FT : UK hedge fund hit by oil slide and lockdown effects

UK hedge fund hit by oil slide and lockdown effects

Makuria’s assets have slumped after a poor run of performance

Makuria Investment Management has lost about 29 per cent this year to the end of August, says a person who had seen the numbers © Hollie Adams/Bloomberg

A UK hedge fund set up by the former head of Canyon Capital’s London office is suffering its toughest year yet, say people familiar with its performance, joining a number of managers that were hit by market turmoil and have failed to recover.

Makuria Investment Management, founded in 2012 by Mans Larsson, lost about 29 per cent this year to the end of August, said a person who had seen the numbers. The firm tries to make money trading corporate credit, including distressed bonds — those trading well below par value.

The poor run in 2020 has helped knock its assets, which grew to close to $600m last year, down to about $360m, said people familiar with the firm’s performance.

Makuria suffered big losses during this spring’s market chaos, after its positions in the oil and gas sector were hard hit by the slump in the oil price. US oil prices fell into negative territory for the first time in history in April as demand evaporated during the coronavirus lockdown.

The fund also lost money on the bonds of infrastructure companies such as toll roads and airports — usually seen as a steady and reliable source of returns — which shed value as strict travel restrictions were brought in during lockdown.

Makuria declined to comment.

Harvard-educated Mr Larsson, 44, a former Goldman Sachs analyst, raised about $300m for Makuria during a tough time for new launches in the wake of the eurozone debt crisis. The firm attracted hires such as chief operating officer Matthew Johnson, who previously worked at George Soros’s Soros Fund Management. Makuria made gains of close to 10 per cent in 2017 and 9 per cent last year, but lost roughly 6 per cent in 2018.

A number of other credit-focused funds have struggled to rebound after a tough time in March. CQS’s Michael Hintze, for instance, suffered a $1.4bn loss by the end of May, largely because of bad bets on structured credit.

Multi-strategy credit funds are down on average 0.8 per cent this year to August, while directional credit funds — which take more of a bet on credit market moves — have lost 1.6 per cent as this year’s worst-performing strategy, according to eVestment.

That compares with a 6.9 per cent return from investment-grade bonds and a 0.7 per cent return from high-yield bonds this year to August, according to indices run by ICE Data Services.

However, some funds have used the sell-off as an opportunity to increase exposure. New York-based Axonic Capital, which also suffered losses this year, raised close to $1bn to invest in areas such as commercial and residential mortgage-backed securities.

FT : H2O: hot water

H2O: hot water

Some of the small brokerages investment group traded its unwanted illiquid exposure with have ties to Lars Windhorst

H2O: reverse repo men
H2O Asset Management has found itself in some hot water once again thanks to its links to Lars Windhorst (pictured), the controversial German financier with a history of legal woes.


DD readers may remember H2O for its bad hand of illiquid assets — last June, DD’s Rob Smith and the FT’s Cynthia O’Murchu revealed that the London-based company’s funds had built up more than a €1bn exposure to illiquid bonds. 

Many of those were tied to various enterprises connected to Windhorst at a time when several of his investment vehicles were short on funding.

Among the illiquid bond purchases was the debt of a lossmaking lingerie maker and an Abu Dhabi brokerage, both curious investments for the macro-based fund manager backed by French bank Natixis.

Investors were quick to distance themselves from H2O’s portfolio of hard-to-sell bonds, yanking more than €8bn from some of its funds, outflows the company blamed on “deeply unfair” media coverage.

H2O chief Bruno Crastes (below), emphatically reassured investors as his company bled assets, vowing “never” to gate the fund. 


Its parent company Natixis also felt the brunt of its connections to Windhorst — losing €2bn off its market cap when the influential fund rating group Morningstar decided to suspend its rating on one of H2O’s funds.

And it didn’t stop there. The company took a 60 per cent writedown on the value of the illiquid securities, while the French regulator AMF stepped in to shutter a number of its funds this August.

The fact the funds still had such large illiquid holdings may have surprised people who followed the saga closely last year: then H2O sprung up to assure clients it had managed to sell off some of the troublesome bond exposure.

But as our colleagues Rob and Cynthia revealed this week, that’s not the whole story.

In the latest twist, it emerged that the sale never actually closed, so instead H2O employed a tricky strategy to shuffle its troublesome debt exposure through a loose network of minor brokerages, a process known as “buy and sell back” or “reverse repo”.


It’s slightly confusing stuff — Rob lays it out in English on Twitter here. Essentially, the company traded hundreds of millions of euros in illiquid bonds right up to before the French regulator hit pause on its funds.

In doing this H2O could reclassify some of the outfits’ bad bonds outside its main portfolio holdings. The one problem: despite this creative solution, H2O’s funds ended up staying stuck with as much as 35 per cent exposure to these assets — far larger than it previously admitted and well above levels open-ended funds are expected to have, given a 10 per cent cap on unlisted investments.

Oops. And interestingly enough, some of those small brokerages H2O traded its unwanted illiquid exposure with also have ties to Windhorst.

Go deeper into the saga by reading Rob and Cynthia’s latest instalment.

.>>> US After Hours Summary: STLD +2.2% up on strong Q3 guidance; TXN -0.2% raises dividend


After Hours Summary: STLD +2.2% up on strong Q3 guidance; TXN -0.2% raises dividend

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: STLD +2.2%, DTE +0.1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: KZR +10.1% (highlights data from Phase 1b portion of MISSION study), AFIB +3.2% (FDA 510k clearance for catheter), KODK +3.2% (extends momentum from +28% move on Thurs), KGC +0.7% (operational update, initiates dividend), FLR +0.5% (awarded contract for wind farm development), BJ +0.5% (positive CNN article), CWH +0.4% (increases quarterly special dividend), MGM +0.3% (BetMGM named official sports betting partner of the Raiders), SAIC +0.3% (announces reorganization), FLT +0.2% (to acquire cross-border payments provider AFEX), OUT +0.2% (announces sale of Sports Marketing segment), GOOD +0.2% (provides business update regarding portfolio performance), CNP +0.1% (names new CFO), RTX +0.1% (awarded $320 mln Navy contract)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: CKPT -13.4% (announces $20 mln bought deal offering), EPRT -3.2% (stock offering), ED -0.3% (names new CEO), TXN -0.2% (raises dividend), PCG -0.2% (CFO resigns), AL -0.1% (announces delivery of new Airbus A350-1000 aircraft)

>>> US Close Dow -0.47% S&P -0.84% Nasdaq -1.27% Russell -0.63%

Closing Stock Market Summary

The S&P 500 declined 0.8% on Thursday, as relative weakness in the mega-caps overshadowed signs of life in more cyclical areas of the market. The Nasdaq Composite declined 1.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.5%, and the Russell 2000 declined 0.6%. 

The communication services (-1.8%), consumer discretionary (-1.6%), and information technology (-0.8%) sectors represented the mega-cap losses, but the real estate sector (-2.2%) declined the most. The cyclical materials (+0.8%), industrials (+0.2%), and energy (+0.2%) sectors outperformed all day and closed higher. 

A 10% decline in Snowflake (SNOW 227.54, -26.39, -10.4%) following yesterday's remarkable IPO might have stirred valuation concerns, or profit-taking activity, in many of the mega-cap/growth/momentum stocks. Apple (AAPL 110.34, -1.79) fell 1.6% but it was down as much as 3.1% intraday. 

Conversely, factors that contributed to the outperformance of cyclical and value stocks included an inclination to buy cheaper stocks amid the mega-cap weakness, higher oil prices ($40.99, +0.82, +2.0%) that favored energy stocks, Nucor (NUE 48.97, +1.41, +3.0%) issuing upside Q3 EPS guidance, and follow-through buying interest in General Electric (GE 7.05, +0.30, +4.4%) after an 11% gain yesterday. 

Notably, the 50-day moving average (3340) in the S&P 500 proved to be an area of technical support. The benchmark index traded slightly below the key technical level for parts of the day but closed above it, which was good for sentiment reasons. For what it's worth, each of the major indices also closed off session lows. 

In Washington, House Speaker Pelosi (D-CA) repeated that a stimulus deal must be at least $2.2 trillion, throwing cold water on a $1.5 trillion relief bill proposed by centrist lawmakers that President Trump said he liked. 

U.S. Treasuries finished the session little changed. The 2-yr yield decreased one basis point to 0.13%, and the 10-yr yield was flat at 0.68%. The U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.4% to 92.89. 

Reviewing Thursday's economic data:

  • Initial claims for the week ending September 12 decreased by 33,000 to 860,000 (consensus 830,000). Continuing claims for the week ending September 5 decreased by 916,000 to 12.628 million.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that initial claims remain excessively high six months after the employment crash of the COVID pandemic. In the same week a year ago, initial claims were 211,000.
  • Housing Starts for August declined 5.1% m/m to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.416 million units (consensus 1.489 million) but were up 2.8% yr/yr. Building Permits declined 0.9% m/m to 1.470 million (consensus 1.520 million) and were down 0.1% yr/yr.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that there was continued strength in single-family units, with starts up 4.1% m/m (+12.1% yr/yr) and permits up 6.0% m/m (+15.6% yr/yr) amid strong demand.
  • The Philadelphia Fed Index decreased to 15.0 in September (consensus 13.0) from 17.2 in August.

Looking ahead, investors will receive the preliminary University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September, the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index for August, and the Q2 Current Account Balance on Friday.

  • Nasdaq Composite +21.6% YTD
  • S&P 500 +3.9% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average -2.2% YTD
  • Russell 2000 -7.5% YTD

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

  • Gapping up:
    • SRNE +24%, MLHR +15.8%, JOBS +14.8%, GNCA +10.2%, KNL +9.5%, APOG +8.2%, SCS +6.5%, CKPT +5.9%, GTH +4.2%, HNI +3.4%, TLSA +3%, BNTX +2.7%, MRNA +1.7%, IMGN +1.7%, EQC +1.4%, IRBT +0.8%
  • Gapping down:
    • SBBP -17.9%, NCNA -12.1%, FSLR -6.8%, CLVS -6.1%, CHWY -4.4%, ETNB -4.1%, CCL -3.7%, OSW -3.3%, FRTA -3.1%, CDLX -2.5%, FRGI -2.5%, RCL -2.5%, CRVS -1.4%, GOOG -1.3%, AUY -1.3%, VEEV -1.3%, GRA -1.3%, PPD -1.2%

Fwd:Briefing; SCANX; Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

  • Gapping up:
    • SRNE +24%, MLHR +15.8%, JOBS +14.8%, GNCA +10.2%, KNL +9.5%, APOG +8.2%, SCS +6.5%, CKPT +5.9%, GTH +4.2%, HNI +3.4%, TLSA +3%, BNTX +2.7%, MRNA +1.7%, IMGN +1.7%, EQC +1.4%, IRBT +0.8%
  • Gapping down:
    • SBBP -17.9%, NCNA -12.1%, FSLR -6.8%, CLVS -6.1%, CHWY -4.4%, ETNB -4.1%, CCL -3.7%, OSW -3.3%, FRTA -3.1%, CDLX -2.5%, FRGI -2.5%, RCL -2.5%, CRVS -1.4%, GOOG -1.3%, AUY -1.3%, VEEV -1.3%, GRA -1.3%, PPD -1.2%