptocurrencies having collapsed, it seemed the party was already over. Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, the chief investment officer of the bank’s private wealth management group, said declines would likely continue, and that she didn’t reckon bitcoin fulfilled any of the traditional roles of money.
You can only imagine bitcoiners’ excitement and bullish hopes, therefore, when they discovered the bank was due to hold an investor call on bitcoin on Wednesday, mid global pandemic and economic collapse – the kind of event that, if anything can, justifies bitcoin’s existence.
This was Coin Telegraph, a relatively mainstream crypto site, just four days ago (emphasis ours):
Goldman Sachs will host a conference call on May 27 titled US Economic Outlook & Implications of Current Policies for Inflation, Gold, and Bitcoin...
The news has been heralded as a milestone for the institutional adoption of crypto assets, appearing to signify a complete u-turn on the part of Goldman’s Mossovar-Rhami (sic) — who stated that cryptocurrencies fail as mediums of exchange, stores of value, and units of measurement, in August 2018.
But alas, it seems the milestone in institutional adoption was not a milestone in the direction that the bitcoiners’ wanted.
On Wednesday, slides from the call showed Goldman sticking the knife in, and twisting it. They listed five reasons that “Cryptocurrencies Including Bitcoin Are Not an Asset Class”:
Do Not Generate Cash Flow Like Bonds
Do Not Generate any Earnings Through Exposure to Global Economic Growth
Do Not Provide Consistent Diversification Benefits Given Their Unstable Correlations
Do Not Dampen Volatility Given Historical Volatility of 76% – On March 12, 2020, the price of Bitcoin fell 37% in one day
Do Not Show Evidence of Hedging Inflation
Before concluding:
We believe that a security whose appreciation is primarily dependent on whether someone else is willing to pay a higher price for it is not a suitable investment for our clients.
(And adding, for good measure, that cryptocurrencies “abet illicit activities such as Ponzi schemes, ransomware, money laundering, and darknet markets”.)
Suffice to say, the bitcoiners were not happy.
Coin Telegraph, so upbeat on Goldman just a few days ago, went with “‘What Are You Smoking?’ Winklevoss Pans Goldman Sachs Bitcoin Bashing” for their headline, declaring that “tired claims that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are not an asset class say more about Goldman Sachs and the banking system itself” and fuming about Goldman “wheel(ing) out legacy Bitcoin complaints”.
So much legacy systems. So much boring bankers. Lock ‘em all up, we say. Who wants institutional adoption anyway? (When’s the JP Morgan crypto investor call, anyone?)
After Hours Summary: ZS +18.2%, VMW +8.6%, DELL +7.5%, MRVL +5.8% up nicely on earnings; CRM -3.4%, OKTA -2%, COST -1.9% lower on earningsAfter Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: ZS +18.2% (also acquires Edgewise Networks), WSM +10.1%, VMW +8.6%, GLUU +8.3%, DELL +7.5%, MRVL +5.8%, PAGS +5.1%, OLLI +2.8%, PSTG +2.1%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: KPTI +7.7% (reports results from the pivotal, Phase 3 BOSTON study ), AZN +5.3% (announces positive Phase III ADAURA trial results), LGND +3.1% (earns $3 mln milestone payment from Palvella Therapeutics), ALCO +1.7% (Florida has option to purchase 10,684 acres), CGNX +1.2% (announces workforce reduction), APY +1.2% (shareholders approve combo with ChampionX), LOW +1.1% (maintains quarterly dividend), CSCO +0.4% (to acquire privately held ThousandEyes)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: CRM -3.4% (also announces multi-year strategic agreement with AT&T), TCOM -3.1%, VEEV -2.5%, OKTA -2% (also announces new integration with Amazon Web Svcs; also announces FedEx has implemented the Okta Identity Cloud), COST -1.9%, DXC -1.5%, ULTA -0.4%, JWN -0.2%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: MRNS -8.2% (stock offering), NFG -4.7% (commences 3.25 mln common stock offering), APPN -2.4% (launches 2.5 mln share offering), LADR -2.3% (cuts dividend by 41%), ADVM -1.6% (initiates INFINITY Phase 2 trial)
Closing Stock Market SummaryU.S. stocks trimmed weekly gains on Thursday, as headline uncertainty related to China caused the major indices to falter into the close. The S&P 500 (-0.2%), Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.6%), and Nasdaq Composite (-0.5%) finished slightly lower. The Russell 2000, which traded lower for most of the session, declined 2.5%.
The market started the session little changed, catching its breath after a strong two-day rally, but also after China approved legislation to tighten its control over Hong Kong, weekly initial jobless claims totaled 2.123 million (Briefing.com consensus 1.950 million), and Q1 GDP was revised down to -5.0% ( consensus -4.8%) from -4.8% in the advance estimate.
Investors, at first, didn't feel inclined to sell given the fear of missing out on further gains amid growing signs of an economic recovery. Buyers, instead, concentrated their efforts toward the defensive-oriented segments of the market, such as the leading S&P 500 utilities (+3.0%), health care (+1.3%), and real estate (+1.2%) sectors.
Sellers later took control after President Trump said late in the session that he will hold a press event about China on Friday. Reports indicated that the president could unveil sanctions on Chinese officials in response to the Hong Kong national security law, threatening to exacerbate U.S.-China tensions.
The S&P 500 energy (-2.9%) and financials (-1.6%) sectors accelerated intraday losses following the headline negativity, while the consumer discretionary (-1.1%), industrials (-1.0%), and communication services (-1.0%) sectors fell into negative territory.
Shares of Facebook (FB 225.46, -3.68, -1.6%) and Twitter (TWTR 31.60, -1.47, -4.5%), meanwhile, were pressured by President Trump's executive-order plans to limit legal protections for social media companies that unfairly stifle free speech.
Separately, Workday (WDAY 182.56, +12.18, +7.2%) and Dollar Tree (DLTR 97.64, +10.11, +11.6%) stood out after pleasing investors with their earnings reports, while HP Inc. (HPQ 15.01, -2.11, -12.3%) disappointed investors with its results.
U.S. Treasuries ended the session mixed. The 2-yr yield was unchanged at 0.17%, while the 10-yr yield increased three basis points to 0.71%. The U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.6% to 98.50. WTI crude futures rose 2.7%, or $0.89, to $33.68/bbl.
Reviewing Thursday's batch of economic data:
- Initial claims for the week ending May 23 decreased by 323,000 to 2.123 million (consensus 1.950 million). Continuing claims for the week ending May 16 decreased by 3,860,000 to 21.052 million.
- The key takeaway from the report will be the downturn in continuing claims, which will feed into the market's upbeat view about reopening prospects.
- New orders for durable goods declined 17.2% m/m in April (consensus -17.0%) following a downwardly revised 16.6% decline (from -14.4%) in March. Excluding transportation, new orders for durable goods declined 7.4% m/m (consensus -8.4%) following a downwardly revised 1.7% decline (from -0.2%) in March.
- The key takeaway from the report is that it wasn't much of a surprise as activity in April seized up with the shutdown measures employed to contain the spread of the coronavirus.
- The second estimate for Q1 GDP showed a downward revision to -5.0% (consensus -4.8%) from the 4.8% decline seen in the advance estimate. The GDP Price Deflator was revised up to 1.4% (consensus 1.3%) from 1.3%.
- The key takeaway from the report is that it's old news for a market that is clearly locked on the idea that economic activity is going to be rebounding in coming months.
- Pending Home Sales dropped 21.8% in April (consensus -4.8%) after declining an unrevised 20.8% in March.
Looking ahead to Friday, investors will receive the Personal Income and Spending report for April, the revised University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for May, the Chicago PMI for May, and the Advance International Trade in Goods, Retail Inventories, and Wholesale Goods reports for April.
- Nasdaq Composite +4.4% YTD
- S&P 500 -6.2% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average -11.0% YTD
- Russell 2000 -16.1% YTD


