>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 1st of December 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Air France-KLM Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 14 euros
* Chevron Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT $169
* Comet Raised to Buy at UBS; PT 252 Swiss francs (+)
* Compass Group Raised to Outperform at RBC
* DiscoverIE Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 850 pence
* Idorsia Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* LEG Immobilien Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 78 euros (+)
* Lufthansa Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 7.50 euros
* Montea Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 85 euros (+)
* Novo Nordisk Price Target Raised to DKK 340 from DKK 315 by Bank of America
* Reckitt Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 7,000 pence
* Richemont Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 195 Swiss francs
* Securitas Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 170 kronor
* Solaria Energia Raised to Hold at Bestinver; PT 17 euros (+)
* Spie Raised to Buy at CIC; PT 53 euros (+)
* Spyre Therapeutics Inc Raised to Buy at Jones; PT $64
* Talenom Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 3.80 euros
* Thermo Fisher Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT $670
* VAT Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 427 Swiss francs
* VGP Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 120 euros (+)

>>> Down
* Allfunds Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 8 euros
* AMS-Osram Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 5.35 Swiss francs
* Alpha Bank Cut to Hold at Eurobank Equities; PT 4.08 euros
* Bureau Veritas Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 26.50 euros
* EasyJet Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 400 pence
* Endesa Cut to Underperform at Intesa Sanpaolo; PT 29.40 euros (+)
* Evoke Cut to Hold From Buy by Berenberg, Target Cut to 33p From 95p by Berenberg.
* Jet2 Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 1,450 pence
* KGHM Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 224.10 zloty
* Li Auto ADRs Cut to Neutral at China Merchants; PT $19
* Li Auto ADRs Cut to Hold at China Renaissance; PT $18.50
* Optima bank Cut to Hold at Eurobank Equities; PT 8.88 euros
* Philogen Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 25 euros
* SGS Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 85 Swiss francs
* TotalEnergies Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 60 euros
* Vivendi Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux

>>> Initiation
* Aeromexico ADRs Rated New Outperform at Itau BBA; PT $26.70
* Ambea Rated New Buy at William O'Neil
* ArcelorMittal Rated New Buy at William O'Neil
* Archer Aviation Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT $11
* Avio Resumed Buy at Banca Akros (ESN); PT 40 euros (+)
* Bruton Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 60 kroner (+)
* Capgemini Rated New Outperform at Grupo Santander
* COSH NO Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 150 kroner
* Hausvorteil Rated New Buy at FMR Frankfurt Main; PT 31 euros
* Intertek Rated New Buy at Investec; PT 5,650 pence (+)
* Joby Aviation Rated New Sell at Goldman; PT $10
* Omda Rated New Buy at SB1 Markets; PT 60 kroner
* Power Solutions Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT $110.51

>>> Call
* Business-Services Valuations Now More Attractive, RBC Says
* Transport Sector Challenges Remain, DSV, IAG Top Picks: JPMorgan
* UBS’s Marco Valla Eyes US Growth, Senior Hires: Financial News

>>> What to look at today - 1st of December 2025

US stock futures fell and cryptocurrencies plunged, signaling risk aversion ahead of a slew of economic data this week even as bets for a December Federal Reserve interest-rate cut remain firm. Contracts on the S&P 500 dropped as much as 0.8% while Nasdaq 100 futures declined 1%. Japanese stocks led losses in Asia and the yen rose as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda sent the clearest hint yet of a rate hike this month. Ahead of his speech, the two-year bond yield rose to the highest since 2008. Bitcoin lost nearly 6% to trade below $86,000, bringing fresh momentum to a wide-ranging selloff that appeared to have settled. The week ahead is set to offer a crucial snapshot of US economic momentum as policymakers weigh the trajectory of interest rates heading into 2026. With inflation and consumer demand under scrutiny, data is likely to shape expectations for whether the Fed continues its rate-cutting cycle. Traders are also bracing for potential shifts in central bank leadership with White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett signaling markets were ready for the announcement of a new Fed chair. The MSCI All Country World Index fell 0.1% in November after rising for seven straight months. The rally was halted as optimism around high-flying AI stocks faltered due to rising concerns about stretched valuations and excessive spending plans. The global equities gauge rose an average 0.5% in December over the last 10 years, historical data compiled by Bloomberg show. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was steady on Monday after four days of losses. Elsewhere, WTI crude oil jumped after OPEC+ confirmed it will stick with plans to pause production hikes during the first quarter. Silver and copper also climbed after hitting fresh records on Friday. A rally in metal shares helped Chinese equities begin December on an optimistic note. That’s even as data published Sunday that showed factory activity improved but remained in contraction in November, extending its streak of declines to a record as the country’s economic slowdown deepens. The BOJ “will consider the pros and cons of raising the policy interest rate and make decisions as appropriate” by examining the economy, inflation and financial markets at home and abroad, Ueda said Monday in a speech to local business leaders in Nagoya, central Japan. Traders see about a 64% chance of a rate hike when the central bank concludes its next policy meeting on Dec. 19, according to the overnight swap index. By calling attention to a specific policy meeting, Ueda is likely indicating the rising possibility of rate action at that time. In late December a year ago, the governor pledged to assess the state of the economy carefully at the next meeting, when the bank wound up raising borrowing costs. For the US, this week begins with fresh data on consumer spending, including Cyber Monday sales, and the release of more delayed economic indicators. Fed officials will review an outdated reading of their preferred inflation gauge ahead of the Dec. 9–10 policy meeting, where debate is expected to center on labor market conditions and the case for a third consecutive rate cut. Markets are continuing to bet that the central bank will cut its benchmark this month. Swaps data shows traders have priced in almost a full quarter-point reduction since New York Fed President John Williams said he saw room to lower rates again in the near-term amid labor-market softness.  While the Fed enters its pre-meeting blackout period, Chair Jerome Powell and Governor Michelle Bowman are scheduled to speak, though they are barred from commenting on the economic outlook or policy. Other economic data in the coming week include ADP private employment figures for November, as well as Institute for Supply Management surveys of manufacturers and service providers. The Fed is also scheduled to release September industrial production figures. Hassett, speaking on CBS’ Face the Nation on Sunday, declined to address whether he considers himself the front-runner to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell, adding a positive market response to indications that US President Donald Trump could pick the next chair before the end of the year.

Nikkei -1.89% Hang Seng +0.63% CSI +0.98% Shanghai +0.55% Shenzen +0.88%

Eur$ 1.1595 CNH 7.0715 CNY 7.0743 JPY 155.67 GBP 1.3219 CHF 0.8046 RUB 77.5337 TRY 42.5103 WTI$ 59.78 +2.10% Gold 4,231 -0.20% BTC 86,131 -5.53% ETH 2,827 -6.46 % SOL 126.2590 -7.89%

S&P -0.67% Nasdaq -0.87% EuroStoxx -0.35% FTSE -0.12% Dax -0.47% SMI -0.32%

Macro :
- Copper Marches to Record High as Supply Fears Grip Global Market
- German Stock Boom Seen Luring More Foreign Investors, Dealmakers
- Swiss Reject Millionaire Inheritance Tax Fearing Exodus of Rich
- Italy Followed Rules on Monte Paschi-Mediobanca Deal: Official
- BOJ’s Ueda Sends Clear Hint at Chance of December Rate Hike
- Black Friday sets online spending record of $11.8B, Adobe says - TechCrunch
- China Factory Activity Slumps for Longest Stretch on Record
- Black Friday Sales Rise, Signaling US Consumers’ Resilience
- Netanyahu Submits Formal Request for Pardon to Israeli President
- Silicon Valley’s Man in the White House Is Benefiting Himself and His Friends, David Sacks, the Trump administration’s A.I. and crypto czar, has helped formulate policies that aid his Silicon Valley friends and many of his own tech investments. - NYT
- Gunvor Held Talks to Invest in US Oil and Gas Assets: Reuters
- Chinese Carmakers Retreat From Record Share of European Sales
- Mercuria Metals Boss Says ‘This Is the Big One’ for Copper Bulls
- French Nov. New Car Registrations Drop 0.3%: PFA Association

Keep an eye on :
- AALB NA : Aalberts to Divest Metalis, Broen, Sells Stake in Kan
- AIR FP : Airbus Warns A320 Fleet Needs Software Fix After Incident
- AIR FP : Japan’s ANA Has Finished Work on Its Airbus Aircraft, Kyodo Says
- AIR FP : American Airlines says all planes impacted by Airbus glitch have been fixed
- AIR FP : Flynas Completes All Required Software Updates of A320 Aircraft
- Altice Int. : Altice International Launches Strategic Review of Portfolio
- AUB AU : EQT, CVC Scrap A$45.00/Share Proposal for Australia’s AUB
- BALN SW : Baloise Shares to Delist From Six by Dec. 8
- BMPS IM : Paschi, Investors Coordinated to Buy Mediobanca, Prosecutors Say
- BOL SS : Zinc Faces Rising Surplus Risk in 2026, 2027
- CAVA US :America Loves a $13 Lunch Bowl. Don’t Bet Against It., Consumers may be struggling, but they still want fresh and fast offerings from restaurants like Cava and Chipotle - WSJ
- CVC NA : CVC Leads $1.3 Billion Deal to Back UK Energy Firm Low Carbon
- DIS US : ‘Zootopia 2’ Gives Disney Box Office Win for Holiday Weekend
- D US : Dominion Energy Is a Utility Play With AI Upside. It’s a Buy. - Barron's
- EDF FP : EDF Wants Builders to Cooperate to Curb New French Reactor Costs
- Edizione Benetton : Edizione Agrees to Merge Asset Mgmt Arm 21 Invest With Tages: FT
- EZJ LN : EasyJet’s taste for luxury flies the flag for the package holiday revival - FT
- ENQ LN : Budget EPL Extension Shows UK Is Managing a North Sea E&P Sunset
- EL FP : EssilorLuxottica Chief Wearables Officer Rocco Basilico to Leave
- GLEN LN : Glencore Pressed to Craft New Growth Narrative Beyond M&A
- GOOGL US : Google Stock Has Been the Clear AI Winner—and the Gains Could Keep Coming - Barron's
- HMB SS : H&M caught in the middle of a fast-fashion battle, The Swedish retailer is being squeezed from above by the likes of Zara and below by rivals such as Shein and Temu - FT
- HSBA LN : HSBC Signs Deal to Use Mistral’s AI Tools: FT
- BOSS GY : Hugo Boss Holder Frasers No Longer Backs Sturm as Chairman
- INTC US : Intel Surges as Much as 8.8%, Rises for a 5th Day
- KARN SW : Kardex Bought Controlling Majority Stake in Rocket Solution
- KLN IM : Italy’s Borromeo Family Lists Islands in Bid to Rival Lake Como
- 385 HK : Jiangxi Copper Says Bid for SolGold Is Still at Informal Stage
- KLDVK NO : Kaldvík CFO to Leave; Search for Successor Starts
- LULU US : Lululemon Is Having an Identity Crisis. Its Founder Blames the CEO. - WSJ
- MAERSKB DC :Seatrium Issues Notice of Arbitration to Maersk Affiliate
- MB IM : Paschi, Investors Coordinated to Buy Mediobanca, Prosecutors Say
- MU US : Micron to Invest $9.6 Billion in Japan Plant: Nikkei
- Mistral AI : HSBC Signs Deal to Use Mistral’s AI Tools: FT
- NFE US : New Fortress Gets Tentative OK for $3 Billion Puerto Rico Deal
- RNO FP : French Nov. New Car Registrations Drop 0.3%: PFA Association (RNO +4%)
- SAB SM : Banco Sabadell Taps Iragorri as Mexico Head, Replacing Figueras
- STM FP : Seatrium Issues Notice of Arbitration to Maersk Affiliate
- SOLG LN : Jiangxi Copper Says Bid for SolGold Is Still at Informal Stage
- STLA I% : French Nov. New Car Registrations Drop 0.3%: PFA Association (STLA -5.5%)
- TSLA US : French Nov. New Car Registrations Drop 0.3%: PFA Association (TSLA -58%)
- TGS NO : TGS Awarded OBN Contract in Europe
- TNOM FH : Talenom Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 3.80 euros
- TOM2 NA : Tom Tom: TomTom initiates €15 million share buyback program Dec 01, 2025
- UHR SW : Swatch Activist Investor Submits Six Governance Reforms, FT Says - Link to FT article
- VOW GY : VW Names Ludwig Fazel New Head of Group Strategy
- VOW GY : Will Volkswagen’s radical revamp be enough? - FT
- VIV FP : AMF to Decide on Vivendi Holder Buyout After Appeals Ruling

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 1st of December 2025

>>> Up
* Air France-KLM Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 14 euros
* Chevron Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT $169
* Compass Group Raised to Outperform at RBC
* DiscoverIE Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 850 pence
* Lufthansa Raised to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 7.50 euros
* Novo Nordisk Price Target Raised to DKK 340 from DKK 315 by Bank of America
* Reckitt Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 7,000 pence
* Richemont Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 195 Swiss francs
* Securitas Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 170 kronor
* Spyre Therapeutics Inc Raised to Buy at Jones; PT $64
* Talenom Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 3.80 euros
* Thermo Fisher Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT $670
* VAT Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 427 Swiss francs

>>> Down
* Allfunds Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 8 euros
* AMS-Osram Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 5.35 Swiss francs
* Alpha Bank Cut to Hold at Eurobank Equities; PT 4.08 euros
* Bureau Veritas Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 26.50 euros
* EasyJet Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 400 pence
* Evoke Cut to Hold From Buy by Berenberg, Target Cut to 33p From 95p by Berenberg.
* Jet2 Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 1,450 pence
* KGHM Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 224.10 zloty
* Li Auto ADRs Cut to Neutral at China Merchants; PT $19
* Li Auto ADRs Cut to Hold at China Renaissance; PT $18.50
* Optima bank Cut to Hold at Eurobank Equities; PT 8.88 euros
* Philogen Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 25 euros
* SGS Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 85 Swiss francs
* TotalEnergies Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 60 euros
* Vivendi downgraded to hold from buy at Kepler Cheuvreux, PT €2.50 from €4.40

>>> Initiation
* Aeromexico ADRs Rated New Outperform at Itau BBA; PT $26.70
* Ambea Rated New Buy at William O'Neil
* ArcelorMittal Rated New Buy at William O'Neil
* Archer Aviation Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT $11
* Capgemini Rated New Outperform at Grupo Santander
* COSH NO Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 150 kroner
* Hausvorteil Rated New Buy at FMR Frankfurt Main; PT 31 euros
* Joby Aviation Rated New Sell at Goldman; PT $10
* Omda Rated New Buy at SB1 Markets; PT 60 kroner
* Power Solutions Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT $110.51

>>> Call
* Business-Services Valuations Now More Attractive, RBC Says
* Transport Sector Challenges Remain, DSV, IAG Top Picks: JPMorgan
* UBS’s Marco Valla Eyes US Growth, Senior Hires: Financial News

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Greggs (41G1 TH) +2.4%
  • Fresnillo (FNL TH) +2.3%
    • Watch European Miners as Copper Touches Record on Supply Fears
  • Telenor (TEQ TH) +1.8%
  • Genmab (GE9 TH) +1.6%
  • Legal & General (LGI TH) +1.6%
  • Aker BP (ARC TH) +1.6%
  • ALK-Abello (4AJ0 TH) +1%
  • National Grid (NNGF TH) +1%
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) -1.5%
  • Thales (CSF TH) -1.6%
    • US Says Ukraine Talks Productive as Witkoff Heads to Russia
  • Pandora (3P7 TH) -1.6%
  • Aurubis (NDA TH) -1.8%
  • Voestalpine (VAS TH) -1.9%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) -2.6%
    • US Says Ukraine Talks Productive as Witkoff Heads to Russia
  • Airbus (AIR TH) -2.6%
    • Airbus Enters Last Weeks of the Year Facing a Cosmic Distraction
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) -2.8%
    • US Says Ukraine Talks Productive as Witkoff Heads to Russia
  • RENK Group (R3NK TH) -2.8%
    • NOTE: Peace-Deal Defense Discount Opens Despite Major Growth Outlook
  • Puma (PUM TH) -3%

Fwd:FT : Swiss voters reject 50% inheritance tax for the super-rich



From: Laurent Chekroun (MAKOR CAPITAL MARKET) At: 11/30/25 18:57:33 UTC+1:00
Subject: FT : Swiss voters reject 50% inheritance tax for the super-rich
Swiss voters reject 50% inheritance tax for the super-rich
Overwhelming majority opposed wealth tax in contentious referendum

Swiss voters on Sunday overwhelmingly rejected a proposal to impose a 50 per cent inheritance levy on the super-rich, in a contentious referendum that came as governments around the world wrestle with how to tax the wealthy.

More than 80 per cent rejected the initiative, with about 42 per cent of the population participating by Sunday afternoon. Opponents of the measure had feared that a narrow defeat would invite other similar tax proposals in years to come.

The referendum, one of the most divisive in recent Swiss political memory, comes amid a global split between countries competing to lure wealthy families with fiscal incentives and those seeking to tax what they see as excessive fortunes.

The proposal from the far-left Young Socialists party would have introduced a federal inheritance and gift tax of 50 per cent on estates and transfers above SFr50mn (£47mn), marking a dramatic break from Switzerland’s tradition of decentralised, low-burden taxation. Revenue would have been earmarked for climate-related spending. 

The federal government opposed the initiative, warning it would damage Switzerland’s appeal as a stable home for internationally mobile wealth. The proposal was originally drafted to be retroactive — a clause that provoked a fierce backlash from business groups and tax lawyers and was later softened.

The move prompted deep anxiety among Swiss family offices and wealthy residents, some of whom were reviewing relocation options this year ahead of the vote, the Financial Times reported in June. Economists and lawyers warned the measure could affect succession planning for family-owned companies whose wealth is tied up in illiquid assets.

Frédéric Rochat, managing partner at Swiss private bank Lombard Odier, said the unequivocal result showed “Swiss common sense had prevailed”.

“Swiss people like to see their country’s policies remain stable [and] predictable,” he said. “They reject base populism that makes unnecessary noise.”

A “Yes” vote would have been a “significant change” to the Swiss tax landscape, said Philipp Zünd, tax expert at KPMG in Switzerland.

“Swiss voters have reinforced Switzerland’s reputation as a stable business hub,” he said.

The Swiss vote lands at a moment when governments’ approaches to wealthy individuals have diverged sharply.

In some financial centres the race to attract rich families is accelerating. Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Hong Kong and Singapore are offering tax concessions and light-touch regulation to draw single-family offices — the private investment vehicles of the global super-rich. Hong Kong, which hosted an estimated 2,700 family offices in 2023, aims to attract 200 more by the end of 2025.

Elsewhere, countries are tightening rules or increasing levies. Italy has drawn a surge of arrivals under its flat-tax regime for foreign income, centred on Milan, but the government announced in October it plans to increase the levy by a further 50 per cent to €300,000 from next year.

In her first Budget last year, UK chancellor Rachel Reeves hit the super-rich by confirming the abolition of “non-dom” status, which allowed UK residents who declared their permanent home as being overseas to avoid paying UK tax on foreign income and gains.

Swiss lawyers said the referendum proposal had undermined Switzerland’s chances of attracting tax exiles from the UK following the non-dom change, with many opting for Italy rather than Switzerland.

Meanwhile, in late October the French parliament voted to reject a Socialist proposal for a tax of 2 per cent on wealth of more than €100mn. Another proposal for a 3 per cent tax on wealth over €10mn was also rejected.

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Infineon (IFX TH) -1.2%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) -1.2%
  • Airbus (AIR TH) -2.1%
    • Airbus Enters Last Weeks of the Year Facing a Cosmic Distraction
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) -3.4%
    • US Says Ukraine Talks Productive as Witkoff Heads to Russia
MDAX:
  • Lanxess (LXS TH) -1.4%
  • Aurubis (NDA TH) -1.9%
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) -2%
    • US Says Ukraine Talks Productive as Witkoff Heads to Russia
  • RENK Group (R3NK TH) -2.4%
    • US Says Ukraine Talks Productive as Witkoff Heads to Russia
  • Puma (PUM TH) -3.5%
SDAX:
  • Stratec (SBS TH) +4%
  • Hamborner REIT (HABA TH) +1.5%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) -1.3%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) -1.4%
  • PNE AG (PNE3 TH) -1.6%
  • Mutares (MUX TH) -1.8%
  • GFT (GFT TH) -1.8%

FT : Trading firm XTX donates £26mn for maths research at UK universities

Trading firm XTX donates £26mn for maths research at UK universities
Billionaire Alex Gerko says Britain is missing out on top academic talent

Billionaire Alex Gerko has criticised British governments for failing to fund maths research, as his trading firm XTX Markets donated £26mn to seven UK universities. 

“Despite successive governments’ pro-innovation rhetoric, years of underfunding in mathematics research have caused UK universities to miss out on too much of the world’s top talent,” Gerko said. 

XTX said on Monday it would donate £26.37mn to fund more than 100 PhD and postdoctoral pure maths research positions at universities across the UK. 

“This programme may help to fill the gap, but leaving strategically vital funding to philanthropy is a dereliction of duty,” Gerko added.

Gerko is one of the UK’s richest people and the country’s biggest individual taxpayer, according to Sunday Times estimates. The Russia-born entrepreneur gained a maths PhD in Moscow and later founded XTX in London in 2015, building it into one of the UK’s top private businesses. Gerko earned £682mn from XTX’s profits last year. 

The funding will be split between the universities of Cambridge, Oxford, Bristol, Edinburgh, Liverpool, Warwick and Imperial College London. The institutions will themselves choose which students to admit, with the money funding university places starting in 2026, 2027 and 2028.

British universities are facing a long-term funding squeeze. Fewer enrolments from international students due to more stringent immigration rules are also affecting university finances.

About 41 per cent of institutions will fail to balance their books next year despite an inflation-linked rise in tuition fees, according to recent government figures. 

XTX’s donation will vary depending on the university and the trading firm declined to disclose the split between institutions. The University of Cambridge said the donation would help it appoint about 10 PhD students and up to two postdoctoral researchers in each of the coming three years.

Gerko has long cared about maths education. He founded children’s charity Axiom Maths in 2022 and, alongside his wife Elena, is funding the creation of a specialist maths secondary school in Mill Hill, North London, which is set to open to pupils next year. 

The billionaire is often critical of UK politicians and has spoken out against funding cuts in maths education. XTX pointed to government figures showing that just 41 per cent of a promised £300mn in government funding for mathematical sciences was allocated before the programme was cancelled in 2022.

Simon Coyle, head of philanthropy at XTX, pointed to cuts in the numbers of the UK’s Centres for Doctoral Training, which are research centres for PhD candidates, saying that maths funding “is being decimated”.

“If you take the government’s goals and strategies at face value, they imply a significant need for more mathematicians and quantitative talent,” he said. He pointed to the government’s pushes on cyber security, defence and AI, adding that AI in particular “is basically maths . . . fundamentally that is maths talent”.

“It shouldn’t fall to philanthropy to be filling the gaps for what are nationally strategic, critical issues,” Coyle added.

FT : Black Forest Labs: one-year-old German start-up challenges AI giants

Black Forest Labs: one-year-old German start-up challenges AI giants
Low-profile group has quickly emerged as a top developer of image generation technology

German start-up Black Forest Labs has quietly raised more than $450mn since it was founded last year, as the low-profile group quickly emerged as one of the world’s top developers of artificial intelligence image generation.

The group, which was founded in the medieval town of Freiburg, has tripled its valuation in little more than a year to $3.25bn in its latest $300mn funding round. The cash will fuel its plan to take on Google and ByteDance in a market that promises to upend industries from advertising to Hollywood.

While other AI start-up leaders such as OpenAI’s Sam Altman have sought the limelight, Black Forest co-founder and chief executive Robin Rombach told the Financial Times he is keen to “let the product speak for itself”.

In just 15 months, the group has already struck a lucrative deal with Meta as well as partnerships with creative toolmakers Adobe and Canva. Rombach said it plans to use the new investment to boost its computing infrastructure and build out its commercial team.

Black Forest is one of the few European companies developing its own AI models, alongside Paris-based Mistral. Rombach said being headquartered outside the “super hype” of San Francisco — where AI firms are raiding each other’s talent with huge pay offers — is “the best thing that we have done so far”, as it helps the team stay “super focused”.

Its fundraising comes as demand for image-editing AI systems has exploded over the past year, driven by big advances in the technology.

Many AI researchers believe that Black Forest’s Flux models already rival Google’s Nano Banana and ByteDance’s Seedream image systems — despite both having larger computing resources, thousands of engineers and extensive video libraries from YouTube and TikTok to provide training data.

Investors say this is due to the expertise of Rombach and his Black Forest team, who previously developed a breakthrough technology for image generation known as Stable Diffusion.

“In the summer of 2022 when the internet blew up with hyper-realistic image generation, that was in no small part as a result of their work,” said Nathan Benaich, an early investor in Black Forest at Air Street Capital.

Rombach met the team that would later become his co-founders years earlier, while they were studying for their PhDs at LMU Munich and the University of Heidelberg. They put out a series of research papers focused on the AI technique of “latent diffusion”, which Rombach describes as “basically the foundation for a lot of the [generative AI] technology that is being built within this space”.

He notes that his university’s limited computing equipment forced him and his classmates to innovate. “We were running on super tiny GPUs on consumer grade hardware,” he said. “To get really good performance out of that, we had to come up with an algorithm that was more efficient.”

Early traction with the academic and research community spurred Rombach to scale up the technology for commercial use, joining London-based start-up Stability AI alongside fellow AI researchers from LMU and Heidelberg in 2022.

“Only a handful of people on the planet know how to advance the frontier of general [AI] models. Robin and team as the inventors of latent diffusion have that advantage,” said Anjney Midha, a venture partner at Andreessen Horowitz, whose new firm AMP jointly led Black Forest’s latest financing alongside Salesforce Ventures.

But after Stability AI ran into difficulties, Rombach and several of his colleagues left in 2024 to found Black Forest. It quickly raised funding from investors including Andreessen Horowitz and General Catalyst.

Jeannette zu Fürstenberg, who leads General Catalyst’s European business, said that staying in Freiburg helped the start-up keep “grounded”. “It’s a very distinct group of people,” she said. “The best companies become an almost cult-like tight-knit group.”

What started as a team of around 10 people has now grown to 50 full-time staff, mainly in Freiburg with a growing presence in San Francisco.

Rombach said that releasing some versions of its Flux model under an “open source” licence, meaning they can be used and modified freely for certain applications, has been vital for winning over developers and giving customers more control over their data and intellectual property. The cost for developers to access Flux is also significantly cheaper than Google’s Nano Banana.

Improvements to the latest Flux model include preserving individuals’ likenesses as the AI technology places them in realistic or imagined situations, as well as combining several different images to create a new one.

One person who has worked with members of Black Forest’s team warned that while the start-up’s small size gave it a key advantage in speed, it may lack a long-term technical edge.

“The people running this lab have made, quite objectively, very big contributions to the field,” the person said. “Other than that, in generative AI, it’s hard to survive as a small lab.”

One early investor, Michael Ovitz, co-founder of Creative Artists Agency, has helped Rombach and his team make connections in Hollywood, even though many studios are still wary of AI tools following the 2023 writers’ strike.

“We treat IP as a pretty serious matter,” Rombach said. “Our goal is to work with creators and creatives to augment them and help them create something novel, not replace something that exists.”

FT : Billionaire Benettons strike private capital merger in expansion push

Billionaire Benettons strike private capital merger in expansion push
Family holding company has agreed to merge its asset management arm 21 Invest with Milan-based Tages

Italy’s billionaire Benetton family is combining its private capital business with a rival, as it embarks on an ambitious plan to triple its assets under management to €10bn in the next five years.

Edizione, the family’s holding company, has agreed to merge its asset management arm 21 Invest with Milan-based Tages to create 21 Next, which will be controlled by Edizione and will manage a combined €3bn in assets. 

Alessandro Benetton, 61, scion of the family which owes its fortune to the United Colors of Benetton fashion brand, will chair the group. Tages co-founder Panfilo Tarantelli, 70, will serve as chief executive.

In an interview with the Financial Times, Benetton said he sees asset management becoming a much larger part of Edizione’s holdings and that 21 Next will seek to expand both organically and through further consolidation of private capital firms.

“We are launching this project at a very favourable moment because there is a transition happening in the [private capital] industry,” Benetton said, arguing that the days of buyout firms simply adding leverage and selling companies to generate large returns were over.

“Now it’s much harder than before, it’s a technological issue with what is going on with the impact of AI as well as a talent issue.” Edizione is better suited to making operational improvements to deliver better returns at portfolio companies given its history, he added.

As part of the deal, Edizione will provide an initial €500mn of seed capital to the newly formed firm.

FT : Stellantis car production in France set for 11% drop by 2028

Stellantis car production in France set for 11% drop by 2028
Unions expect owner of Peugeot and Fiat brands to manufacture fewer vehicles at all its factories

Production at Stellantis’ French factories is set to drop over the next three years, as the maker of Peugeot, Fiat and Jeep vehicles suffers a sharper manufacturing slowdown than European rivals.

The number of units being produced at the company’s five assembly factories in France is predicted to fall by 11 per cent between 2025 and 2028, according to trade union estimates based on presentations by Stellantis last week.

Production reached more than 661,000 vehicles in 2025, a recovery from the low of 565,000 in 2024 when high inventories and a slowdown in demand affected the company.

But Stellantis expects that production will fall at all five assembly factories over the next three years, meaning sales would dip to less than 590,000 in 2028, according to the union figures seen by the Financial Times.

Stellantis has been hit harder than many other carmakers by a slowdown in demand in Europe.

A report by McKinsey for automotive suppliers representative group Clepa on Thursday estimated production of light vehicles in Europe would fall 6 per cent to 8.9mn between 2024 and 2028.

According to the report, European car production in 2024 was more than 30 per cent below levels in 2017, and in that time Stellantis had the steepest drop in growth of any major automobile manufacturer on the continent.

Stellantis chief executive Antonio Filosa told the FT in November: “[The overall European market] lost 3mn cars from pre-Covid to now. This is the equivalent of the capacity of 10 automaker plants. We cannot afford to lose another 3mn cars.”

Stellantis’ French output is set to be lowest at its Poissy plant in the Île-de-France region, which includes Paris. The site has been used as a car factory for various brands since 1937.

It employs 2,000 people but currently produces two models approaching the end of their lifecycle in 2028, by which point vehicle manufacturing is set to fall to 55,000, against more than 90,000 in 2025.

Stellantis last week announced an investment of €20mn in metal work and recycling at the plant, which would amount to 200 jobs.

A decision on whether to continue car production after 2028 will be taken in the first half of 2026, but “the factory will not close”, Stellantis said.

The commitment was welcomed by unions but workers’ representatives noted that jobs were at risk because no new vehicles were allocated to be produced at the site.

“It’s not a panacea. There’s no new project to make cars,” said Laurent Oechsel, representative of the CFE-CGC union, who added that unions were waiting for more details of Filosa’s strategy in the new year.

Fabrice Jamart, representative of the more hardline CGT union, added: “For me, it’s playing to the gallery, to say ‘We are doing something, we’re taking care of you, don’t worry.’ Then when the axe falls, it will be too late.”

Filosa will outline his strategy to turn Stellantis around in the new year, having taken over as chief executive in June.

He is among car bosses lobbying the European Commission to relax its planned ban on new sales of combustion engine cars in 2035.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has urged the European Commission to scrap the proposed ban and allow the production of hybrid vehicles beyond the deadline.

Stellantis declined to comment on its production forecasts but Filosa said of the move by Merz: “We now have a great opportunity to rethink the rules and reconcile Europe’s three key objectives: decarbonisation, industrial resilience that protects jobs and strategic autonomy, and affordability.”