>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • CNMD -9.5%, MXL -9.3%, BV -7.1%, ING -6.2%, CHRW -6.1%, WOLF -5.9%, MKL -5.3%, BC -5.2%, LSTR -4%, CAH -3.9%, AFL -3.4%, BDX -2.9%, MTH -2.5%, HON -2.3%, SIGI -2.1%, AVB -2% (also increases dividend), PTC -2%, QCOM -1.9%, SNY -1.9%, EGHT -1.8%, MET -1.7%, BR -1.6%, VSTO -1.1%, OCSL -1.1%, DOV -0.9%
Other news:
  • RKLB -9.1% ($275 mln convertible notes offering)
  • ARQT -6.1% (files $300 mln mixed shelf securities offering)
  • HSAI -4.6% (issues statement on the U.S. Department of Defense "Chinese Military Companies" List)
  • AVD -2% (confirms 2023 and 2024 targets)
Analyst comments:
  • AMPL -4.1% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
  • ZI -2.2% (downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley)
  • PAGS -1.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at New Street)
  • EXTR -1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS)
  • STNE -0.9% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS)
  • LII -0.8% (downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • NXT +21.3%, RCI +16.7%, CMPR +14.9%, ALGN +13.1%, GOOS +12.6%, RYN +7.8%, RACE +6.6%, DB +6%, PBI +5.8%, QRVO +5.5% (also to acquire Anokiwave), BALL +5.5%, LPG +5.4%, ATI +5.2%, CMS +4.9%, EZPW +4.7%, RVTY +4.5%, DGII +4.3%, MEOH +4%, SNCY +4%, CTVA +3.8%, PH +2.8%, ETN +2.7%, HII +2.7%, JHG +2.6%, FLEX +2.4%, CACC +2.4%, RCL +2.4%, THG +2.3%, SHEL +2.3%, MTG +2.2%, NYCB +2.2%, NTGR +2%, TT +2%, PTON +2%, BOOT +1.8%, ASX +1.8%, KEX +1.7%, ATKR +1.6%, SBH +1.2%, LANC +1.2%, MO +1.1%, MRK +1%
Other news:
  • PTGX +8% (PTGX and TAK enter into license and collaboration deal)
  • NTLA +4.9% (announces publication of interim Phase 1 Data for NTLA-2002)
  • AHG +4.3% (to make equity investment in Deyihui)
  • UFI +3.5% (begins implementing profitability improvement plan)
  • NIO +2.8% (Dec deliveries)
  • LI +2.7% (Dec deliveries)
  • XPEV +2.4% (Dec deliveries)
  • PARA +2.1% (taking initial steps toward possible sale according to NY Post)
  • G +2.1% (G announces new multi-year engagement with ADV)
  • SPR +1.7% (FAA's previously announced audit of 737 MAX production to include SPR fuselage according to Reuters)
  • GSK +1.7% (issues statement on Zantac litigation)
  • BTBT +1.5% (expands mining fleet; finalizes deal for 6 MW of incremental hosting capacity)
  • BA +1.4% (FAA's previously announced audit of 737 MAX production to include SPR fuselage according to Reuters)
  • ES +1.4% (increases dividend)
  • ZCAR +1.3% (introduces new product category with 50% lower pricing)
  • AMPS +1.1% (acquires 84MW portfolio from Vitol)
Analyst comments:
  • VERI +1.8% (upgraded to Neutral from Sell at ROTH)

>>> US Research Calls

Research Calls
  • Upgrades:
    • The Cigna Group (CI) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt raised to $370
    • easyJet (ESYJY) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan
    • NETSTREIT (NTST) upgraded to Sector Weight from Underweight at KeyBanc Capital Markets
    • Rockwell Automation (ROK) upgraded to Buy from Outperform at Daiwa Securities; tgt $310
    • Veritone (VERI) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at ROTH MKM; tgt lowered to $1.85
  • Downgrades:
    • Amplitude (AMPL) downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $12
    • Brookfield Asset Mgmt (BAM) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC Securities
    • Corning (GLW) downgraded to Reduce from Hold at HSBC Securities; tgt $29
    • Extreme Networks (EXTR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS; tgt lowered to $14
    • Extreme Networks (EXTR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Rosenblatt; tgt lowered to $15
    • Lennox Int'l (LII) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $330
    • New York Community (NYCB) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt lowered to $7
    • New York Community (NYCB) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies; tgt lowered to $7
    • PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at New Street; tgt $15
    • PPG Industries (PPG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Redburn Atlantic; tgt $160
    • Qualcomm (QCOM) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup; tgt $160
    • Safran SA (SAFRY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman
    • StoneCo (STNE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS; tgt raised to $21
    • Tricon Residential (TCN) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • ZoomInfo (ZI) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $20
  • Others:
    • Ally Financial (ALLY) added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List
    • Archer-Daniels (ADM) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $57
    • Arvinas (ARVN) initiated with a Buy at Goldman; tgt $70
    • AT&T (T) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt raised to $21
    • BellRing Brands (BRBR) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $67
    • biote Corp. (BTMD) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies
    • Bunge (BG) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $108
    • Campbell Soup (CPB) initiated with a Sell at Citigroup; tgt $41
    • Conagra (CAG) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $30
    • Darling Ingredients (DAR) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $49
    • Dynavax (DVAX) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman; tgt $20
    • Freshpet (FRPT) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $94
    • General Mills (GIS) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $67
    • Guidewire Software (GWRE) initiated with an Outperform at Raymond James; tgt $125
    • Hershey Foods (HSY) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $213
    • Hormel Foods (HRL) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $31
    • Installed Building Products (IBP) added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List
    • J.M. Smucker (SJM) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $153
    • JPMorgan Chase (JPM) removed from Goldman's Conviction Buy List
    • Kellanova (K) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $57
    • Kraft Heinz (KHC) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $43
    • Lamb Weston (LW) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $132
    • Lennox Int'l (LII) resumed with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $523
    • Mama's Creations (MAMA) initiated with a Buy at ROTH MKM; tgt $6
    • McCormick (MKC) initiated with a Sell at Citigroup; tgt $60
    • Mondelez Int'l (MDLZ) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $87
    • Okta (OKTA) removed from Goldman's Conviction Buy List
    • Quanterix (QTRX) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; tgt $30
    • Republic Services (RSG) removed from Goldman's Conviction Buy List
    • SilverBow Resources (SBOW) initiated with a Buy at Mizuho; tgt $40
    • SolarWinds (SWI) initiated with a Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $14
    • Target (TGT) added to Goldman's Conviction Buy List
    • Tyson Foods (TSN) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $56
    • WW (WW) removed from Goldman's Conviction Buy List

>>>

Ferrari beats by EUR0.14, revs in-line; guides FY24 EPS below consensus, revs in-line (345.92)
  • Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of EUR1.62 per share, EUR0.14better than the FactSet Consensus of EUR1.48; revenues rose 11.3% year/year to EUR1.52 bln vs the EUR1.51 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • Co issues guidance for FY24, sees EPS of at least EUR7.50, excluding non-recurring items, vs. EUR7.54 FactSet Consensus; sees FY24 revs of at least EUR6.4 bln vs. EUR6.446 bln FactSet Consensus.

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • NXT +22.8%, CMPR +14.3%, ALGN +12.2%, RYN +7.8%, AHG +7.3%, PTGX +6%, QRVO +5.3%, DB +5.1%, CTVA +4.9%, EZPW +4.7%, DGII +4.3%, RACE +4.2%, MEOH +4%, SNCY +4%, UFI +3.5%, NIO +3.5%, LI +3.1%, ATKR +3%, NTLA +2.9%, XPEV +2.9%, BTBT +2.7%, SHEL +2.5%, CACC +2.4%, THG +2.3%, MTG +2.2%, G +2.1%, FLEX +2.1%, NTGR +2%, BALL +2%, GSK +1.9%, PARA +1.8%, ASX +1.8%, BA +1.6%, ZCAR +1.3%, NYCB +1.2%
  • Gapping down:
    • MXL -13.5%, ARQT -9.9%, CNMD -9.5%, RKLB -7.4%, ING -7.4%, BV -7.1%, WOLF -6.7%, HSAI -6%, LSTR -4%, CVGW -3.7%, EGHT -3.3%, OCSL -3%, CHRW -2.8%, MTH -2.5%, SIGI -2.1%, AFL -2.1%, HON -2.1%, AVD -2%, PTC -2%, MET -1.8%, MKL -1.6%, KLIC -1.5%, SWK -1.4%, SNY -1.3%, QCOM -1.2%, VSTO -1.1%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 1st of February 2024

>>> Up
* EasyJet Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 690 pence
* KPN Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 3.55 euros
* Marshalls Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 420 pence
* Pihlajalinna Raised to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 7.40 euros
* PunaMusta Media Raised to Reduce at Inderes; PT 2.90 euros
* Rockwell Automation Raised to Buy at Daiwa; PT $310
* SSAB Raised to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 69 kronor

>>> Down
* Alphabet Cut to Hold at China Renaissance; PT $146
* BioArctic Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Boeing Cut to Sell at CFRA; PT $194
* Bytes Technology Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 675 pence
* Enel Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 6.50 euros
* Givaudan Cut to Neutral at Davy; PT 3,660 Swiss francs
* Mandatum Cut to Accumulate at OP Corporate Bank; PT 4.50 euros
* Next Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 8,500 pence
* Nucor Cut to Sell at CFRA
* Pets at Home Cut to Hold at Berenberg
* Rana Gruber Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 80 kroner
* Richemont Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 141 Swiss francs

>>> Initiation
* Mondelez Rated New Buy at Citi; PT $87
* Swedbank Reinstated Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 237 kronor

>>> Call
* Enel Cut to Hold at Jefferies on Limited Near-Term Catalysts
* KPN Upgraded to Buy at Citi as Financial Outlook Improves
* Marshalls Offers Interesting Rebuild Story, Berenberg Upgrades
* Puma Faces Increasing Competition, Cut to Sector Perform at RBC

>>> What to look at today - 1st of February 2024

China stocks gained on an official signaled potential spending plans, while shares in other Asian markets fell after disappointing US earnings reports and Federal Reserve pushback on interest-rate-cut expectations. China’s CSI 300 swung to gains after a four-day slump, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index advanced after a two-day decline. The Caixin manufacturing PMI gauge came in as expected, in expansion territory, and an official in Beijing said the government would set a “reasonable” size for investment. Shares in Australia and Japan slipped after the S&P 500 fell 1.6%, the most since September. Aozora Bank Ltd. fell 21% in Tokyo after it announced losses tied to US commercial property, echoing troubles for New York Community Bancorp in America. Contracts for US equities edged higher, with Nasdaq 100 futures outperforming, after Big Tech stalwarts like Microsoft Corp. and Alphabet Inc. led losses on Wall Street Wednesday. European contracts declined. Speaking after the Fed decision, Chair Jerome Powell said he doesn’t think it’s likely the central bank will ease policy in March. In a sign that officials are not in a hurry to lower rates, the central bank also said it “does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%.”  Treasuries held most of their gains in Asian trading. The yield on the 10-year note fell 12 basis points in the previous session after Powell’s comments and amid the fresh concerns about regional lenders. A gauge of dollar strength edged lower, while the yen led gains among its Group-of-10 peers. A separate report from the ADP Research Institute showed companies added a smaller-than-expected 107,000 jobs in January, and worker pay growth slowed. The market has been too quick to dismiss the threat posed by inflation after a “miraculous” decline toward central bank targets, said Greg Peters at PGIM Fixed Income. He’s worried that the hardest part of the fight against inflation is still ahead, implying more market volatility and a potential wake-up call for bondholders betting on deep interest-rate cuts this year.   Despite Wednesday’s losses, the S&P 500 and a gauge of global stocks advanced a third straight month last month. As goes January, so goes the year. That’s the theory of a phenomenon known as the “January Barometer” — Wall Street folklore positing that if stocks rise in that month, they’ll be poised to finish the year higher, and vice versa. Since 1938, the Barometer has been right about 74% of the time, with the next 11 months higher 67% of the time, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. In commodities, oil was mostly unchanged in Asia trading but capped its first monthly gain since September amid tensions in the Middle East. Gold advanced for a fourth consecutive day. US After Hours NXT +18.2%, CMPR +13%, ALGN +10.7%, RYN +5.8%, QRVO +4.9% higher on earnings; MXL -11.1%, CNMD -9.6%, QCOM -1.4% lower on earnings.

Nikkei -0.85% Hang Seng +0.90% CSI +0.48% Shanghai -0.17% Shenzen -0.05%

Eur$ 1.0849 CNH 7.1884 CNY 7.1787 JPY 146.80 GBP 1.2676 CHF 0.8636 RUB 89.8547 TRY 30.3667 WTI$ 76.16 +0.41% Gold 2,046 +0.30% BTC 42,035 -1% ETH 2,265 -0.60%

S&P +0.17% Nasdaq +0.30% EuroStoxx -0.30% FTSE -0.37% Dax -0.37% SMI

Macro :
- Fed Keeps Rates Steady While Powell Says March Cut Unlikely
- Gundlach Sees Grim Outlook for US Economy After Fed Decision
- Trump Says He Would Seek to Block Nippon Steel-US Steel Deal

Keep an eye on :
- ABBN SW : ABB Sees 2024 Op. EBITA Margin To 'Slightly' Improve Y/y
- ADS GY : Adidas Sees 2024 Operating Profit About EU500M, Est. EU1.27B
- AC FP : Travel + Leisure Enters Pact to Buy Accor Vacation Club
- AIR FP : Airbus Appoints New Chief Operating Officer for China Operations
- AS US : Arc’teryx Maker Amer Gets $1.37 Billion in Below-Range IPO
- AXFO SS : Axfood Profit Beats Estimates; to Open 10-15 Stores in 2024
- BABA US : Alibaba Said to Weigh Sale of Mall Chain in Latest Overhaul Step
- BG AV : Bawag to Buy Knab From ASR Nederland for EU510m
- BALN SW : Baloise, RGA Agree on Reinsurance Transaction of Belgium Assets
- BNP FP : BNP Paribas Restates 9 Month Distributable Net Income
- DSY FP : Dassault Systemes Sees 1Q Non-IFRS Rev Ex-FX +7% to +8%
- DBK GY : Deutsche Bank’s Investment Arm Reports Fourth Quarter of Inflows
- DIS US : *DISNEY IN PRELIM PACT TO SELL 60% OF INDIA UNIT TO VIACOM18:WSJ
- DSV DC : DSV 4Q Ebit Before Significant Items Misses Estimates
- DWS GY : DWS 4Q Net Inflows Beats Estimates, Plans Special Div. €4/Shr
- ELUXB SS : Electrolux Professional 4Q Ebit Beats Estimates
- ENI IM : Eni Says Acquisition of Neptune Has Been Completed
- EPR NO : Europris 4Q Revenue Misses Estimates
- GLJ GY : Grenke to Sell Factoring Companies, Focus on Leasing Business
- INGA NA : ING 4Q Net Interest Income Misses Estimates
- BAER SW : Julius Baer FY Net Inflows Misses Estimates
- KOA NO : Kongsberg Automotive Names Nyquist-Evenrud as President, CEO
- OMV AV : OMV 4Q Net Beats Estimates, Russian Gas Supplies Continue (1)
- OVS IM : OVS Reports ‘Slight Improvement’ to 2023 Prelim Adj. EBITDA
- PHIA NA : FDA Gets 176 New Death Reports in Philips Sleep Apnea Recall
- PUB FP : Roku is set to announce Publicis exec Jay Askinasi as its next ad sales boss
- RNO FP : Dealmaking Stellantis CEO Is Ready to Seize on Renault’s Setback
- RKLB US : Rocket Lab Said to Offer $275m Convertible at 3.75%-4.25% Coupon
- SAN FP : Sanofi 4Q Business EPS Misses Estimates
- SDZ SW : Sandoz Proposes Ex-Unilever CFO Pitkethly for Election to Board
- SHL GY : Siemens Healthineers 1Q Adjusted Ebit Misses Estimates
- WAF GY : Siltronic 4Q Ebitda Meets Estimates
- SW FP : Pluxee Stock Reference Price Set at €26 Per Share: Euronext
- STERV FH : Stora Enso 4Q Sales Misses Estimates
- VIV FP : Canal+ Makes Offer for MultiChoice, Potentially at 105 Rand/Shr
- VLTSA FP : Voltalia 4Q Revenue EU170.0M Vs. EU142M Y/y
- VOLCARB SS : Volvo Car to Stop Funding Polestar, May Distribute Shares
- X US : Trump Says He Would Seek to Block Nippon Steel-US Steel Deal