Asian equities declined in a sign of caution ahead of US jobs data that will help shape the outlook for interest rates. MSCI’s Asia benchmark dropped for a third session as shares in most markets dropped. Contracts for the S&P 500 were little changed after the US stock market was closed Thursday to observe a national day of mourning for former President Jimmy Carter. Treasuries were steady in Asian trading, following a rout earlier this week that drove 30-year yields to the highest since 2023. Chinese yields rose as the People’s Bank of China said it will temporarily halting its buying of government bonds, a surprise move that came after the benchmark yield slumped to a record low. The offshore yuan edged higher against the dollar. Global financial markets have been volatile at the start of the year, with Treasury yields marching higher as investors moderated their view on the pace of Federal Reserve easing. That shift has reverberated through Asia, where a slowdown in Chinese growth had already sapped risk sentiment. The MSCI EM stock index entered a correction in the previous session.
Several Fed officials confirmed Thursday that the central bank will likely hold interest rates at current levels for an extended period, only cutting again when inflation meaningfully cools. An index of the dollar was slightly stronger, extending a three-day advance. The yen slipped 0.1% against the greenback. Traders are on alert for the potential Japan will support the yen, with the US jobs report looming as a potential catalyst for sharp moves in the currency. Friday’s US nonfarm payrolls data is expected to show a slowdown in hiring in an otherwise robust labor market. Median estimates for the figures forecast that 165,000 jobs were added to the economy in December. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady at 4.2% and average hourly earnings growth is seen cooling a touch from a month earlier.
The jobs data will offer a litmus test for the market’s “hawkish Fed pricing,” according to strategists Ian Lyngen and Vail Hartman at BMO Capital Markets. They noted that the implication from the bounce in Treasuries is that the pre-payrolls setup will be slightly more balanced – despite a bias favoring a strong showing from the employment figures. Elsewhere, the pound remained under pressure after slipping to a more than one-year low in the prior session as gilts sank on concern the UK’s Labour government will struggle to keep the deficit in check as borrowing costs surge. Australia’s 10-year yield climbed. In corporate news, Nvidia hit back at signs the Biden administration will unveil fresh chip curbs. The tech giant said the White House was trying to undercut the incoming Trump administration by imposing last-minute rules. Shares of Bloks Group Ltd., the popular Chinese maker of Ultraman and Transformers figurines, surged 82% in their Hong Kong trading debut.
Oil headed for a third weekly gain as signs of market tightness, including falling US stockpiles, offset concerns about demand weakness from China.
Nikkei -1.05% Hang Seng -0.85% CSI -0.89% Shanghai -0.99% Shenzen -1.73%
Eur$ 1.0287 CNH 7.3552 CNY 7.3323 JPY 158.40 GBP 1.2281 CHF 0.9130 RUB 102.2500 TRY 35.4254 WTI$ 74.37 +0.61% Gold 2,675 +0.28% BTC 93,966 +2.02% ETH 3,262 +1.69%
S&P -0.33% Nasdaq -0.51% EuroStoxx -0.16% FTSE -0.07% Dax -0.11% SMI -0.25%
Macro :
- UK Markets to Rework Room for BOE Rate Cuts Amid a Steeper Curve
- Pictet Cautions on Crowded Trades, Favors Banking Shares
- Bond Traders See Jobs Testing Hawkish Fed Pricing: Markets Wrap
- JPMorgan Sees China Stocks Rebound After Trump’s Inauguration
- *FED'S SCHMID FAVORS GRADUAL RATE CUTS IF DATA IMPROVE
- *ARGENTINA DRYNESS HURTING SOY , CORN PLANTS: GRAIN EXCHANGE
Keep an eye on :
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- AMBUB DC : Ambu Prelim 1Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- AEP US : American Electric Power Sells Wires Stake for $2.8 Billion (3% of EV, 6.3% of Total Debt)
- AUTH US (Not Listed) : BlackRock Is Said In Talks to Sell Authentic Brands Group Stake
- BAC US : *BOFA, JPMORGAN SET TO BOOST TRADER, BANKER BONUSES 10% OR MORE
- BO DC : B&O 2Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- BMW GY : BMW Bid to Gain vs. China Rivals Bolstered by Next-Gen Platform
- BAYN GY : Bayer Acquires Smart Earth Oilseed in Deal to Expand Biofuels
- BBVA SM ; BBVA Simplifies Sabadell Bid With Lower Acceptance Threshold
- BP/ LN : Iraq Talks With BP on Northern Oil Fields Progressing: Ministry
- CPRI US : Prada Could Be Interested in Buying Versace: Sole
- CCO US : Clear Channel Outdoor to Sell Europe-North Segment for $625m (1)
- CBKGY : UniCredit Well-Poised for Consolidation With Commerzbank Stake
- 2007 HK : Country Garden Yet to Get Key Bondholders’ Support for Debt Plan
- CVI US : Icahn Enterprises Gets About 878,212 CVR Shares in Tender Offer
- D6H GY : Datagroup Won’t Pursue Spin-Off of Almato Unit
- EOAN GY : Hungarian Bid for Eon’s Romania Assets May Be Blocked: FT
- 3333 HK : China Evergrande’s Key Unit Ordered to Liquidate by HK Court
- HOLN SW : Holcim Names Chairman Jan Jenisch CEO of North American Company, Jenisch Set to Lead Holcim’s North American Unit After Spinoff
- IFL AU : Insignia Says It Hasn’t Got Any Proposal From Brookfield
- LLY US : Alzheimer’s Drugs Eyed by Investors Seeking Obesity-Like Gains
- BMPS IM : Del Vecchio Holding Delfin Raises Monte Paschi Stake to 9.78%, Del Vecchios Hike Paschi Stake for More Power in Potential M&A
- NDX1 GY : Nordex Gets Orders Totalling 259 MW From Spain
- 1913 HK : Prada Could Be Interested in Buying Versace: Sole
- RNO FP : WDP Buys Former Renault Site in Vilvoorde for €100M
- 3382 JP : Apollo Weighs $9.5 Billion Stake in Seven & i Buyout (2)
- 2330 TT : TSMC’s Sales Beat Estimates in a Boost for AI’s Outlook in 2025
- UBI FP : Ubisoft Hires Advisors to Weigh Options After Buyout Interest, *UBISOFT'S ASSASSIN’S CREED SHADOWS DELAYED TO MARCH 20
- UBW FP : Unibail Sells 25% Stake in Centrum Černý Most to Upvest, RSJ
- UCG IM : UniCredit Well-Poised for Consolidation With Commerzbank Stake, UniCredit EPS May Gain 10%-Plus on a Commerzbank Tie-Up
- WDP BB : WDP Buys Former Renault Site in Vilvoorde for €100M
- WYNN US : Wynn Resorts Agrees to Buy Crown Resorts Casino in London