>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Orange (FTE TH) +4.1%
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +3.8%
  • Orsted (D2G TH) +2.5%
    • Ørsted Kicks Off Construction of Carbon Capture Project in Denmark
  • Rubis (BYN TH) +2.3%
  • Worldline (WO6 TH) +2.2%
  • CaixaBank (48CA TH) +2.1%
  • Coloplast (CBHD TH) +1.6%
  • Burberry (BB2 TH) +1.4%
  • Solvay (SOL TH) +1.3%
  • BAE (BSP TH) +1.2%
  • Shell (R6C0 TH) -1.1%
  • TotalEnergies (TOTB TH) -1.1%
  • Glencore (8GC TH) -1.1%
  • Ryanair (RY4C TH) -1.2%
    • Ryanair Nov. Load Factor 92%
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) -1.3%
  • Anglo American (NGLB TH) -1.3%
    • Iron Ore Extends Weekly Decline With Demand Outlook Uncertain
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) -1.4%
    • Freenet Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 29.50 euros
  • Leonardo (FMNB TH) -1.4%
  • UPM-Kymmene (RPL TH) -1.4%
  • ASMI (AVS TH) -1.6%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.4%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +1.1%
MDAX:
  • RTL (RRTL TH) +0.9%
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) -1.1%
    • Freenet Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 29.50 euros
  • United Internet (UTDI TH) -1.3%
SDAX:
  • PVA TePla (TPE TH) +3.5%
    • PVA TePla Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 27 euros
  • Suess MicroTec (SMHN TH) -1.5%
  • Vossloh (VOS TH) -2.2%
    • Vossloh Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 44 euros
  • Kontron (KTN TH) -3.3%
  • 1&1 (DRI TH) -3.7%
    • 1&1 Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 20 euros

>>> What to look at today - 4th of December 2023

Treasuries slipped and gold fell from session highs on Monday, as markets pared some of the Friday moves that defied Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s reminder that policymakers are in no hurry to cut interest rates. Yields rose across tenors in Treasuries, with those of the benchmark 10-year trading around 4.25%. US government bonds had rallied Friday as swaps priced in a reduction by May, even after Powell said the central bank is ready to hike further if needed, while also noting that policy is “well into restrictive territory.” Meanwhile, gold slipped from earlier intraday highs, trading around $2,085.34 an ounce and still on track for a record close. Bitcoin climbed nearly 3% to the highest since April 2022, continuing its multi-month rise on expectations of new exchange-traded fund approvals in the US. Asian shares were mixed, with gains in Australian and Korean stocks, while Japanese equities fell. S&P 500 futures were steady. Hong Kong and mainland China stocks were on the back foot. Shares of distressed developer China Evergrande Group, however, surged as much as 22% after a Hong Kong court again postponed a decision on whether the world’s most-indebted property developer should be wound up.
Oil traded lower amid sustained skepticism that the latest supply cuts by OPEC+ will turn the market’s tide. This week, traders will be monitoring for clues to the health of the global economy with Australian growth, Chinese inflation and US non-farm payrolls data all due. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to sound hawkish as it keeps its rate on hold on Tuesday after governor Michele Bullock warned inflation is now homegrown. While the cooler-than-expected inflation will keep the RBA on hold, “sticky ‘homegrown’ services inflation will ensure a tightening bias is retained,” Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG Group in Sydney, wrote in a note to clients. “A rate hike in February hinges on the outcome of the December quarter inflation due for release in late January.”  US airline stocks will be in focus when Wall Street reopens Monday after Alaska Air Group Inc agreed to buy rival Hawaiian Holdings Inc.’s Hawaiian Airlines in a deal valued at $1.9 billion. Investors will also keep watch on geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Israel has resumed its military operation in Gaza, a US warship was attacked in the Red Sea and Houthi rebels in Yemen said they had carried out operations against two Israeli ships. 

Nikkei -0.60% Hang Seng -0.57% CSI -0.51% Shanghai -0.18% Shenzen -0.22%

Eur$ 1.0869 CNH 7.1421 CNY 7.1386 JPY 146.75 GBP 1.2675 CHF 0.8711 RUB 91.0267 TRY 28.9440 WTI$ 73.86 -0.82% Gold 2,076 +0.17% BTC 41,418 +4.25% ETH 2,250 +3%

S&P -0.18% Nasdaq -0.32% EuroStoxx +0.03% FTSE -0.15% Dax +0.14% SMI +0.05%

Macro :
- Bitcoin Hits $40,000 Level for the First Time Since May 2022
- Europe’s €460 Billion China Exposure Faces Early 2024 Test
- US Approves $2 Billion Sale of Military Devices to Australia
- Stoxx Europe 600 Replaces 7 Companies (Adevinta, Cranswick, BCO Comercial Portugues, Swissquote ‘R’,Zealand Pharma, Vallourec and Tag Immobilien were added Ams-Osram, Energean, Nordic Semiconductor, Nel, Kindred Group, Genus and CNH Industrial were deleted)

Keep an eye on :
- AC FP : Saudi Arabia Buys 49% of Rocco Forte’s Luxury Hotel Chain: FT
- AIR FP : Airbus notched a single order this year for its worst-selling plane
- ALO FP : Worldline, Alstom May Exit CAC 40 in Review, Les Echos Says
- BA US : Boeing Cut From US Air Force ‘Doomsday Plane’ Competition: Rtrs
- CON GY : Continental Under Pressure to Find EV Path After Stumbles
- DHL GY : Teamsters Union Authorizes Strike at DHL Cincinnati Hub
- ELI BB : Elia Group to Buy 35.1% Stake in energyRe Giga
- 3333 HK : Evergrande Faces Final Chance to Avoid Liquidation by HK Court
- 3333 HK : Evergrande Winding-up Hearing in Hong Kong Adjourned to Jan. 29
- FTCH US : Point72 Reports 5.3% Passive Stake in Farfetch
- FLTR LN : Wolters Kluwer to Replace Flutter Entertainment on Euro Stoxx 50
- GAZP RM : Russian Gas Glut Shows Austria Still in Kremlin’s Energy Orbit
- HHFA GY : Tokyo to Launch Hydrogen Trading Market, Governor Says: Asahi
- HYL BB : Hyloris Says Partner Padagis Got US FDA Approval for Podofilox
- NOVOB DC : $11 Billion Obesity Market in 2024? Novo to Lead as Lilly Debuts
- PHNX LN : Phoenix Group Reports IPO on Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange
- RIO LN : Rio Tinto Approves New Solar Farm to Power Amrun Bauxite Ops
- ROG SW : Roche to Buy Carmot Therapeutics for Up to $3.1B
- RWE GY : RWE CEO Says Europe Still Vulnerable to Gas Supply Shocks: FT
- LOCAL FP : Solocal Seeks Bondholder Approval to Postpone Coupon Payment
- STJ LN : Somerset Assets Plunge as St. James’s Place Cuts Ties, FT Says
- SHLN SW : Swiss Life Says Matthias Aellig to Succeed Patrick Frost as CEO
- TKO FP : Tikehau to Invest in Japan Energy Transition, Cybersecurity
- UBSG SW : UBS’s Ermotti to Find Potential Successor Within Three Years
- UBSG SW : UBS Sells Credit Suisse Jet Used by Ex-Chair Horta-Osorio: FT
- VWS DC : Vestas Agrees to Expand DTEK’s Onshore Wind Farm in Ukraine
- WEN US : Activist Blackwells Said to Push for Wendy’s Board Changes
- WKL NA : Wolters Kluwer to Replace Flutter Entertainment on Euro Stoxx 50
- WLN FP : Worldline, Alstom May Exit CAC 40 in Review, Les Echos Says

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 4th of December 2023

>>> Up
* 3M Co Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT $107
* Autostore Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 23 kroner
* BBVA Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 13 euros
* BFF Bank PT Raised to 13 euros from 10.50 euros at Jefferies
* Coca-Cola Europacific Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT $70
* DS Smith Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 360 pence
* General Motors Raised to Buy at Mizuho Securities; PT $42
* J. Martins Raised to Outperform at Bernstein; PT 26 euros
* Pan African Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 20 pence
* Proximus Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 13 euros
* PVA TePla Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 27 euros
* Rolls-Royce Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 400 pence
* Softcat Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 1,540 pence
* Telenor Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 144 kroner
* Telia Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 35 kronor

>>> Down
* 1&1 Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 20 euros
* Clariane SE Cut to Sell at AlphaValue/Baader
* Diageo PT Cut to 2,500 pence from 2,700 pence at RBC
* Freenet Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 29.50 euros
* Frontier Developments Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 170 pence
* Future PLC Cut to Underperform at Jefferies; PT 730 pence
* Glencore Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 475 pence
* IMCD Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 120 euros
* INWIT Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 13.50 euros
* IPC Cut to Sector Perform at ATB Capital; PT 126.80 kronor
* Pan African Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 20 pence
* Roche Cut to Sell at Intron Health; PT 200 Swiss francs
* Swisscom Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 508 Swiss francs
* Vossloh Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 44 euros
* Wihlborgs Cut to Hold at DNB Markets; PT 90 kronor
* Wizz Air Cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank; PT 1,550 pence

>>> Initiation
* ArcelorMittal Reinstated Buy at Jefferies; PT 33 euros
* Coca-Cola Femsa ADRs Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT $100.58
* Fortnox Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 70 kronor
* Salzgitter Reinstated Hold at Jefferies; PT 30 euros
* Schott Pharma Rated New Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 30 euros
* SSAB Reinstated Hold at Jefferies; PT 78 kronor
* Tecan Rated New Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Voestalpine Reinstated Hold at Jefferies; PT 29.50 euros

>>> Call
* ArcelorMittal Is Preferred European Steel Name at Jefferies
* Tecan New Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley on Near-Term Risks

FT : Saudi Arabia buys 49% of Rocco Forte’s luxury hotel chain

Saudi Arabia buys 49% of Rocco Forte’s luxury hotel chain
Country’s $700bn Public Investment Fund plans to invest tens of millions to double the chain’s portfolio in five years

Saudi Arabia’s $700bn Public Investment Fund is buying a 49 per cent stake in Sir Rocco Forte’s luxury hotel group and planning to double the chain’s size over the next five years with new hotels in the Middle East, Italy and the US.

The deal, announced on Monday, values Forte’s group of 14 hotels across Europe at £1.2bn and implies an enterprise value, including debt, of £1.4bn, according to people familiar with the details. As part of the deal, Italian sovereign wealth fund CDP Equity, which owned a 23 per cent stake, will exit the business, along with four of Forte’s five sisters.

Forte, alongside his sister Olga Polizzi, will retain a controlling 51 per cent stake. The PIF will also invest tens of millions of pounds in the group to double the size of its hotel portfolio over the next five years.

In an interview with the Financial Times in Brown’s Hotel in London’s Mayfair, Forte, who chairs the group, said he was “very bullish” about demand from US travellers, which account for more than a third of turnover, and that he expected “a lot more business” from visitors based in the Middle East thanks to the partnership with Saudi Arabia.

It is not the first time that Forte has promised expansion but he said the backing of Saudi Arabia would give the business more financial firepower this time.

“We’re in a good position in the right industry at the right time,” said Forte, arguing that the luxury hotel sector was “quite protected [from an economic slowdown] compared to the rest of the economy”.

Rocco Forte Hotels plans to open three new hotels in 2024 and 2025, including one in Dubai, which will mark the group’s return to the Middle East after its management contract with a hotel in the Saudi Arabian city of Jeddah ended in 2019. Forte said he was planning a trip to Saudi Arabia to look at locations early next year.

The group already has eight hotels in Italy.

The deal is the latest in a long line of investments in the luxury hospitality sector by the PIF, as part of a push by the fund to diversify Saudi Arabia’s economy away from fossil fuels. Last year, it bought minority stakes in luxury hotel groups Aman Resorts and Habitas.

Turqi Alnowaiser, deputy governor at PIF, said the investment reflects the fund’s belief in the “current potential of the hospitality and tourism industry”. PIF will be given two board seats and the Forte family will have three.

“Having a partner like PIF gives you much more solidity to the outside eye . . . banks love you much more,” said Forte. But he added that the business, which he built after losing the Forte Group owned by his father Charles in a hostile takeover, was still at heart a family-run company. “We’re in the hotels on a regular basis: people see us, they hear from us directly . . . they see how much we care about the details.”

The investment comes after a summer travel boom in Europe despite rising hotel and flight prices. The luxury sector did particularly well. Average daily room rates in the European luxury hotel sector are 48 per cent ahead of 2019 levels, according to industry data tracker CoStar, compared with a 24 per cent increase for the wider sector.

In the year to the end of April, Rocco Forte Hotels recorded group revenues of £293.5mn, up from £166.5mn a year earlier when coronavirus restrictions affected trading. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation were £64.2mn, up from £18.1mn a year earlier.