>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades
    • CenterPoint Energy (CNP) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays, tgt $37
    • Investar Holding (ISTR) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler, tgt $22
    • Marriott Vacations (VAC) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $57
    • PagBank (PAGS) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup, tgt $10
    • Public Storage (PSA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities, tgt $368
    • Sportradar (SRAD) upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA Securities, tgt $28
    • StoneCo (STNE) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup, tgt $15
    • Verra Mobility (VRRM) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird, tgt $27
  • Downgrades
    • Ambev (ABEV) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS
    • Alliant Energy (LNT) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $61
    • Comerica (CMA) downgraded to Underperform from In Line at Evercore ISI, tgt $50
    • Comerica (CMA) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan, tgt $52
    • eBay (EBAY) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein, tgt $65
    • Equinor (EQNR) downgraded to Underperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital
    • Frontdoor (FTDR) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan, tgt $40
    • Kraft Heinz (KHC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein, tgt $31
    • Macy's (M) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman, tgt $12
    • Resideo (REZI) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan, tgt $16
    • Stellantis (STLA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Redburn Atlantic
    • Texas Instruments (TXN) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays, tgt $125
    • Torrid (CURV) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman, tgt $4
    • UPS (UPS) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo, tgt $98
    • UnitedHealth (UNH) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC, tgt $490
    • Utz Brands (UTZ) downgraded to Hold from Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $15
    • Y-mAbs Therapeutics (YMAB) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities, tgt $3
    • Ziff Davis (ZD) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan, tgt $33
  • Others
    • Amcor (AMCR) initiated with a Market Perform at Raymond James
    • Amgen (AMGN) assumed at Neutral from Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald, tgt $305
    • American Water (AWK) initiated with an Underweight at Barclays, tgt $138
    • Avery Dennison (AVY) initiated with a Hold at Jefferies, tgt $175
    • Blaize (BZAI) initiated with a Neutral at Rosenblatt, tgt $3
    • Bristol Myers (BMY) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Sandler
    • Comstock Resources (CRK) initiated with a Neutral at UBS, tgt $19
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities, tgt $42
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with a Hold at Melius Research, tgt $40
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $41
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with an Outperform at Mizuho, tgt $46
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with a Buy at Stifel, tgt $55
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup, tgt $43
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with an Overweight at JPMorgan, tgt $43
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with an Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $46
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays, tgt $48
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman, tgt $54
    • CoreWeave (CRWV) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies, tgt $51
    • Eli Lilly (LLY) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald, tgt $975
    • Gilead (GILD) assumed at Overweight from Neutral at Cantor Fitzgerald, tgt $125
    • Global Net Lease (GNL) transferred with Neutral rating at B. Riley, tgt $8
    • Gulfport Energy (GPOR) initiated with a Buy at UBS, tgt $215
    • HubSpot (HUBS) initiated with an Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas, tgt $700
    • Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) initiated with a Buy at UBS, tgt $26
    • Matador (MTDR) initiated with a Neutral at UBS, tgt $47
    • Modiv (MDV) transferred with Buy rating at B. Riley, tgt $18
    • Molina Healthcare (MOH) initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein, tgt $414
    • OneStream (OS) initiated with an Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas, tgt $30
    • Regeneron (REGN) assumed at Overweight from Neutral at Cantor Fitzgerald, tgt $695
    • RMR Group (RMR) transferred with Buy rating at B. Riley, tgt $24
    • Service Properties (SVC) transferred with Neutral rating at B. Riley, tgt $2
    • Sonoco (SON) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies, tgt $62
    • Telefonica (TEF) initiated with a Market Perform at Bernstein
    • Vaxcyte (PCVX) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald
    • Vertex (VERX) initiated with an Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas, tgt $54
    • Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) assumed with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald, tgt $535
    • Workiva (WK) initiated with an Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas, tgt $100

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • CALX +13.4%, HCM +8.1%, IGT +6.3%, ELS +5.5%, ATKR +4.5%, DHR +3.4%, VCYT +3.3%, CWAN +3.1%, NMR +3.1%, APPN +2.6%, CATY +2.6%, FCPT +2.2%, SPGI +2%, WFRD +2%, HIMS +1.5%, NNI +1.4%, IBRX +1.2%, AZN +1.2%, SPNS +1.1%, REGN +1.1%
  • Gapping down:
    • MEDP -6.7%, AZZ -5.4%, ZION -4.5%, HXL -3.7%, MYGN -3.1%, CADE -1.5%, RYAN -1.3%, WTFC -0.8%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 19th/20th/21th of April 25 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Adidas Raised to Outperform at Baird; PT 240 euros
* Alten Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 100 euros (++)
* Boliden Raised to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 310 kronor
* Cheffelo Raised to Buy at Bryan Garnier; PT 61 kronor (+)
* Disney Raised to Outperform at Wolfe; PT $112
* Elisa Raised to Accumulate at OP Corporate Bank; PT 48 euros (++)
* Energean Raised to Buy at Berenberg
* L'Oreal ADRs PT Raised to $95 from $80 at Argus
* Marriott Vacations Raised to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley (++)
* Norsk Hydro Raised to Buy at Norne Securities; PT 60 kroner
* Norwegian Cruise Raised to Buy at Loop Capital; PT $25
* OVH Raised to Hold at Stifel; PT 11 euros
* Pernod Ricard Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 97 euros
* Sainsbury PT Raised to 330 pence from 305 pence at JPMorgan
* Siemens Energy Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader (++)
* Tate & Lyle Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 740 pence
* Thule Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 310 kronor

>>> Down
* Accenture Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT $306 (++)
* Alcoa PT Cut to $35 from $39 at Morgan Stanley
* Amazon Cut to Outperform at Raymond James
* Ambarella PT Cut to $80 from $100 at Susquehanna
* Banca Mediolanum Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 14.90 euros
* BMW Cut to Neutral at Redburn; PT 85 euros
* Boeing PT Cut to $215 from $250 at Benchmark
* Comer Industries Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 32 euros (+)
* Corbion PT Cut to 14 euros from 17 euros at ING (++)
* Datagroup Cut to Hold at Berenberg
* Equinor Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 260 kroner
* Global Payments Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $75
* Hoegh Autoliners Cut to Hold at Nordea (++)
* Kaiser Aluminum PT Cut to $74 from $100 at Benchmark
* Kitron Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 50 kroner (++)
* Macy's Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT $12
* Maersk Cut to Sell at Fearnley; PT 7,800 kroner (+)
* NOS Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 4.30 euros (+)
* Novo Cut to Neutral at Guggenheim
* Novo PT Cut to 350 kroner from 460 kroner at Intron Health
* NXP Semi PT Cut to $195 from $225 at Susquehanna
* Orsted Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 239.95 kroner
* Orsted cut Underperform, DKK265 PO at BofA
* Sainsbury PT Cut to 235 pence from 240 pence at BofA (+)
* Stellantis Cut to Neutral at Redburn; PT $11.54
* Texas Instruments Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT $125 (+)
* TSMC ADRs PT Cut to $200 from $270 at Argus
* UPS Cut to Equal-Weight at Wells Fargo; PT $98 (++)
* Wallenius Wilhelmsen Cut to Hold at Nordea (++)
* Warner Music Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $32

>>> Initiation
* Apple Reinstated Buy at China Renaissance; PT $241
* COSH NO Rated New Buy at Fearnley; PT 7 kroner
* Mildef Group Rated New Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 275 kronor (++)
* Roko Rated New Hold at SEB Equities; PT 1,975 kronor
* Roko Rated New Hold at Danske Bank Markets; PT 1,960 kronor (+)
* Strategy Rated New Buy at CTBC Securities; PT $420.20
* Technical Publications Rated New Buy at Integrae SIM (++)
* Tenaris Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 18.50 euros

>>> Call
* Equinor’s Free Cash Flow to Come Under Pressure, RBC Downgrades
* Morgan Stanley Strategists See More Risk for European Earnings (++)
* Orsted Cut to Underperform at BofA on US Policy Risks (+)
* UBS Sees S&P 500 Weakening More Before Bounce by End-2025 (++)

FT : Companies plan shift to green energy despite Trump-era rollbacks, survey sh

Companies plan shift to green energy despite Trump-era rollbacks, survey shows
Majority of 1,500 executives polled back a long-term move away from fossil fuels

More than half of nearly 1,500 business leaders of medium and large companies plan to relocate their operations within five years to better access renewable sources, a survey carried out across 15 countries has found, and almost all of them backed a long-term shift away from fossil fuels.

The findings were based on interviews with about 100 C-suite executives from each of the countries since Donald Trump was voted back into the White House, which has triggered concerns about companies backing away from their commitments to a green transition. The countries included the US, UK, Germany, Brazil and India.

Liz Minné, director and head of global sustainability at Interface, the US flooring company, said the polling showed that “global businesses understand the urgent need to shift from fossil fuels to renewables.” 

While participation in the survey was anonymous, Iberdrola, Natura and Schneider Electric were among those to lend their backing to the findings.

“A rapid shift from fossil fuels to renewable power and electrification makes strong business sense and ensures energy security and resilience,” said Iberdrola’s global director of climate change and alliances, Gonzalo Sáenz de Miera.

More than three-quarters of businesses surveyed supported a shift to a renewables-based electricity system by 2035 or sooner, according to the poll, which was carried out between December and February.

A similar number said they associated renewables with stronger energy security, while the majority wanted to bypass gas supplies in a shift away from coal, to instead move straight to renewables and electricity storage systems.

Some 52 per cent of those polled said they would move their operations and 49 per cent would shift supply chains to better access to renewables-based power systems within five years, if their home market lacked green energy. This figure jumped to 89 per cent of senior executives within ten years. 

“If enacted, such measures could have huge ramifications for countries’ international competitiveness and domestic revenues,” the research said.

Additionally, according to the poll, nine out of ten said access to renewables-based electricity was a “top priority” when weighing up potential destinations for new investment.

More than 80 per cent said that the issue also influenced where they would opt to locate their business operations and which countries they turned to for the procurement of goods and services.

As many as 93 per cent of those polled said they were considering investing in their own on-site renewable facilities.

The results showed that despite the political and economic uncertainty, the executives “strongly support a rapid transition to renewable power”, said Nick Mabey, chief executive of E3G, a green think-tank that commissioned the research alongside climate-focused groups Beyond Fossil Fuels and We Mean Business Coalition.

The research said the while US policy emphasised fossil fuel expansion, 97 per cent of the American executives polled wanted to see the government expand renewable electricity in the grid.

Since taking office in January, Trump has launched a sweeping attack on climate policies in the US, while his threatened tariffs have sparked fears of a global trade war that could push the cost of the energy transition higher. Last week, his administration issued an order to stop the construction of a major offshore wind project in New York.

There are also concerns of green backtracking in Europe, as the continent rushes to pay for re-arming following Trump’s threats to leave Nato.

But 78 per cent of German business leaders in the survey said an accelerated renewable transition would reduce the country’s exposure to volatile energy imports. 

In the UK, 55 per cent of executives said renewables would help drive economic growth, but flagged concerns about the high upfront costs with shift to renewable energy as a barrier to the transition.

In India, 84 per cent of executives backed a shift from fossil fuels to renewables-based electricity generation within the next decade, despite the country’s heavy reliance on coal power.

Overall, at least three-quarters of respondents linked renewables to economic growth and crucial to job creation. 

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 19th/20th/21th of April 25 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Adidas Raised to Outperform at Baird; PT 240 euros
* Boliden Raised to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 310 kronor
* Cheffelo Raised to Buy at Bryan Garnier; PT 61 kronor (+)
* Disney Raised to Outperform at Wolfe; PT $112
* Energean Raised to Buy at Berenberg
* L'Oreal ADRs PT Raised to $95 from $80 at Argus
* Norsk Hydro Raised to Buy at Norne Securities; PT 60 kroner
* Norwegian Cruise Raised to Buy at Loop Capital; PT $25
* OVH Raised to Hold at Stifel; PT 11 euros
* Pernod Ricard Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 97 euros
* Sainsbury PT Raised to 330 pence from 305 pence at JPMorgan
* Tate & Lyle Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 740 pence
* Thule Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 310 kronor

>>> Down
* Alcoa PT Cut to $35 from $39 at Morgan Stanley
* Amazon Cut to Outperform at Raymond James
* Ambarella PT Cut to $80 from $100 at Susquehanna
* Banca Mediolanum Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 14.90 euros
* BMW Cut to Neutral at Redburn; PT 85 euros
* Boeing PT Cut to $215 from $250 at Benchmark
* Comer Industries Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 32 euros (+)
* Datagroup Cut to Hold at Berenberg
* Equinor Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 260 kroner
* Global Payments Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT $75
* Kaiser Aluminum PT Cut to $74 from $100 at Benchmark
* Macy's Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT $12
* Maersk Cut to Sell at Fearnley; PT 7,800 kroner (+)
* NOS Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 4.30 euros (+)
* Novo Cut to Neutral at Guggenheim
* Novo PT Cut to 350 kroner from 460 kroner at Intron Health
* NXP Semi PT Cut to $195 from $225 at Susquehanna
* Orsted Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 239.95 kroner
* Orsted cut Underperform, DKK265 PO at BofA
* Sainsbury PT Cut to 235 pence from 240 pence at BofA (+)
* Stellantis Cut to Neutral at Redburn; PT $11.54
* Texas Instruments Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT $125 (+)
* TSMC ADRs PT Cut to $200 from $270 at Argus
* Warner Music Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $32

>>> Initiation
* Apple Reinstated Buy at China Renaissance; PT $241
* COSH NO Rated New Buy at Fearnley; PT 7 kroner
* Roko Rated New Hold at SEB Equities; PT 1,975 kronor
* Roko Rated New Hold at Danske Bank Markets; PT 1,960 kronor (+)
* Strategy Rated New Buy at CTBC Securities; PT $420.20
* Tenaris Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 18.50 euros

>>> Call
* Equinor’s Free Cash Flow to Come Under Pressure, RBC Downgrades
* Orsted Cut to Underperform at BofA on US Policy Risks (+)

TechCrunch : ChatGPT search is growing quickly in Europe, OpenAI data suggests

ChatGPT search is growing quickly in Europe, OpenAI data suggests

ChatGPT search, OpenAI’s feature within ChatGPT that allows the chatbot to access and incorporate up-to-date information from the web into its responses, is growing at a fast clip in Europe.

A report filed by one of OpenAI’s EU corporate divisions, OpenAI Ireland Limited, reveals ChatGPT search had roughly 41.3 million average monthly active “recipients” for the six-month period ending March 31. That’s up from approximately 11.2 million average monthly active recipients in the six-month period ending October 31, 2024.

OpenAI regularly publishes information on ChatGPT search to comply with the EU’s Digital Services Act (DSA), which regulates many aspects of online services in European nations. The DSA defines monthly active recipients as “[people] actually engaging with the service at least once in a given period of time” by “being exposed to information disseminated on the online interface of the online platform, such as viewing it or listening to it, or by providing information.”

Interesting update in the OpenAI EU Digital Services Act (DSA) FAQ article

ChatGPT search had about 41.3 million average monthly active recipients in the European Union for the six-month period ending 31 March 2025

(Earlier, for the six-month period ending 31 October 2024,… pic.twitter.com/AY9sNI1vu9

— Tibor Blaho (@btibor91) April 21, 2025


One component of the DSA instructs “very large” online platforms or search engines — those with over 45 million average monthly recipients — to allow users to opt out of recommendation systems and profiling, share certain data with researchers and authorities, and perform external auditing. ChatGPT search may soon be subject to these requirements, assuming the current growth trend holds.

Online platforms that don’t comply with the DSA’s rules could see fines of up to 6% of their global turnover. A platform continually refusing to comply could result in a temporary suspension in the EU.

ChatGPT Search has made inroads against incumbents like Google since debuting last year. According to a poll published in September, 8% of people said they’d choose ChatGPT over Google as their primary search engine. But Google remains far and away the dominant online search tool. By one estimate, it handles 373 times more searches than ChatGPT.

Researchers have found ChatGPT search and other AI-powered search engines to be less reliable than conventional search, depending on the query. According to one study, ChatGPT incorrectly identified 67% of searched-for articles. Another study surfaced accuracy problems related to ChatGPT’s treatment of news content, including content from publishers with which OpenAI has licensing agreements.

WSJ : Roche to Invest $50 Billion in U.S. Manufacturing, R&D Amid Tariff Threats

Roche to Invest $50 Billion in U.S. Manufacturing, R&D Amid Tariff Threats
The pharma company said it would export more medicines from the U.S. than it imports once its new and expanded manufacturing becomes operational

Roche plans to invest $50 billion in the U.S. over the next five years, joining Swiss rival Novartis in expanding its footprint in the country amid President Trump’s tariff threats.

The Swiss pharma giant said Tuesday that the investment includes new research hubs and new and expanded manufacturing facilities in Indiana, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts and California. The company said the investment would create more than 12,000 new jobs, including nearly 6,500 in construction, as well as 1,000 at new and expanded facilities.

Roche said it would export more medicines from the U.S. than it imports once its new and expanded manufacturing becomes operational, while its diagnostics division currently already holds an surplus from the U.S.

The Basel-headquartered company plans to create a new manufacturing center to produce its weight-loss drugs, for which it will announce its location soon. It aims to create a new gene-therapy manufacturing facility in Pennsylvania, a new R&D center in Massachusetts and one for continuous glucose monitoring in Indiana. Its investments also entail expanded research and manufacturing capabilities at eight existing sites.

“Today’s announced investments underscore our long-standing commitment to research, development and manufacturing in the US,” Roche’s Chief Executive Thomas Schinecker said.

The announcement comes as the pharmaceutical industry braces for potential tariffs on drugs imported into the U.S. Medicines were so far exempted, as Trump said two weeks ago that major tariff on pharmaceuticals were coming “very shortly”.

Roche currently has 15 R&D centres and 13 manufacturing sites in the U.S., employing more than 25,000 staff on the continent.

WSJ : U.S. Slaps Steep Tariffs on Southeast Asian Solar Imports

U.S. Slaps Steep Tariffs on Southeast Asian Solar Imports
U.S. has become a lucrative market for makers of renewable-energy products

SINGAPORE—The U.S. broadened its trade dispute with China by imposing steep tariffs on solar imports from four Southeast Asian countries where mainland manufacturers have set up factories in recent years.

Tariffs of up to 3,521% on imports of solar cells from Cambodia, Thailand, Vietnam and Malaysia would effectively make the products unmarketable to U.S. consumers. That follows a yearlong investigation by the U.S. Department of Commerce into claims by American producers that Chinese companies in those countries were dumping solar cells and panels in the U.S. at artificially low prices.

China has become the biggest target in a trade war that the U.S. launched this year over what it sees as unfair trade practices used by most trading partners, including many of Washington’s allies. Tit-for-tat tariff responses by the White House and Beijing are threatening to make much of the trade between the world’s two biggest economies grind to a halt.

The solar tariffs announced Monday illustrate concern in the U.S. that China could avoid paying punitive tariffs by raising exports from a global network of factories that it has expanded in recent years.

The American Alliance for Solar Manufacturing Trade Committee last year filed a petition for protection from what it said were China’s “harmful trade practices.” The industry group alleged that Beijing’s industrial policy has led to massive subsidization in the solar sector in China and Southeast Asia, threatening the U.S. solar manufacturing industry.

The new duties reflect the commerce department’s findings that some Chinese producers have been shipping solar products through Southeast Asian countries to avoid paying tariffs imposed in the past.

The U.S. has become a lucrative market for makers of renewable-energy products, fanned partly by policies introduced by the Biden administration, such as the Inflation Reduction Act. Solar energy accounts for more than 15% of electricity generated in states including California and Massachusetts.

Last year, the Biden administration issued preliminary decisions to set countervailing duties on solar panels and cells produced in the four Southeast Asian countries, ranging from 0%-300%.

The new duties imposed by the Trump administration apply to several companies in Southeast Asia. Some producers in Cambodia face tariffs of more than 3,500%.

That comes at a challenging time for the solar industry broadly.

Since regaining office, President Trump has begun implementing an energy policy that could jolt demand for solar panels, including by lifting certain barriers to mining coal that some analysts think will slow the closure of coal-fired power plants. Recently introduced tariffs on most U.S. trading partners are expected to drive up costs of new clean-energy projects, including solar.