>>> US Close Dow -0,05% S&P -0,54% Nasdaq -1,07%

Closing Stock Market Summary

Today's session started with a positive bias under the surface despite a mixed performance at the index level. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were in negative territory early on, albeit with somewhat modest losses. That weakness had them both below their 50-day moving averages. At the same time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 were trading up and market breadth was positive.

The early underperformance seen in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq was largely driven by softness in the mega cap space and a big decline in Oracle (ORCL 109.61, -17.10, -13.5%) following its earnings report and relatively disappointing guidance.

A mid-day push higher saw the S&P 500 briefly climb past its 50-day moving average, but it was unable to maintain that posture, which invited increased selling activity in the afternoon trade. The major indices spent most of the afternoon in a steady decline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished with a fractional loss while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed near their worst levels of the day.

Losses were broad based, but mega caps had an outsized influence on index performance. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) fell 1.2%; meanwhile, the market-cap weighted S&P 500 declined 0.6% versus a more modest 0.1% decline in the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP).

Apple (AAPL 176.30, -3.06, -1.7%) was weak in front of its closely-watched product event and pulled back following a slate of announcements that featured the introduction of the iPhone 15.

Rising oil prices ($89.95/bbl, +1.66, +1.9%), which hit their highest level since last November, were another overhang for the market. That move benefited the S&P 500 energy sector (+2.3%), which closed at the top of the leaderboard by a wide margin.

The heavily-weighted information technology sector (-1.8%) logged the biggest decline.

Treasuries settled little changed from yesterday ahead of the August Consumer Price Index at 8:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday. The 2-yr note yield rose one basis points to 5.00% and the 10-yr note yield fell two basis points to 4.26%.

Today's economic data was limited to the August NFIB Small Business Optimism index, which declined to 91.3 from 91.9.

Nasdaq Composite: +31.6% YTD
S&P 500: +16.2% YTD
S&P Midcap 400: +6.1% YTD
Russell 2000: +5.3% YTD
Dow Jones Industrial Average: +4.5% YTD
Aside from CPI, other economic releases tomorrow include:

Weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index at 7:00 a.m. ET
Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories at 10:30 a.m. ET
August Treasury budget at 2:00 p.m. ET

WSJ : WWE, UFC Combined Company Makes Market Debut, Targets Demand for Sports

WWE, UFC Combined Company Makes Market Debut, Targets Demand for Sports
TKO plans to pursue future acquisitions of sports-focused companies, president of new company says

A new publicly traded company formed by the combination of WWE and UFC is entering the ring in hopes of capitalizing on the migration of sports and live entertainment from traditional television to streaming.

TKO will begin trading Tuesday with the aim of making more content, including UFC fights, available via streaming services in the future, said Mark Shapiro, its president and chief operating officer. TKO, which stands for technical knockout in boxing, is an allusion to the fighting focus of both organizations.

“We are well-positioned to capitalize on the demand for live sports and entertainment across linear and digital, and we have enough content to do both,” Shapiro said. The combined company has high-profile rights deals with entertainment companies including Fox, Disney and Comcast for its Peacock streaming service.

WWE and UFC generate revenue from streaming and TV rights as well as ticket sales and merchandise tied to their popular lineups of celebrity fighters. Investors have cheered the advent of the combined new company in part because it can make money from traditional TV but isn’t entirely beholden to it as more consumers cut the cord in favor of streaming services.

TKO Holdings will trade on the New York Stock Exchange. Entertainment company Endeavor Group Holdings EDR 0.50%increase; green up pointing triangle owns 51% of TKO, while wrestling organization WWE owns the remaining 49%.

Endeavor also owns the WME talent agency, the IMG sports and events firm, and Professional Bull Riders. It trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol EDR.

Endeavor’s purchase of WWE, which its Hollywood talent agency has long represented, was closely watched because of the wrestling organization’s enduring fan base and strong demand among consumers, TV networks and streaming services alike for live sporting events.

The company plans to pursue potential future acquisitions of companies focused on other sports, Shapiro said.

“We see a real opportunity to fold in other leagues to add to the equation,” he said. The company plans to spend the next 18 months focused on integrating its holdings before exploring such acquisitions.

The combination of the two fight-focused companies gave UFC an enterprise value of $12.1 billion and WWE an enterprise value of $9.3 billion, the companies said in April when the deal was announced.

The company’s TV and streaming deals for WWE and UFC content expire within the next three years, which could give TKO an opportunity to increase the rights fees for the popular content. Streaming platforms eager to attract and retain customers view live sports as a way to keep customers engaged regularly for long viewing sessions.

Disney’s long-term deal for UFC content expires in late 2025. That pact, which provides fights for both ESPN and ESPN+, expires next year and is valued at $300 million annually, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Deals for WWE’s “SmackDown” and “Raw,” which air on Fox and NBCUniversal’s USA Network respectively, expire next year. The combined value of those deals is about $468 million annually, The Wall Street Journal previously reported.

Peacock’s five-year deal to stream WWE fare expires in 2026 and is valued at more than $1 billion.

WWE Chairman Vince McMahon will serve as executive chairman of TKO. Other board members include Jonathan Kraft, president of the Kraft Group, which owns the New England Patriots; former CBS Entertainment President Nancy Tellem; and Steve Koonin, chief executive of the Atlanta Hawks NBA franchise.

McMahon briefly left the WWE following a series of articles from The Wall Street Journal that detailed payments he had made for decades to suppress allegations of sexual misconduct.

Following the revelations, McMahon retired in July 2022 after 40 years. He returned in January to pursue a sale, the Journal previously reported.

FT : Ari Emanuel’s martial arts group TKO eyes $1bn earnings as it lists in New

Ari Emanuel’s martial arts group TKO eyes $1bn earnings as it lists in New York
Combination of World Wrestling Entertainment and UFC takes aim at growing global fans

The combination of World Wrestling Entertainment and UFC into TKO, a new New York-listed company controlled by Ari Emanuel’s Endeavor group, is expected to generate more than $1bn in annual earnings as it targets a growing global audience of mixed martial arts fans.

Together, UFC and WWE will put on 350 live events worldwide each year and reach 1bn fans worldwide, Emanuel, Endeavor and TKO chief executive, told the Financial Times in an interview.

“TKO is ideally positioned to capitalise on the growing demand for premium sports content and live events,” he said. “You can’t underestimate the value of live sports in the TV ecosystem.”

TKO Group will begin trading on the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday, with Endeavor holding a 51 per cent controlling interest and WWE shareholders 49 per cent.

The listing comes just five months after Endeavor acquired WWE, the pro wrestling group led for decades by Vince McMahon — the latest of Emanuel’s big bets on live sports events and in-person experiences. In recent years he has amassed a portfolio that ranges from the Frieze Art Fair to the Professional Bull Riders league.

The combined companies are expected to generate more than $1bn in annual earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation on at least $2.5bn in revenue, according to an investor presentation.

The company is also expected to benefit from the escalating prices for TV sports rights deals, analysts said. WWE signed a $1bn rights agreement with NBC’s Peacock streaming network in 2021, which will be up for renewal in 2026.

“We think the world is going to have more free time than ever with AI,” Emanuel said. “I think the weekends are going to be like in college — it starts Thursday night. You will need experiences.”

The UFC has been a cash-spinner for Endeavor, which was estimated to have a standalone enterprise value of $12.1bn. After Formula One, UFC has experienced the highest growth in attendance of any sport over the past five years, according to Morgan Stanley. It also has the advantage of being a global sport without teams or franchises to manage, which has helped it generate the highest profit margins of its industry peers, the investment bank added.

WWE, a family business for decades until this year’s deal with Endeavor, has produced stars including Hulk Hogan and Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson.

The Securities and Exchange Commission has been investigating McMahon following allegations last year that he paid millions of dollars to women to keep them quiet about alleged affairs. He has denied wrongdoing and serves as executive chair of the new company.

“There’s an ongoing investigation,” Emanuel said. “That’s all we can say about that.”

The combined companies are expected to benefit from tapping into Endeavor’s other businesses, which include sponsorship, ticketing and hospitality groups, as well as the William Morris talent agency.

Endeavor is losing an estimated $25mn a month because of the strikes by the Hollywood writers and screen actors unions. Emanuel said that if a breakthrough between the studios and unions does not happen in the next two to three weeks, then a deal is unlikely to materialise “until the end of the year.

“There’s a lot of nervous people because it’s affecting the economics on both sides,” he said. “Everybody’s hurting right now. Hopefully they can see through to getting to a deal.”

FT : Smurfit chief defends switching main listing to New York after WestRock dea

Smurfit chief defends switching main listing to New York after WestRock deal
Irish group’s tie-up with US rival will create world’s largest packaging company

The head of paper and packaging group Smurfit Kappa has defended the decision to switch the company’s primary listing to New York as part of a merger with US rival WestRock, saying that he expects the combined group will achieve a higher valuation on Wall Street.

Dublin-based Smurfit is ditching its main listing in London and leaving the blue-chip FTSE 100 index in favour of New York, where shares of WestRock already trade.

The tie-up between the groups comes as the benefits from a pandemic-driven boom in ecommerce fades, dragging the shares of Smurfit, WestRock and rival International Paper down from highs hit in 2021.

“We want to gravitate towards a market that has much more liquidity and higher ratings,” said Tony Smurfit, who will be chief executive of the combined group, which will be called Smurfit WestRock.

“And if we’re the best, which I think we will be, in time, then we will have a significantly higher rating than we currently have, which obviously will translate into significant value creation for our owners,” he added.

The decision underlines the challenges facing a London market that over the past year has missed out on the initial public offering of UK chipmaker Arm and suffered a severe slowdown in listings. Smurfit WestRock will retain a standard listing in London.

Under the terms of the deal announced on Tuesday, Smurfit shareholders will own 50.4 per cent of the combined company and WestRock investors will own the remaining 49.6 per cent.

The deal values each WestRock share at $43.51, a 28 per cent premium to the stock’s closing price on Tuesday and 36 per cent above where it was trading before the companies disclosed last week that they were in talks.

Shares in Smurfit fell 8 per cent on Tuesday, with analysts at JPMorgan saying that investors had expected the deal to have a smaller premium. WestRock shares gained 7 per cent in pre-market trading in New York.

Tony Smurfit, who has run the Irish group since 2015, shrugged off the fall in the share price, saying that “when people understand the transaction and see the potential benefit, I think that [the share price] will come back strongly”.

“We believe together we’ll be much stronger. And so, you know, there’s a price to be paid for that,” he added. Smurfit WestRock expects to be the world’s largest packaging company by revenues in packaging, surpassing International Paper.

The two companies first began talks eight months ago after WestRock approached Smurfit about an initial deal that was not pursued.

David Sewell, chief executive of WestRock, said that combining the groups would provide a “truly comprehensive offering of packaging solutions for customers and delivers meaningful value to our shareholders today and into the future”.

Smurfit and WestRock, which has its headquarters in Atlanta, expect to wring $400mn of synergies from the deal in the first year after its completion.

The merger “gives us 65 per cent of our business in the Americas, which justifies the reason why we should be in the United States”, Smurfit said. “If you’ve just a small [US] presence, I don’t think it makes sense,” he added of the listing decision.

Despite the post-pandemic slowdown, Smurfit was upbeat on the outlook for the paper and packaging industry. “I think the corrugated packaging business, the speciality consumer business have a fantastic future . . . the replacement of plastic products in a more and more sustainable world is going to be replaced by our products.”

FT : How a quiet regional poll turned into a debate about Germany’s past and fut

How a quiet regional poll turned into a debate about Germany’s past and future
An antisemitism scandal has derailed Christian Democrat hopes for forthcoming elections

The upcoming elections in Hessen and Bavaria on October 8 had looked practically tailor-made for Germany’s centre-right Christian Democrats to prove their vigour and resilience. Both are large western states run by conservative minister-presidents favoured for re-election. In Frankfurt, the CDU has governed in discreet harmony with the Greens since 2014. In Munich, its sister party the Christian Social Union has been in power since 1957; it has been sharing it with the Free Voters, a libertarian-ish local party, since 2018. 

Hessen and Bavaria have deeply traditionalist voter bases. At a time when hard-right groups are besieging conservative parties across Europe, this fact has helped keep a surging, radicalised Alternative for Germany at bay in both states. (The AfD is polling at or over 20 per cent nationwide, but only at 16 in Hessen and 12 in Bavaria.)

Coming at the halfway point between general elections, these two state votes were expected to work like midterms in the US: as a protest against the unloved “traffic light” coalition headed by chancellor Olaf Scholz. In an ideal conservative world, they would not merely return the two minister presidents to office but burnish their chances — and the party’s — for national leadership in 2025. Hessen’s Boris Rhein is still a relative unknown; but Bavaria’s Markus Söder has made no secret of his conviction that the place for a man of his stature and ambition is Berlin. 

But in late August, the Free Voters’ leader Hubert Aiwanger had to admit the accuracy of newspaper accusations that he had been found in possession of copies of a leaflet with hateful jokes about concentration camps as a schoolboy in 1987; a number of fellow students subsequently accused him of making antisemitic quips and the Hitler salute.

And with that, a quiet and seemingly predictable regional election campaign turned into an explosive national debate over Germany’s treatment of the Holocaust, its much-vaunted “culture of memory”, the future of the country’s centre-right, and the character and judgment of its conservative leaders. 

It could have been so easy. Aiwanger could have immediately expressed remorse, apologised and atoned. Instead, he remarked thinly that the pamphlet was “disgusting and inhuman”, but he had not written it; shortly thereafter, his brother said he had been the author. A few days later, Aiwanger did aver that he was sorry. Yet his afterthoughts — that he had not been an antisemite “since becoming an adult”, and that he was the victim of a media vendetta — did not help matters. (Aiwanger has flirted with AfD tropes like the “silent majority” and “taking back democracy”.) 

The director of the Dachau concentration camp memorial noted that the pamphlet, far from being a schoolboy’s angry rant, was carefully composed and “full of extreme right codes”. It also reflected an unusual depth of knowledge about how the Nazi machinery of mass murder worked — at a time when a not inconsiderable number of Germans still claimed such nasty details were allied propaganda.

The 90-year-old Charlotte Knobloch, a Holocaust survivor and leader of the Jewish community in Bavaria, said that she had not accepted Aiwanger’s apology. There were nationwide calls for Aiwanger to resign, or for Söder to fire him. 

Remarkably, none of it happened. The obdurate Aiwanger is filling beer tents across Bavaria, cheered by supporters who know that the gifted populist is their party’s single viable candidate. Söder — faced with the realisation that the Greens, whom he has vilified, would be his only alternative — clenched his teeth and said that while he was deeply unsatisfied with Aiwanger’s responses to questions, letting him go now would be “disproportionate”.

Friedrich Merz, the CDU’s national leader, who himself is trying to shift his party towards a more hard-edged conservatism and has referred to the Greens as the “main enemy”, applauded Söder for his “brilliant” handling of the situation. The political fate of the three men is now interlocked; and all three already appear diminished by this sordid episode of lessons from history not learnt.

The voters will deliver their final verdict on October 8 — but there are some warning signs already. The Free Voters’ poll numbers are ticking up, while those of the CSU are slipping. In the last election, in 2018, Söder had himself toyed with an “AfD-lite” discourse. He was punished with the CSU’s lowest vote share since 1950: 37 per cent. The latest poll has it at 36. But more is at stake than the future of Germany’s last big-tent party.

FT : England’s green watchdog finds ‘possible failures’ in applying sewage laws

England’s green watchdog finds ‘possible failures’ in applying sewage laws
Roles of government, Environment Agency and Ofwat in monitoring and enforcement of discharges by water companies under scrutiny

England’s environmental watchdog said on Tuesday it had identified “possible failures” by the government and two regulators in the way they monitor and enforce water companies’ handling of sewage spills.

The findings by the Office for Environmental Protection follow a year-long investigation as public anger has grown over the amount of raw sewage being pumped into rivers and coastal waters by water companies.

By law, the discharge of untreated effluent directly into waterways is only allowed under “exceptional circumstances” such as heavy rain. But the watchdog said the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, the Environment Agency and Ofwat, the water industry regulator, “may have interpreted the law differently, permitting such discharges to occur more often”.

Academics from Imperial College London and campaign groups have collected evidence that suggests some water companies have pumped raw sewage into coastal waters and rivers even during dry periods.

The OEP, which launched the probe after a complaint by the campaign group Wildfish, has given the government and regulators two months to respond to its findings and outline what steps, if any, they plan to take.

This is thought to be the first time the agency, which was set up post-Brexit to replace some of the oversight functions of the European Commission in Brussels, has used its powers. The watchdog can ultimately take legal action to enforce compliance.

Guy Linley-Adams, WildFish’s in-house solicitor, said: “Let’s be quite clear here. Those three public bodies are complicit in allowing the pollution. That must now end.”

The government said that it disagreed with the OEP’s “initial interpretations, which cover points of law spanning over two decades” but it said it would continue to “work constructively” on the issue with the watchdog.

The Environment Agency said it shared the OEP’s “ambition to drive improvements in water quality”, adding: “We will always take action against companies that do not follow the rules or those that are deliberately obstructive.”

Ofwat said: “We welcome the OEP’s considerations, particularly on the clarity of responsibilities for the protection of the environment and we will work with them as their investigation moves forward.”

The intervention comes as water companies face several legal cases and regulatory investigations into sewage outflows.

The Environment Agency last year launched a criminal investigation into companies’ compliance with discharge permits at sewage treatment works. Ofwat also has a separate investigation into the management of sewage treatment works, which could result in hefty fines. Neither investigation has yet been concluded.