FT : Suez/Veolia: something in the water

Suez/Veolia: something in the water
A deal that aims to make the world a cleaner place has turned into a messy squabble

A breakdown in relations presages the battle to come. The prize is French water and waste group Suez and chief executive Bertrand Camus is not going down without a fight. Rival Veolia wants to absorb Suez and create a national champion. The opening shots of Veolia’s campaign headed by Antoine Frérot may hit their target on Wednesday. That is when the board of Engie, a major shareholder, will decide whether to go ahead with the sale of 29.9 per cent of Suez to Veolia.

That would pave the way for a tender for the remainder of Suez shares, and the start of a lengthy antitrust investigation. Engie’s chairman Jean-Pierre Clamadieu voiced approval of the combination at parliamentary hearings Tuesday. The French state, which has holdings in Engie and Veolia, has also given tacit approval. Requests by Engie for a fuller price make an improvement on Veolia’s initial €15.5 offer likely. A higher price will be difficult to reject.

A rival buyer for Engie’s stake is one life of defence that could be a solution to the hostile approach. Suez chairman Philippe Varin has been unable to find one, asking for more time. The transfer of Suez’s French water assets to a Dutch foundation is a last ditch measure to dissuade Veolia. Undoing the “poison pill” move requires the full backing of Suez’s board. Hedge funds claim it is a violation of shareholder’s rights. They may not get the pop in share prices they desire.

The sale of the stake to Veolia without firm commitments to remaining shareholders in Suez is the concern. The long competition investigation that would follow could change the deal’s assumptions. Contract tenders and renewals will become more challenging for Suez with its biggest rival hanging over it. A deal that aims to make the world a cleaner place has turned into a messy squabble. An offer to all Suez shareholders would be one way to clear the air.

FT : BlackRock performs volte-face with swap-based equity ETF

BlackRock performs volte-face with swap-based equity ETF
The world’s largest asset manager has launched its first synthetic ETF after years spent criticising the structure

BlackRock has performed a volte-face and launched its first swap-based equity exchange traded fund, entering a market it had avoided for nearly a decade following chief executive Larry Fink’s vehement criticism of the structure.

“BlackRock has been the flag-bearer for physical ETFs for many, many years. They were very critical of the idea of synthetic ETFs and here they are launching one,” said Jose Garcia-Zarate, associate director of ETF strategy at Morningstar, the fund data provider.

So-called synthetic ETFs rely on having a swap contract in place with a counterparty to replicate the performance of the underlying assets, rather than actually owning the assets themselves, as a “physical” ETF does.

They fell out of favour in the wake of the global financial crisis when regulators such as the Financial Stability Board and IMF raised concerns over counterparty and liquidity risks, but have started to attract interest recently due to their tax advantages.

Mr Fink had in the past warned that derivatives-based ETFs exposed investors to unacceptable levels of counterparty risk and were “just a contract between a buyer and seller”. He criticised the level of transparency of some the funds, particularly when the counterparty was ultimately the same company as the issuer.

The derivatives-based versions of its $50bn iShares Core S&P 500 Ucits ETF that it listed on Euronext, the London Stock Exchange and Frankfurt’s Xetra exchange this week are BlackRock’s first foray into synthetic equity ETFs. It said it had no plans to launch any more.

The world’s largest asset manager has been running swap-based commodity ETFs, particularly for soft commodities where holding the physical product is awkward and in contravention of Europe’s Ucits fund rules.

Brett Pybus, head of Emea investment and product strategy at BlackRock’s iShares arm, said there was now an “enhanced ecosystem” in place in the industry to allay concerns around “a number of areas where we have been vocal in the past”.

“There have been improvements in the type of products available [in terms of] the transparency of the collateral basket,” Mr Pybus added.

“These products are well structured with multiple swap counterparties who don’t have an affiliation to the issuer. It’s a more robust infrastructure. There is greater client comfort with the structures we have seen in the market.”

BlackRock has lined up JPMorgan and Citi as swap counterparties, with more banks likely to come on board.

The collateral will be a basket of non-dividend paying S&P 500 stocks. This should allow the synthetic ETF to outperform BlackRock’s existing Dublin-domiciled physical S&P 500 ETF.

Non-US investors in the latter have to pay a 15 per cent withholding tax on dividend income, equivalent to about 30 basis points a year. The nature of the substitute basket of the synthetic ETF means no tax is liable.

Mr Garcia-Zarate said that over the past three years most of the money flowing into European-domiciled US equity ETFs had gone into synthetic products because of this tax advantage, and that BlackRock was simply “bowing down to the evidence” that many large institutional investors preferred a synthetic approach for US equities.

“BlackRock has come to the realisation that some investors are wising up. Money talks and you have to give your clients what they are demanding,” he added.

>>> US After Hours Summary: DIS heads lower -1.5% on report it will lay off 28,000 employees; MU -3.8% weak on earnings


After Hours Summary: DIS heads lower -1.5% on report it will lay off 28,000 employees; MU -3.8% weak on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: SNX +4%, CMTL +3.8%, LAD +0.6% (also announces $700 mln share offering), SHW +0.3%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: CVAC +8.6% (first participant dosed in a Phase 2a COVID trial), OII +8.5% (secures contract with Naval Sea Systems Command), CRDF +6.7% (stock offering), NKLA +3.7% (GM extends talks after fraud, sexual assault allegations surface, according to CNBC), MRNA +3.5% (announces publication in NEJM of interim results from older cohorts in Phase 1 study of COVID-19 vaccine), REGN +1.6% (announces REGN-COV2 antibody cocktail reduced viral levels in COVID-19 patients), NEE +1% (to acquire GridLiance), LOW +0.5% (to restart share repurchase program), CVNA +0.4% (announces $1.0 bln increase to loan sale program), NEM +0.4% (AEM and NEM form JV in Colombia), AAL +0.4% (collaborating with several foreign govts on pre-flight COVID testing), MSFT +0.2% (issues report that shows increasing sophistication of cyber threats), C +0.2% (Citigroup's Ray McGuire may run for NYC mayor, according to CNBC), CBOE +0.2% (S&P outlook revised to stable), BAM +0.1% (files for $3.5 bln mixed securities shelf offering), HDS +0.1% (announces $500 mln share repurchase authorization), AMZN +0.1% (gets into virtual tourism, according to GeekWire)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: PRGS -11.9%, MU -3.8%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: FCEL -11.7% (stock offering), ARQT -6.6% (files for 4 mln share offering; also announces $35 mln private placement), IMXI -5% (stock offering), OMI -4.5% (stock offering), CPRX -2.5% (announces ruling on lawsuit brought against the FDA; intends to appeal), FROG -1.7% (names new Chief Marketing Officer), DIS -1.5% (to lay off 28,000 employees amid prolonged park closures, according to CNBC), ORCL -0.4% (TikTok launches in-app guide to the 2020 US elections, according to TikTok website), AEM -0.1% (AEM and NEM form JV in Colombia), MD -0.1% (new CFO)

>>> US Close Dow -0.48% S&P -0.48% Nasdaq -0.29% Russell -0.37%


Closing Stock Market Summary

The S&P 500 declined 0.5% on Tuesday in a relatively lackluster session. The Nasdaq Composite (-0.3%), Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.5%), and Russell 2000 (-0.4%) didn't stray too far away from the benchmark index.  

The session was lackluster in the sense that there appeared to be a tacit agreement among participants to restrain conviction until tonight's presidential debate. Trading volume was lighter than usual. In another sense, today was a consolidation day following a two-day rebound in the market. 

Sellers, meanwhile, made their presence known in the S&P 500 energy (-2.7%) and financials (-1.2%) sectors, more so the energy space given its outsized decline amid weaker oil prices ($39.20, -1.34, -3.3%). The communication services sector (+0.3%) was the only sector that closed higher, thanks to a 2% gain in Facebook (FB 261.79, +4.97, +1.9%). 

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (+0.2%) also eked out a gain. Micron (MU 50.71, +0.99, +2.0%) rose 2% ahead of its earnings report after the close. 

In other developments, the S&P 500's 50-day moving average (3355) provided technical resistance for the second straight day, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index jumped to 101.8 in September (consensus 88.5) from an upwardly revised 86.3 (from 84.8) in August, and House Democrats introduced a $2.2 trillion stimulus bill.

While the $2.2 trillion price tag is still considered too high by Republicans, reports indicated that House Speaker Pelosi will continue talks with Treasury Secretary Mnuchin on Wednesday. With that said, the lack of a fiscal relief bill did not suppress consumer confidence this month due to an improving economy and lower coronavirus infection rates. 

Elsewhere, defensive positions were taken in U.S. Treasuries, which pushed yields lower, and gold futures ($1903.20, +21.20, +1.1%). The 2-yr yield declined three basis points to 0.11%, and the 10-yr yield declined two basis points to 0.65%. The U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.4% to 93.91. 

Reviewing Tuesday's economic data:

  • The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index jumped to 101.8 in September (consensus 88.5) from an upwardly revised 86.3 (from 84.8) in August. In February 2020, the index stood at 132.6.
    • The key takeaway from the report is the disclosure that consumers, bolstered by improved business and labor market conditions, expressed greater optimism about their short-term financial prospects, which could be a welcome support factor for consumer spending activity in the fourth quarter.
  • The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index increased 3.9% in July (consensus 3.9%) following a 3.5% increase in June.
  • The advance international trade in goods deficit totaled $82.9 bln in August following a $80.1 bln deficit in July. Advance wholesale inventories increased 0.5% in August following a 0.1% decline in July. Advance retail inventories increased 0.9% following a revised 1.2% increase in July (from +0.6%).

Looking ahead, investors will receive the ADP Employment Change Report for September, the Chicago PMI for September, the third estimate for Q2 GDP, Pending Home Sales for August, and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index on Wednesday.

  • Nasdaq Composite +23.6% YTD
  • S&P 500 +3.2% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average -3.8% YTD
  • Russell 2000 -9.8% YTD

>>> Veolia-Suez: waste in the merger le Canard Article ( English translation)

Veolia-Suez: waste in the merger

A SACRÉ FINAUD, this Antoine Frérot! In order to avoid, by acquiring its rival Suez, being accused of creating a quasi-monopoly in "environmental services", Veolia's pedégé had committed, as soon as the deal was concluded, to sell the water subsidiary of Suez in France. On the other hand, the world leader in these eco-friendly services has not doused itself on the fate of The Waste and Recycling branch of Suez. And for good reason... Hearing on 23 September by the Members of the Finance Committee and the Committee on Economic Affairs, Antoine Frérot brushed aside the risks of competition: - In waste, overlaps are less serious because there are, apart from Veolia and Suez, four or five groups, Derichebourg, Séché, Paprec or Ortec, which are ready to strengthen in these occupations. It is true that Suez's detritus whets appetites. With 2019 sales of 3.5 billion euros and 16,000 employees, this sector is Suez's main activity - far ahead of the fleet! To escape the Veolia offensive, Suez housed his water in a foundation under Dutch law, making his activities impossible for four years. But it will not be able to do the same with the garbage branch, which is divided into a myriad of companies. If Frérot buys it, Veolia and Suez combined will exceed 50% in at least 50 departments! -- warns Jean-Marc Boursier, Suez's deputy general manager in charge of the France region. On this account, the European Commission could crack down and demand a reduction in the market share of the new set. Cup your bin first! For in Ile-de-France, for example, Veolia and Suez together have 60 incinerators - not far from the totality. And, for the collection of the filthy, the position of the duopoly would be ultra-dominant in at least three regions: the Great East, the North and the Ile-de-France. There is little risk that the French competitors cited by Frérot will challenge this hegemony by buying up subsidiaries: they can hardly afford it. Investment funds or foreign boxes could, on the other hand, enjoy the cake. Yum yum! Chinese groups, for example. In 2016, Beijing Enterprises Holding Limited became the king of German waste methanization. That same year, the Spanish group Urbaser fell into the trap of a Chinese consortium. In September 2019, suez took out the contract to run the largest household waste incinerator in Issy-lesMoulineaux for some 215 million euros over eight years. In defending its proposed merger, Frérot explains that it will create a package powerful enough to withstand foreign competitors. It may, on the contrary, open the doors to them in a big way... Odile Benyahia Kouide

DISCLAIMER

This information represents neither an offer to buy or sell any security nor, because it does not take into account the differing needs of individual clients, investment advice. Those seeking investment advice specific to their financial profiles and goals should contact their Oscar Gruss & Son Incorporated sales representative. Oscar Gruss & Son Incorporated believes this information to be reliable, but no representation is made as to accuracy or completeness. This information does not analyze every material fact concerning a company, industry, or security. Oscar Gruss & Son Incorporated assumes that this information will be read in conjunction with other publicly available data. Matters discussed here are subject to change without notice. There can be no assurance that reliance on the information contained here will produce profitable results. A security denominated in a foreign currency is subject to fluctuations in currency exchange rates, which may have an adverse effect on the value of the security upon the conversion into local currency of dividends, interest, or sales proceeds. The value of securities and depositary receipts of foreign issuers that are denominated in United States dollars are also influenced by fluctuations in currency exchange rates. © 2020 Oscar Gruss & Son Incorporated. All rights reserved.

FT : Whistleblower warned EY of Wirecard fraud four years before collapse

Whistleblower warned EY of Wirecard fraud four years before collapse
Exclusive: Employee at payments group’s longtime auditor flagged suspicious accounting and attempted bribery in 2016

EY was warned in 2016 by one of its own employees that senior managers at Wirecard may have committed fraud and one had attempted to bribe an auditor.

The revelation that an EY employee identified suspicious activity at Wirecard four years before the payments group imploded in Germany’s largest postwar corporate fraud will increase the pressure on the accounting firm, which audited Wirecard for more than a decade and provided unqualified audits until 2018.

EY is already under investigation by Germany’s auditor oversight body Apas and is the target of lawsuits from Wirecard investors who lost billions of euros when the company collapsed in June. 

Last month, EY’s global chairman Carmine Di Sibio wrote to clients to express “regret” that the fraud was “not uncovered sooner” but he claimed that EY was ultimately “successful in uncovering the fraud”.

However, a KPMG probe found that an internal whistleblower at EY had raised fraud allegations against Wirecard in 2016 and also reported that the company had attempted to bribe an auditor in India.

EY then conducted an investigation, but this was shut down at the behest of Wirecard’s second-in-command Jan Marsalek, who is now a fugitive on Interpol’s “most wanted” list.

The new revelations are contained within an unpublished “info addendum” to a special audit by KPMG. Its main report was published in April, revealing the giant cash hole at the heart of Wirecard and precipitating the demise of the company. The 61-page addendum describes findings by KPMG that were not directly within its remit but that the firm deemed so significant it decided to report them anyway.

The addendum, seen by the Financial Times, amounts to a damning indictment of EY.

According to KPMG, EY’s unnamed whistleblower in May 2016 filed a letter to EY Germany’s headquarters in Stuttgart.

The letter did not address the whole extent of Wirecard’s global fraud scheme that unravelled this year, but focused on one of four contentious areas that were the focus of KPMG’s special audit in late 2019: a series of acquisitions in India that Wirecard had closed in early 2016.

Wirecard had paid €340m for Hermes i Tickets, GI Technology and Star Global, three payments companies that it bought from an opaque Mauritius entity named Emerging Market Investment Fund 1A. 

The EY whistleblower asserted that “Wirecard Germany senior management” directly or indirectly held stakes in EMIF 1A and were therefore embroiled in a conflict of interest.

The whistleblower also accused senior Wirecard managers of artificially inflating the operating profit of the Indian businesses in an attempt to push up the acquisition price, which was partly linked to future profits. These performance-dependent “earn-outs” represented a third of the total price tag.

According to the whistleblower, the Wirecard manager who held a senior position at Hermes offered a local EY employee a “personal compensation” provided the auditor agreed to sign off on manipulated sales numbers.

An investigation by EY’s anti-fraud team into the whistleblower report, codenamed “Project Ring”, suffered from governance shortcomings, was terminated prematurely and left key questions unanswered, according to KPMG’s review.

Similar allegations over Wirecard’s acquisitions in India were eventually made in public by short sellers, but not until 2018. In the meantime, EY continued to certify Wirecard’s accounts.

KPMG found that EY’s 2017 audit of Wirecard’s accounts was potentially flawed. Although Project Ring made several “observations” that cast doubt over the integrity of the financial reporting of Wirecard’s Indian subsidiary, those findings were not properly scrutinised by EY’s audit team that signed off Wirecard’s 2017 results, according to KPMG.

“The examination of the observations by EY Audit was incomplete,” KPMG wrote, adding: “KPMG sees evidence that argued against a termination of the Project Ring special audit and that should have been investigated conclusively.”

The allegation of attempted bribery was apparently addressed only by EY internally — an approach that KPMG deemed problematic. “Given that the auditor [EY] was explicitly mentioned in the allegations, in our view mandating an independent third party was required,” KPMG said. 

Despite the fact that the whistleblower accused Wirecard’s “senior management” in Germany of misconduct, the forensic audit was overseen by Wirecard’s executive board rather than its supervisory board, KPMG found.

Stephan von Erffa, Wirecard’s head of accounting and the only manager in Germany named by the whistleblower, was never formally interviewed and his email account was not analysed as Wirecard refused to give access to it.

A lawyer for Mr von Erffa, who has been in police custody since July under suspicion of accounting fraud, embezzlement and market manipulation in the Wirecard scandal, did not respond to an FT request for comment. Mr von Erffa has previously denied any wrongdoing. 

The Project Ring probe was ultimately ended in 2018 by Wirecard’s chief operating officer Mr Marsalek after he was informed about its problematic “observations”.

Mr Marsalek, who has been on the run from German police since June, portrayed EY’s whistleblower letter as the action of a rogue employee. He told KPMG that an unnamed EY employee in India in 2016 had approached Wirecard, demanding “more assignments” for EY. According to Mr Marsalek, the whistleblower letter was filed to EY shortly after Wirecard had turned down this demand. 

EY replaced its local team of auditors in India but “to KPMG’s knowledge” the allegation of attempted bribery “was not investigated” by EY, the report found.

“EY Audit . . . referred to a dispute between [a senior manager at Wirecard’s Indian subsidiary] and the local auditors as well as to cultural peculiarities in India,” wrote KPMG in its report, adding that EY did not share further information about an investigation into the bribery allegations. KPMG noted that EY should “at least” have interviewed the senior manager at Hermes.

“In such a situation, the appropriate step is an independent and comprehensive investigation by an independent third party,” KPMG noted in its report, adding that EY itself was explicitly mentioned in the allegations. 

In its Project Ring investigation, EY’s fraud team made a number of “observations” that pointed towards potential balance sheet irregularities within Wirecard’s Indian operations. Some of the whistleblower’s allegations were corroborated by a second witness, EY told Wirecard.

Several findings suggested that profits may have been inflated. For instance, one-off items such as proceeds from the sale of internet domains and IT infrastructure were added to the operating profits with no clear justification.

Also, EY’s fraud team discovered that €500,000 of interest income was added to the Indian group’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation — a gauge of operating profit that explicitly excludes interest.

In a status update that EY’s fraud team shared with Wirecard’s top management in March 2018, the investigation so far could neither confirm nor rebut the allegations but noted: “Some of the observations could potentially sustain some indicators of the allegation that selected revenues had a significant impact on ebitda, triggering higher earn-out payments to the seller of Hermes.”

According to the KPMG report, EY’s fraud team shared these “observations” with their colleagues who were auditing Wirecard’s 2017 annual results — a team led by Andreas Loetscher, who later left the firm and is now Deutsche Bank’s head of accounting. 

However, EY’s audit report for Wirecard’s 2017 results, which was also seen by the FT, makes only a brief reference to the fraud accusations and the subsequent investigation. The audit report stated that the forensic investigation had been “concluded” without delivering “any evidence indicative of flawed accounting or other violations of law”. 

By contrast, KPMG was told by EY’s fraud team that its investigation was not finished but was terminated at Wirecard’s request and that no final report was produced. KPMG concluded that “key questions were left unanswered” and that problematic “observations” made during the investigation were not “conclusively processed”. 

EY told the FT: “The issues raised concerning the Hermes transaction were disclosed appropriately to members of the Wirecard supervisory and management boards. From all our internal reviews to date, we have determined that personnel from EY India and elsewhere conducted their procedures professionally and in good faith and there is no evidence of collusion. We are unable to comment further as this forms part of an ongoing investigation.”

Mr Loetscher and KPMG declined to comment.