NYT : After Climate Push, Energy Companies Return to Fossil Fuels in Europe

After Climate Push, Energy Companies Return to Fossil Fuels in Europe
Recent oil and gas deals in Europe suggest that the growing demand for energy may be leading companies to adopt a more pragmatic approach.

TotalEnergies, the French energy giant, said on Monday that it would spend 5.1 billion euros (about $5.9 billion) to acquire a 50 percent interest in mostly natural-gas-fired power plants in several European countries, the latest move by an energy company to return to the once-shunned fossil fuel business.

The company, which is already a sizable investor in electric power, said it would use the gas plants to help balance its portfolio of electricity production from renewable sources like wind and solar farms.

The facilities, which are owned by EPH, an energy company controlled by the Czech industrialist Daniel Kretinsky, are in Britain, Italy, the Netherlands, Ireland and France.

The move appears to be a sign of an increasingly pragmatic approach to energy and climate change by companies, even in Europe, which has been more aggressive pursuing environmental goals than the United States.

The world has changed since the Paris agreement was adopted decade ago with ambitious goals to tackle climate change. It has become increasingly apparent that the agreement’s targets to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions will not be met, and not just because the Trump administration has pulled out of the Paris process.

Energy companies have taken note. “They’ve certainly abandoned the idea that they can lead the world along that kind of pathway,” said Luke Parker, vice president for corporate research at the energy consultant Wood Mackenzie, referring to the Paris agreement.

Analysts say Europe is unlikely to copy the major shifts in energy policy occurring in the United States, but course corrections are likely.

Even Germany, which has long prided itself on being a leader in renewable energy, is building gas-powered generation plants capable of generating 10 gigawatts, a substantial amount.

Some Europeans may resent Washington’s hostility toward efforts to tackle climate change, but the Trump administration’s approach may be influencing European governments to be more receptive to the oil and gas industry and its products.

Exxon Mobil, for instance, recently signed in Athens what some in the industry consider a breakthrough in a preliminary agreement to explore for oil and gas in Greek waters. Trump administration officials, including the energy secretary, Chris Wright, were in attendance.

“The U.S. is proud to partner with Greece as we restore common sense and unleash affordable, reliable and secure energy,” Mr. Wright wrote on social media.

Changes in policy matter, but the shift is also guided by the practical lessons that companies, governments and societies have learned about the difficulties in shifting from a world that runs on fossil fuels to something else.

TotalEnergies has been a large scale developer of solar and wind energy. Over time, though, the company’s executives have concluded that just building solar and wind farms is not a very profitable exercise.

These facilities alone are not sufficient for meeting the growing demand for what the company calls “clean, firm” power from customers like data centers.

Because solar and wind depend on sunshine and breeze, a steadier means of generating electricity is needed, and in many European countries, natural gas fills the bill. “It’s more or less a system that will be 50-50, you know, at the end between gas and renewables,” Patrick Pouyanné, TotalEnergies’ chief executive, told analysts on Monday, describing where his company was heading in Europe.

Mr. Pouyanné noted that the new plants would complement TotalEnergies’ position as one of the largest suppliers to Europe of liquefied natural gas, a chilled fuel transported by ship.

Shell, Europe’s largest energy company, has taken a tougher approach toward renewables on the basis that investment in some of these technologies will not be sufficiently profitable.

The company, which is based in London, said recently that it would pull out of efforts to develop two floating wind farms in British waters and an offshore wind venture called Atlantic Shores in the United States. Shell said it wanted to focus on trading electricity.

Other companies are also seeing a changing energy landscape. The war in Ukraine led to a sharp reduction in natural gas supplies from Russia and increasing dependence on the United States, nudging Europe to nurture its own production, according to some energy executives.

As chief executive of Energean, an oil and gas producer with interests in offshore fields around Europe, Mathios Rigas is well placed to pick up on changes in the region’s approach to energy.

Energean was a key participant in the deal with Exxon to drill in the waters off Greece, a country heavily dependent on imported fuel.

Italy, where Energean holds stakes in three fields, is easing some restrictions on drilling and considering legislation that may fast-track natural gas projects to feed industry.

Mr. Rigas said Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continued to influence the thinking of European governments toward fossil fuels.

“We went through a phase where Italy did not want to give permits,” he said. “Now I think they’re starting to shift, and they’re starting to understand that they need local hydrocarbon production,” he said, referring to oil and gas.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • LFMD -24.9%, BRBR -17.4%, ENR -7.9%, HP -7.1%, HD -3.6%, PDD -3.5%, BZ -2.5%, ACM -2.2%
Other news:
  • IVVD -14.1% (prices offering consisting of common stock and warrants)
  • BDRX -10.3% (ADS offering, relates to warrants)
  • CEVA -6.7% (3 mln share common stock offering)
  • ARMP -5.4% (announces key opinion leader webinar on S. aureus bacteremia and AP-SA02 Hosted by Jones Research)
  • CYPH -4.9% (boosts Zcash position with $18 mln purchase, lifting network ownership to 1.43%)
  • NUVL -3.3% (commences public offering for $500 mln of common stock)
  • STKH -3% (ADS offering by selling shareholders)
  • ZYME -2.9% (launches strategy to build a royalty-driven portfolio and expand revenue streams)
  • AII -2.8% (stock offering by selling shareholders)
  • CALX -2% (appoints new COO)
  • EOSE -2% (announces exercise and expiration of public warrants, strengthening the balance sheet with $76.9 million in proceeds)
  • NVTS -1.9% (stock offering by selling shareholders)
  • TE -1.9% (stock offering by selling shareholders)
  • RIO -1.7% (to reduce production at the Yarwun Alumina Refinery)
  • ING -1.6% (ING Bank Slaski acquires remaining stake in Goldman Sachs TFI to take full ownership)
  • KRMD -1.3% (to present results on FreedomEDGE Syringe Infusion System)
  • CELC -1.3% (completes submission of NDA for Gedatolisib)
  • FLY -1.2% (stock offering by selling shareholders)
  • FIGR -1.1% (series A Blockchain common stock offering by selling shareholders)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • GRRR +14%, JHX +8.4% (also appoints new CFO and Chair), AS +8.1%, ESLT +5.1%, MDT +3.9%, FUTU +1.5%, OCSL +1.3%, XP +1.2% (also new R$1 bln share repurchase program; also new dividends in the amount of R$500 mln), TCOM +1%
Other news:
  • AXTA +7.5% (Axalta Coating Systems and AkzoNobel (AKZOY) agree to merge in all-stock deal to form global coatings leader)
  • VNDA +5.7% (reports results for Tradipitant in preventing GLP-1 induced nausea and vomiting)
  • ACHR +3.2% (to Supply electric powertrain to Anduril and EDGE for Omen Autonomous Air Vehicle)
  • TPC +2.1% (initiates a quarterly cash dividend and a $200 million share repurchase program)
  • CCOI +1.9% (resumes stock repurchase program)
  • BWMN +1.5% ($7 mln contract design win)
  • RLGT +1.5% (authorizes repurchase up to 5 mln shares of common stock)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • GRRR +15.7%, AXTA +7.9%, AS +7.2%, JHX +7%, VNDA +5.9%, ESLT +5%, ACHR +3.1%, TCOM +2.8%, XP +2.3%, WB +2%, FUTU +2%, CCOI +1.8%, ASND +1.6%, TPC +1.6%, MRAM +1.6%, BWMN +1.5%, RLGT +1.5%, BETA +1.5%, QTRX +0.9%, USAR +0.9%
  • Gapping down:
    • LFMD -25.2%, IVVD -15.5%, BDRX -10.8%, OABI -9.9%, CEVA -6.1%, HP -6.1%, NUVL -4.5%, ZYME -3.1%, STKH -3%, HD -2.2%, FIGR -2.1%, CALX -2%, PDD -1.9%, NVTS -1.8%, RIO -1.5%, LINE -1.4%, BZ -1.4%, KRMD -1.3%, CELC -1.3%, ING -1.3%, NVDA -1.1%, DELL -1.1%, BANX -0.9%, FLY -0.9%, ARM -0.7%

>>> US Research Calls

Research Calls
  • Upgrades
    • AES Corp. (AES) upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies, tgt $13
    • Alphabet (GOOG/L) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Loop Capital, tgt $320
    • Deckers Outdoor (DECK) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel, tgt $117
    • Illinois Tool Works (ITW) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA Securities, tgt $255
    • Kilroy Realty (KRC) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital, tgt $44
    • Legence (LGN) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies, tgt $49
    • ONE Gas (OGS) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS, tgt $86
    • Pennant Group (PNTG) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $31
    • Regency Centers (REG) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $82
    • SKF AB (SKFRY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank
    • XPeng (XPEV) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Daiwa, tgt $29
  • Downgrades
    • Amazon (AMZN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Rothschild & Co Redburn, tgt $250
    • Auna (AUNA) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan, tgt $6
    • HepsiBurada (HEPS) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan
    • Federal Realty (FRT) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays, tgt $106
    • Honeywell (HON) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA Securities, tgt $205
    • Microsoft (MSFT) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Rothschild & Co Redburn, tgt $500
    • Murphy Oil (MUR) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler, tgt $34
    • Telus (TU) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
    • VICI Properties (VICI) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo, tgt $32
  • Others
    • AeroVironment (AVAV) initiated with an Outperform at BNP Paribas Exane, tgt $355
    • Arcellx (ACLX) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Ascendis Pharma (ASND) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research, tgt $255
    • Black Diamond Therapeutics (BDTX) assumed with an Overweight at Piper Sandler, tgt $9
    • Boyd Gaming (BYD) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $85
    • Caesars Entertainment (CZR) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $21
    • Carnival (CCL) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo, tgt $37
    • CareTrust REIT (CTRE) initiated with a Buy at UBS, tgt $42
    • Celcuity (CELC) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research, tgt $110
    • Choice Hotels (CHH) initiated with an Underweight at Wells Fargo, tgt $84
    • Churchill Downs (CHDN) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo, tgt $115
    • Corcept Therapeutics (CORT) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • CrowdStrike (CRWD) initiated with a Hold at Berenberg, tgt $600
    • Diversified Energy (DEC) initiated with an Outperform at William Blair
    • DraftKings (DKNG) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $31
    • Exelixis (EXEL) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • FormFactor (FORM) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald, tgt $75
    • Genius Sports (GENI) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $10
    • Hilton (HLT) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo, tgt $332
    • Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $42
    • Hyatt (H) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $154
    • Innospec (IOSP) initiated with a Buy at Freedom Capital
    • Janux Therapeutics (JANX) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Kestra Medical (KMTS) initiated with a Buy at BTIG Research
    • Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) initiated with an Outperform at William Blair
    • Las Vegas Sands (LVS) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo
    • Lumentum (LITE) initiated with an Outperform at Mizuho
    • Marriott (MAR) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo
    • Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo
    • Omega Healthcare (OHI) initiated with a Buy at UBS
    • Okta (OKTA) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg
    • Oric Pharmaceuticals (ORIC) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Qualys (QLYS) initiated with a Hold at Berenberg
    • Rapid7 (RPD) initiated with a Hold at Berenberg
    • Red Rock Resorts (RRR) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo
    • Revolution Medicines (RVMD) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • Rolls-Royce (RYCEY) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital
    • Rubrik (RBRK) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg
    • SailPoint (SAIL) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg
    • Sabra Health Care (SBRA) initiated with a Neutral at UBS
    • Scholar Rock (SRRK) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • SentinelOne (S) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg
    • Sportradar (SRAD) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo
    • SR Bancorp (SRBK) initiated with a Market Perform at Hovde Group
    • Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Tango Therapeutics (TNGX) initiated with a Peer Perform at Wolfe Research
    • Travel + Leisure (TNL) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo
    • Upstream Bio (UPB) initiated with an Outperform at Evercore ISI
    • Viking Holdings (VIK) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo
    • Wynn Resorts (WYNN) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo
    • Zscaler (ZS) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 18th of November 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Alphabet Raised to Buy at Loop Capital; PT $320
* Coloplast Raised to Buy at BofA; PT 715 kroner (+)
* Convatec Group PLC Raised to Buy at BofA; PT 295 pence (+)
* Corbion Raised to Hold at ING; PT 18.60 euros
* Deckers Outdoor Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT $117
* Draegerwerk Raised to Buy at mwb research AG; PT 76 euros (+)
* Glencore PT raised from 400 to 440 GBp at Citigroup
* Rockwool Raised to Buy at Jyske Bank; PT 265 kroner (+)
* SKF Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 280 kronor
* Solaria Energia Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 22 euros
* Solaria Energia Raised to Neutral at Mediobanca SpA
* XPeng ADRs Raised to Buy at Daiwa; PT $29
* Yubico Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 120 kronor

>>> Down
* Cadeler Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 50 kroner (+)
* Delivery Hero Cut to Underweight at Cantor; PT 14 euros
* Fraport Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 86 euros
* Ninety One Cut to Hold at SBG Securities; PT 225 pence
* Oxford Instruments Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 2,300 pence
* Wolters Kluwer PT Cut to 105 euros from 115 euros at JPMorgan

>>> Initiation
* Adidas Rated New Outperform at CICC; PT 210 euros
* Capital B Rated New Overweight at Cantor; PT 2 euros
* Currys Rated New Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 182 pence
* Fortum Reinstated Sell at ABG; PT 14 euros
* Hexpol Rated New Buy at SB1 Markets; PT 104 kronor
* Hilton Worldwide Rated New Overweight at Wells Fargo; PT $332
* Marriott Intl Rated New Overweight at Wells Fargo; PT $329
* Marriott Vacations Rated New Underweight at Wells Fargo; PT $37
* MTU Aero Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 360 euros
* Norwegian Cruise Reinstated Overweight at Wells Fargo; PT $30
* On Holding Rated New Buy at Singular Research; PT $63
* On The Beach Cut to Hold at Shore Capital
* Rolls-Royce Rated New Outperform at RBC; PT 1,275 pence
* Verisure Rated New Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 19.50 euros
* Verisure Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT 19 euros
* Verisure Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 19 euros
* Verisure Rated New Buy at DNB Carnegie; PT 19.70 euros (+)
* Wynn Resorts Rated New Overweight at Wells Fargo; PT $151

>>> Call
* Amazon Cut to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT $250
* Currys’ Cash Generation to Drive Re-Rating, New Buy at Peel Hunt
* Microsoft Cut to Neutral at Rothschild & Co Redburn; PT $500
* Rolls-Royce New Outperform at RBC, Sector Backdrop is Strong

FT : Elliott builds stake in gold miner Barrick

Elliott builds stake in gold miner Barrick
Activist investor encouraged by idea that the miner could split into two companies under new boss

Activist hedge fund Elliott Management has built a large stake in Barrick Mining, according to people familiar with the matter, after the world’s second-largest gold producer struggled to capitalise on a blistering bullion rally.

Elliott’s investment comes as the Toronto-based miner has pledged to refocus on its lucrative North American business after the sudden departure of its chief executive Mark Bristow in September, adding to speculation that the company could be planning a break-up or asset sales.

Elliott’s stake puts it among Barrick’s 10 largest investors, the people said. That would mean the hedge fund’s holding is worth at least $700mn (C$1bn).

As bullion has soared to record highs in recent months, boosting gold miners’ valuations, Barrick’s share price performance has lagged rivals and the company has faced a series of setbacks, including losing control of a key mine in Mali.

However, the people said Elliott was encouraged by the idea that Barrick could split into two companies, separating its higher-growth North American operations from its mines in riskier regions across Asia and Africa.

Barrick’s board, led by chair John Thornton, recently discussed separating the two parts of the business, as well as outright sales of its African and Pakistan assets, Reuters reported last week.

This would in effect unravel the modern-day Barrick that was created in 2019 in an all-stock acquisition by Randgold.

The exact size of Elliott’s stake could not immediately be established, nor could its precise demands of the mining company. Elliott and Barrick declined to comment.

Bristow, a swashbuckling South African executive who took Randgold public in 1997, departed ahead of schedule in September after facing criticism for repeatedly failing to meet production and cost targets.

During his tenure, Bristow masterminded the development of the $9bn Reko Diq copper-gold mine in Pakistan, which stands to be one of the world’s largest copper mines once complete.

But shareholders have raised concerns about the project and the risks of operating in Balochistan province, which is home to a violent separatist movement.

The market value of Barrick, which has its primary listing in Toronto and secondary listing in New York, was $62.5bn at market close on Monday, more than double its valuation a year ago.

But its shares are up less than 55 per cent over the past five years, compared with 232 per cent and 144 per cent gains for rivals Kinross Gold and Agnico Eagle respectively.

With $76.1bn of assets under management, Elliott is regarded on Wall Street as the most formidable activist investor, having unveiled multibillion-dollar positions in household names such as Pepsi, BP and Honeywell over the past year.

The Florida-based firm, founded by Paul Singer, is well acquainted with the mining sector, as it holds a sizeable stake in Anglo American, which recently agreed to merge with rival Teck Resources. Elliott also previously targeted Kinross, leading it to boost its share buyback programme.

Barrick’s stock has been propelled to 13-year highs in recent months by a huge gold find at its Fourmile project in Nevada, which studies indicate has the potential to yield as much as 750,000 ounces of gold a year. The company says it is one of the biggest discoveries of the precious metal this century.

Barrick’s North American operations also span a host of other prized gold mines in Nevada through a joint venture with Newmont, as well as mines in Dominican Republic.

Barrick also operates copper and gold mines in higher-risk territories from the Democratic Republic of Congo to Papua New Guinea, largely a legacy of the former Randgold business.

In his first public appearance since replacing Bristow as chief executive on an interim basis, Barrick veteran Mark Hill said this month he saw “a big opportunity” in focusing more on the North American business, particularly Nevada, calling it the “next big growth area”.

Hill said the company was focused on improving operational performance and value creation.