>>> What to look at today :

US Market closed on lows as still no clear solution announced, Fitch put US AAA Rating on Watch negative...on Earnings INTC -2.1% & YHOO +0.8% After hours..VIX 18.66 (+16%)...Brazil +1.50%...S&P Fut +0.4% this morning on n ews of US House Panel also announced it would "postpone" the action on the recent House Republican bill to raise the debt ceiling and fund the government. Asia trading lower with Nikkei -0.03%, HS -0.43%...Shangahi -1.4%...with market tracking Washington headlines...European earnings BN WArned, MC disap., ASML Looks better after INTC worst yest, PUB Better..Eurppean Auto : EU27 September Car Registrations Rise 5.4% Y/y to 1.159m Units, biggest gain in 2y

Eur$ 1.3512 European Fut. Indicated 15bps lower

Keep an eye on : - ASML NA : ASML Sees 4Q Gross Margin Above Ests., Says EUV on Track - BN FP : Danone 3Q LFL Sales Growth Misses Ests., Lowers 2013 Forecast - DUFN VX : Dufry, World Duty Free Merger Would Create Value, UBS Says - EZJ LN : Easyjet Experienced `Significant Problems' With Reservations - GEM IM : Meddiobanca sold 1.3% satke and cut interest to aprox 10% - GLE FP : Nomura prefer GLE over Unicredit (ROE by 2015 for GLE by 2018 for UC Div Yield) - MC FP : LVMH Growth Misses Estimates as Fashion and Leather Goods Slow - MELE BB : Melexis 3Q Sales Rise 11% to EU71.3m; Sees 4Q Rev. ~ Same Level - NK FP : Natixis to Cut 700 French Jobs by 2015, Les Echos Says - NOVN VX : Novartis Gets FDA Orphan Designation for Esophagitis Treatment - PUB FP : Publicis Keeps Full Year Forecast; Omnicom Merger Going to Plan - RHK GY : Braun Melsungen Boosts Stake in Rhoen Klinikum to 10.98% of Shrs - SAN FP : Sanofi, Regeneron Drug Alirocumab Meets Main Goal in Trial - SKFB SS : SKF Continues to Be One of 2013 Top Sell Ideas, Citi Says - TIT IM : Telecom Italia's Short Interest Surges Amid Strategy Limbo (SI 6.1%) - UL FP : Unibail Retail Centers Are Outperforming Market, CEO Tells Echos - VALN SW : Names Michael Mueller as the new CEO; confirms 2013 op profit forecast of CHF75m

>>> Brokers Ups & Downs

Up

*DEUTSCHE POST RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS UNDERWEIGHT AT HSBC *IPSOS RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT SOCGEN *KBC RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT SOCGEN *KENTZ RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT HSBC *PEARSON RAISED TO HOLD VS SELL AT SOCGEN *RTL GROUP RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT SOCGEN *SERCO RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT HSBC *SWISSCOM RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT CITI *TELECOM ITALIA ADDED TO CONVICTION BUY LIST AT GOLDMAN *VIMPELCOM RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT MORGAN STANLEY, PT $14.5 *WOLTERS KLUWER RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT SOCGEN

Down

*BALOISE HOLDING CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN *BOUYGUES CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN *CENTAMIN CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT NOMURA *DIA CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OUTPERFORM AT MACQUARIE *GL EVENTS CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT SOCGEN *HOLCIM CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN *JAZZTEL CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN *LIBERTY GLOBAL CUT FROM CONVICTION BUY AT GOLDMAN, STILL A BUY *LVMH CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT BOFAML *MARINE HARVEST CUT TO BUY VS STRONG BUY AT NORDEA *MEDICA CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT SOCGEN *NEXANS CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN *NOVATEK CUT TO MARKET PERFORM VS OUTPERFORM AT BERNSTEIN *POLYMETAL INTL CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT NOMURA *SWISSCOM CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN *TELENOR CUT FROM CONVICTION BUY AT GOLDMAN, STILL A BUY *TNT EXPRESS CUT TO UNDERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT HSBC *YARA CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT NORDEA *ZURICH INSURANCE CUT TO MARKET PERFORM AT RAYMOND JAMES

PT Changes

Initiations

*MEGAFON RESUMED EQUAL WEIGHT AT MORGAN STANLEY, PT $38

Country Sector Stock Call

*BT ADDED TO CONVICTION BUY LIST AT GOLDMAN *TELECOM ITALIA ADDED TO CONVICTION BUY LIST AT GOLDMAN *TELENOR CUT FROM CONVICTION BUY AT GOLDMAN, STILL A BUY *TELIASONERA ADDED TO SELECTED LIST AT KEPLER CHEUVREUX

>>> Asia Update

Asian Market Update: Fitch place US rating on Watch Negative; Political deadlock resolution back in the hands of the US Senate

***Observations/Insights*** - Political ping-pong of budget crisis resolution roiled the market heading into the US close, sending the Dow Industrials down 0.9% and the S&P500 index down 0.7% after the announcement by Sen Durbin that upper chamber negotiations have been suspended until House Republicans work out a plan to proceed on debt limit and government funding. Matters were made worse after market close when Fitch placed US AAA sovereign rating on watch negative and cut its projections for 2013 and 2014 GDP. While Fitch was still convinced lawmakers would not allow the clock to expire, it cited "prolonged negotiations over raising the debt ceiling risks undermining confidence in the role of the U.S. dollar as the preeminent global reserve currency." S&P echoed that sentiment, reiterating that it saw heightened brinkmanship in Washington as the main reason behind its 2011 downgrade of US rating. - In the early Asian session, the US House Panel also announced it would "postpone" the action on the recent House Republican bill to raise the debt ceiling and fund the government, but that largely reflected House Speaker Boehner failing to corral the Heritage Action for America adherents in the caucus. Republican leaders were thus forced to cancel a planned Tuesday night vote and bring the Democrat-led Senate leaders back into fold. Shortly thereafter, Senate Majority Leader Reid and Republican leader McConnell announced they resumed negotiations that had been lobbed to the House for support earlier. Aides for both Senate Leaders have given an indication that the two side were optimistic that an agreement could be reached before the deadline - now less that 24 hours away. One report went as far as suggesting that a deal may be announced on Tuesday evening before a separate report negated that possibility. S&P futures are back up on the announcement, rising 8 handles above the 1,700 level. - Outside of the beltway, New Zealand Q3 CPI came in above expectations - notably the y/y print returned to the RBNZ target range for the first time in over a year. Analysts suggested this latest figure could decisively pave the way to an RBNZ tightening in early 2014. - In Australia, Westpac leading index for August fell for the first time since 2011, as the bank's chief economist noted the apparent loss of momentum was justifiable for the RBA to cut rates that month, also favoring more "boosts to support momentum through the difficult transition from mining to non-mining led growth."

***Economic Data*** - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q3 CPI Q/Q: 0.9% V 0.8%E (2-yr high); Y/Y: 1.4% V 1.2%E (1st rise above the lower end of RBNZ's 1-3% target range in 5 quarters) - (AU) AUSTRALIA AUG WESTPAC LEADING INDEX M/M: -0.1% V +0.4% PRIOR (1st decline since late 2011) - (KR) SOUTH KOREA SEPT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 3.0% V 3.1%E

***Fixed Income/Commodities/Currencies*** - (JP) Japan's MoF sells ¥2.45T in 0.2% 5-yr notes; Avg yield: 0.230% v 0.263% prior; Bid to cover: 4.83x v 3.30x prior - (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$800M in 4.50% 2020 Bonds; avg yield: 3.7951%; bid-to-cover: 3.01x - (AU) Yield on Australia 10-yr note rises over 10bps above 4.23%; 18-month high - USD/CNY: Yuan reaches record high at 6.0997 per dollar - SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings fall to 10,391 tonnes (lowest since 10,284 on July 23rd) from 10,445 tonnes prior

- Sentiment pendulum has once again swung in favor of optimism of a quickly approaching resolution to the Washington stalemate after the latest set of comments from Senate aides, boosting USD across the board but particularly at the expense of the yen. USD/JPY is up nearly 50pips in the afternoon Asia trade above 98.60, EUR/JPY is up 50pips above 133.20, and AUD/JPY hit a 4-week high above the $0.94 handle. EUR/USD and GBP/USD closely tracked the Washington headline roulette as well but on a smaller scale, clinging to 30pip ranges around 1.3520 and 1.5980. AUD/USD rose as high as $0.9540, while NZD/USD was bolstered by higher than expected Q3 CPI data, reaching a 4-week high above the $0.84 handle.

***Speakers/Political/In the Papers*** - (US) FITCH PLACES US SOVEREIGN AAA ON RATING WATCH NEGATIVE; Cuts 2013 GDP forecast to 1.6% from 1.9% prior; Cuts 2014 GDP forecast to 2.6% from 2.8% prior

- (CN) Chairman of Shanghai International Port: Expects Shanghai throughput to grow 3% this year; Container volume may reach 33.5M TEUs in 2013 vs 32.5M in 2012 - Shanghai Daily - (CN) China Cabinet to receive debt audit findings around Oct 20th - China Daily - (CN) China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) Chairman Xiao: Protecting small investors is equivalent to protecting financial market - Chinese press - (CN) JP Morgan China Chief Economist Zhu: sees no financial crisis in next 3-5 yeas in China

- (KR) South Korea to curb forex volatility if needed - financial press - (KR) South Korea Fin Min Hyun: concern over US QE causing financial market volatility; FY14 GDP projection at 3.9% is neutral

- (DE) German Chancellor Merkel's CDU/CSU does not see common ground to form coalition with Greens Party after today's talks - financial press

***Equities*** Market Snapshot (as of 03:30 GMT): - Nikkei225 -0.2%, S&P/ASX +0.1%, Kospi -0.1%, Shanghai Composite -1.4%, Hang Seng -0.3%, Dec S&P500 +0.6% at 1,702, Dec gold +0.5% at $1,279, Nov crude oil +0.1% at $101.27/brl

US markets: - WTSL: Cuts Q3 guidance to -$0.12 to -$0.10 v -$0.02e (previously guided -$0.03 to -$0.02); -8.9% afterhours - INTC: Reports Q3 $0.58 v $0.53e, R$13.5B v $13.4Be; -1.7% afterhours - IBKR: Reports Q3 $0.32 v $0.32e, R$326M v $321Me; -1.5% afterhours - CSX: Reports Q3 $0.46 v $0.42e, R$3.00B v $2.96Be; +1.5% afterhours - YHOO: Reports Q3 $0.34 v $0.33e, R$1.08B (ex-TAC) v $1.08Be; enters amended share purchase with Alibaba, reducing number of shares Yahoo is required to sell in Alibaba IPO; Guides Q4 Rev $1.18-1.22B(ex TAC) v $1.25Be, FY13 Rev $4.40-4.45B v $4.48Be; +1.7% afterhours

Notable movers by sector: - Consumer discretionary: Wumart Stores Inc 1025.HK +3.4% (announces acquisition); Cochlear Ltd COH.AU -2.0% (analyst action) - Consumer staples: Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd 600519.CN +1.2% (Q3 results) - Industrials: Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine 042660.KR +1.8% (awarded order); Gome Electrical Appliances Holdings 493.HK +6.2% (Q3 guidance) - Materials: Mount Gibson Iron MGX.AU +5.8% (Q1 results); Iluka Resources ILU.AU -3.4% (Q3 results) - Technology: Hynix Semiconductor 000660.KR +0.5% (established R&D center in Taiwan) - Financials: Tokio Marine Holdings 8766.JP +3.3% (merger announcement) - Utilities: Sichuan Minjiang Hydropower Co Ltd 600131.CN -3.0% (sees YTD loss); Datang International Power Generation -2.3% 991.HK (Q3 guidance); Inner Mongolia MengDian HuaNeng Thermal Power Co Ltd 600863.CN +4.2%, Huaneng Power International Inc 600011.CN +0.2%, Huadian Power International Corp Ltd 600027.CN +2.8% (China thermal electric industry sees profit rise) - Healthcare: CSL Limited CSL.AU +1.4% (expands share repurchase) - Telecom: Softbank Corp 9984.JP +1.5% (speculation on acquisition); PCCW Ltd 8.HK +9.8%, i-Cable Communications 1097.HK +148.9%, City Telecom HK -33.9% (PCCW, i-Cable receives license, City Telecom application rejected)

WSJ : Supercell: Zero to $3 Billion in Three Years

Supercell: Zero to $3 Billion in Three Years Deal Brings Second Free-to-Play Firm Into SoftBank's Stable

HELSINKI— Petteri Koponen visited a dingy office on the outskirts of Finland's capital in 2010 to meet with a group of developers launching a mobile-games company called Supercell.

"Basically it was just one room with very small windows," recalls Mr. Koponen, an early investor in startups. "At that point, they didn't have chairs for everyone." The company's co-founder, Ilkka Paananen, was hunched over a cardboard box he used as a desk as he discussed the company's plans.

On Tuesday, Japan's SoftBank Corp. 9984.TO +1.93% agreed to buy 51% of the Finnish company, which has two games and fewer than 100 employees, for $1.5 billion. It is the largest ever investment for a mobile-app company, according to Rutberg & Co. Two of Supercell's co-founders stand to make more than $200 million apiece.

The investment in Supercell is another cog in SoftBank Chief Executive Masayoshi Son's sprawling empire, which now includes Sprint Corp. S 0.00% Supercell will be paired with Gungho Online Entertainment to enlarge SoftBank's stable of free-to-play mobile games.

But it's risky: Zynga Inc., ZNGA -0.99% a U.S. social-games maker that went public in 2011, has a market capitalization of $2.8 billion, down about 60% from its debut. Its prospects faded after it failed to create a convincing successor to its "FarmVille" franchise.

Supercell is among an army of new firms to quickly generate significant value and disrupt mature industries by latching on to new distribution systems such as Apple Inc. AAPL +0.53% 's app store and Facebook Inc. FB -0.02% 's network. But unlike many of its peers, including Sweden's streaming music company Spotify AB, Supercell is profitable.

The company serves as a poster child for the burgeoning "freemium" game distribution strategy. It allows players to download and play titles for free in apps stores, but it requires them to pay for extras, such as special weapons or power boosters that speed up a game's play.

About 10% of Supercell users purchase in-game extras, much higher than the industry norm. Last year, the company made a profit of more than 40 cents on every $1 of goods it sold, or $40.3 million on sales of $105 million.

Supercell's success has come with only two games on the market: "Hay Day," an app that simulates farming, and "Clash of Clans," which simulates combat. Both debuted last year on Apple's iOS and "Clash of Clans" was recently launched on Google Inc. GOOG +0.67% 's Android in a move aimed at better targeting Asian markets.

Supercell has also capitalized on the emergence of tablets. Having created its games primarily for use on products like the iPad, Supercell has never experienced the pain of shifting from mature devices, such as consoles and computers. Initially, Supercell was interested in using Facebook as a distribution platform, but that strategy shifted as executives came to believe tablets will overtake computers and consoles as gamers' primary tool within five years.

Mr. Paananen met with a co-founder at a café in London's Paddington station last year and began discussing the decision to pull the plug on a Facebook game, "Gunshine," and move away from dependence on using the social network as a distribution platform. That decision would also mean Supercell had to kill a game, codenamed "Magic," that was under development for five months.

Supercell had little money to spend on marketing, so partnering with Apple, which gives high visibility to games it sees as having potential, was a critical ingredient. Developers cross their fingers hoping their apps will be featured prominently because Apple, which takes 30% of the revenue a developer gets in the app store, doesn't get payment for the exposure.

Mr. Paananen has been fond of saying the company has been "incredibly lucky." He also noted that "Clash of Clans" and "Hay Day" are social games, meaning players invite other players, creating a snowball effect. Users who compete with friends online tend to spend far more on in-game purchases than solo players.

Since the decision and the launch of "Hay Day" and "Clash of Clans," Supercell has pivoted from a one-room start-up to one of the fastest growing companies in the gaming industry's history, with sales rising from $203,000 in 2011 to $105 million the following year. The pace gathered steam this year as revenue hit $178 million in the first quarter alone.

The company's value has also skyrocketed. In April, Supercell secured $130 million in funding from a trio of investors, including California-based Institutional Venture Partners. At the time, IVP said the company was worth $770 million. Six months later the value had ballooned 289% to $3 billion, or the largest valuation for a mobile app company, according to Rutberg.

In an interview Tuesday, Mr. Paananen, Supercell's CEO, said the company's success in Asia in recent months has greatly increased the company's value. He said "Hay Day" and "Clash of Clans" are the only titles to be among the best-sellers in both the China and Japan Apple apps stores. He attributes some of the success to a cross-promotional deal signed with GungHo early in the summer.

"Japan has been a big graveyard for Western gaming companies," he said. "I think what has happened since the previous investment round is our games have had staying power in the Western markets and now we're proving it in a tougher place."

Mr. Paamanen, now 35, co-founded a games company called Sumea in 2000 that relied on distributing games for wireless carriers, including Vodafone and AT&T. He grew up during an era he calls the "golden age" of gaming, spending hours with titles like "The Sims" and "Monkey Island." He sold Sumea and later resigned to take time off in 2010, but his sabbatical didn't last long.

Joined by Mikko Kodisoja, a longtime associate, the group registered a new company in May 2010 and set to work. The dream, hatched after Mr. Paamanen read about Netflix Inc.'s flat corporate culture, was to build a company with little need for managers.

Enlarge Image

Supercell's 'Clash of Clans,' shown, and 'Hay Day' are among the top-five highest-grossing apps on iOS in the U.S., according to App Annie. Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

The first office was the portrait of austerity, equipped with a hodgepodge of furniture salvaged from a nearby recycling center. The goods were driven to the small office in Mr. Kodisoja's 2006 Volkswagen Passat, and the upholstery was ripped during the move. As Supercell grew, it eventually rented out a floor in a one-time Nokia Corp. NOK1V.HE +4.88% building in downtown Helsinki.

Mr. Kodisoja and Mr. Paananen both stand to make about $237 million on the deal with SoftBank, but Mr. Kodisoja won't abandon his Passat even though he tacked a picture of a Ferrari to his office wall when he launched his first gaming company 16 years ago at the age of 20.

Supercell developers have employed some pretty traditional methods to stay sharp. On Thursday nights, the office becomes a parlor of board games, with 10 to 20 employees pulling boxes from the office's kitchen shelves with titles like Puerto Rico, Terra Mystica, Coloretto, Battlestar Galactica.

One of the company's employees is the founder of the Finnish Board Game Society and Touko Tahkokallio, the company's game designer, got his start on board game design.

In creating Supercell, Mr. Paananen said he wanted to model the company after a "world-class hockey team" and not "a recreational league for kids." The company prides itself on hiring the best talent it can find, often paying a premium to lure prospects away from warmer locales to Helsinki.

Supercell is a conglomeration of "cells," or groups consisting of a half-dozen workers working somewhat autonomously on projects that are more likely to fail than succeed. In 2012, the year it launched "Hay Day" and "Clash of Clans," it also killed four games. In 2013, it has axed another two or three, Mr. Paamanen said.

When the company kills a game, the employees gather around and open bottles of Champagne for each member of the team, while successes are celebrated with beer. One creation that didn't make the cut was "Battle Buddies," a cartoon-like strategy game meant to have more mass appeal than "Gunshine" had. The "Magic" project had five employees working day and night until it was killed.

Supercell's formula is not unique. In nearby Stockholm, for example, Mojang AB has become a similarly robust profit machine due to its "Minecraft" building-blocks game. The success of that title has turned Mojang into an overnight sensation in a matter of a few years, pulling in $90 million in profit last year on $235 million in revenue.

Like Supercell, Mojang employs only a handful of staff, has little appetite for corporate hierarchy and is extremely conservative when it comes to launching games. Employees routinely interrupt the company's CEO during meetings, and most of the company's news is distributed via random posts on Twitter by any one of its 35 employees who refuse to sign non-disclosure agreements with partners.

FT : Belgian police raid HSBC clients’ homes

Belgian police raid HSBC clients’ homes

Belgian police raided the homes of about 20 people holding Swiss accounts with HSBC’s private bank on Tuesday as part of an investigation into the UK lender’s alleged role in helping wealthy clients in Belgium hide their money from local tax authorities. The raids, which took place in Brussels and Antwerp, were aimed at gathering information to bolster a case against HSBC, not the individuals whose homes were searched, a spokesperson of the prosecutor leading the probe said. "At the moment we are only investigating HSBC and not their clients . . . We were just gathering more evidence to strengthen our case," said Ane Van Wymersch of the Brussels prosecutor’s office. The three-year probe, which involves 90 federal agents, is the latest blow for HSBC. The bank has been dogged by legal scandals in recent years, including a high-profile money-laundering case. In December last year, HSBC paid almost $2bn in fines to US authorities after the Department of Justice said at least $881m in drug-trafficking money from Mexican and Colombian drug cartels had been laundered through the bank’s US operations. Following the settlement, the British bank launched a $700m "know your customer" programme, in an attempt to address problems raised by the scandal. However, the Belgian probe is likely to put the bank’s ethics and business practices under the spotlight again. HSBC’s private banking arm is being accused by Belgian prosecutors of creating offshore accounts for Belgian residents trying to avoid paying taxes on savings they held in Switzerland. According to international tax agreements between the EU and Switzerland signed in 2004, EU member states have a right to tax the interest accrued on Swiss accounts held by their nationals. However, according to data obtained by Brussels prosecutors in 2010, HSBC allegedly put together complex banking structures to shield Belgian clients from tax authorities in Belgium. It is unclear when the probe will be completed. HSBC declined to comment.

FT : Twitter losses widen ahead of IPO

Twitter losses widen ahead of IPO

Twitter revealed its losses had widened in the third quarter in an updated filing for its $1bn initial public offering, which it said would take place on the New York Stock Exchange. The decision to choose NYSE dealt a blow to rival Nasdaq, which had hoped to claim the social media company listing as it recovers from its botched debut of Facebook last year. It will make Twitter the largest consumer internet IPO to take place on NYSE, which has steadily grown its share of technology listings and now challenges Nasdaq in attracting the business of start-ups. Twitter also provided updated numbers for the first nine months of the year. It said total revenues rose 106 per cent to $422.2m, from the same period the previous year. But net losses also widened significantly to $133.8m from $70.7m a year earlier. The number of monthly users rose from 218m in June to 232m in September, for a rise of 39 per cent year-on-year. The portion of revenue that Twitter generated from mobile devices rose to 70 per cent in the third quarter, from 65 per cent in the previous quarter. For a company dependent on internet advertising such as Twitter, mobile presents opportunities as a faster-growing platform than desktop PCs, and challenges, in the limit of advertisers’ spending and the number of ads that can be shown. Some 76 per cent of Twitter’s users accessed the service from a smartphone or tablet in the most recent quarter, up from 69 per cent a year ago. Twitter was still hiring at a rapid clip, with an 87 per cent rise in staff over the year to 2,300 full-time employees. Certain changes to Twitter’s product, which over the period have included a new way to display conversations between a group of people that a user follows, caused a 1 per cent decrease in the number of times a user loaded their feed during the quarter. This is an important detail as Twitter limits the amount of advertising it shows in a single "timeline view". However, the change did not affect growth in Twitter’s advertising yields. Advertising revenue per timeline view, the metric which the company says it watches most closely as an indicator of business performance, increased in the US to $2.58 in the third quarter from $2.17 in the previous quarter, and rose from 30c to 36c in the rest of the world, where Twitter’s ad business is less developed. The decision by Twitter to list on NYSE came in spite of an appearance by Nasdaq executives including chief executive Robert Greifeld at the company’s San Francisco offices earlier this month, fuelling speculation that the exchange was making a last-ditch effort to win the offering. NYSE said in a statement: "This is a decisive win for the NYSE. We are grateful for Twitter’s confidence in our platform and look forward to partnering with them." Nasdaq said it wished Twitter well as it pursued its IPO. Rich Repetto, exchange analyst at Sandler O’Neill, said: "This event is more about branding than revenue, since that is minimal. But this is a high-profile technology name." Through the first dotcom boom Nasdaq was the dominant venue for most technology and internet listings but NYSE has closed that gap in recent years, gaining the business of LinkedIn, Yelp and Pandora. The bungled Facebook offering on Nasdaq last May and more recent mishaps have led some investors to question the exchange’s technology-savvy venue Twitter Rich ListThe latest Twitter filing details the holdings of Twitter’s largest shareholders. Four investors stand to make more than $1bn from their Twitter shares, based on a valuation of between $12bn-$15bn, but only one, Evan Williams, is a co-founder.The largest shareholder is not one of the three founders but entities affiliated with Rivzi Traverse, an investment group with a 17.5 per cent stake which could be worth between $2.1bn to $2.7bn. Suhail Rivzi, the head of the group, is also an investor in Twitter co-founder Jack Dorsey’s other company, Square, and Flipboard, the news reader application. JPMorgan is the next largest outside shareholder in Twitter, holding more than 10 per cent of the messaging platform through various entities, a stake worth between $1.2bn-$1.5bn.The venture capital firms which backed Twitter when it was a start-up are the next largest shareholders, with Spark Capital owning a stake which could be worth $820m-$1bn and Benchmark Capital holding shares worth an estimated $790m-$990m.Its executive officers and directors own more than a quarter of Twitter, with stakes which could be worth a total of $3.1bn-$3.8bn on listing.

(JPM) China Won’t Have Financial Crisis in Next 3-5 Years

China Won’t Have Financial Crisis in Next 3-5 Years: JPMorgan

China won’t have a banking or financial crisis in the next three or five years as its aggregate debt as a percentage of GDP isn’t very high, most of the debt is domestic and the nation has a large trade surplus, Zhu Haibin, chief China economist at JPMorgan, says at a conference in Hangzhou * Still, if credit growth expands too fast, China will be in the danger zone in coming years

>>>US After Hours

After Hours Summary: MLNK +7.2%, YHOO +0.8%, CSX +0.7%, WTSL -8.9%, LBY -4.1%, INTC -2.1% following earnings/guidance After Hours Gainers: Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: - MLNK +7.2%, - YHOO +0.8%, - CSX +0.7%, - PNFP +0.1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: - OXGN +17.8% (announced it will present preclinical data demonstrating antitumor activity of ZYBRESTAT in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor model), - RIG +0.9% (announced 5-year contract for newbuild ultra-deepwater drillship; contract is expected to commence in Q4 of 2016, contributing an estimated revenue backlog of ~$1.1 billion), - GPI +0.8% (Eminence Capital disclosed 5.4% passive stake), - MNTG +0.8% (co responded to unsolicited non-binding proposal from Jacobs Entertainment (JEC); Board plans to evaluate the proposal and additional information that the Board has requested from JEC)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: - WTSL -8.9%, - JOEZ -7.6%, - LBY -4.1%, - GY -3.8%, - LLTC -3.2%, - INTC -2.1%, - OCZ -0.8%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: - GDP -2.0% (announced increased 2013 and preliminary 2014 capital budget, including accelerated TMS drilling program), - NDAQ -1.0% (Twitter confirmed it will list on the NYSE)

FT : Fund industry’s ‘biggest beast’ on the prowl

Fund industry’s ‘biggest beast’ on the prowl

Neil Woodford has long been recognised as one of the City’s leading fund managers, with a large following of loyal investors. The 53-year-old has built up a strong reputation within the UK fund management industry on the back of years of successful stockpicking and shrewd – if occasionally contrarian – investment decisions. Mr Woodford began managing Invesco Perpetual’s High Income fund in October 1988, and since then has delivered total returns of 2,191.95 per cent. This would have seen a £1,000 investment soar to £22,919.51 today. He is lauded by peers and industry experts for avoiding the TMT boom and bust of the late 1990s, and for staying clear of the banking sector in the run-up to the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the financial crisis. He has tended to favour defensive, cash-generative sectors such as tobacco and pharmaceuticals instead. "Neil has been on the right side of two of the biggest macro calls of my financial services career, which to me just shows how he stands out," says Darius McDermott, managing director at Chelsea Financial Services, a fund research group. Mr Woodford is known for picking stocks for long-term reasons rather than for short-term gains. Low portfolio turnover and long holding periods were among the reasons that Mr Woodford was last year singled out in the government-commissioned Kay report on the UK equity markets as the ideal fund manager. As his reputation grew within the industry, so did the amount of savers’ money entrusted to him. He is the biggest individual manager of assets in the UK fund management industry, with about £33bn of assets spread across open-ended funds and investment trusts. Hundreds of thousands of private investors hold money in Mr Woodford’s funds through their pensions, Isas and other accounts. Adrian Lowcock, investment manager at Hargreaves Lansdown, says: "He has a unique ability to see through short-term market momentum to identify where the long-term opportunities lie." As head of UK equities at Invesco Perpetual, Mr Woodford made headlines over his defiant stand against the planned tie-up last year between BAE Systems, the UK defence company and EADS, Europe’s biggest civil aerospace group. Advisers say recent performance of Mr Woodford’s flagship funds has been good but not outstanding. His High Income funds has returned about 75 per cent over the past five years, according to Lipper, the data provider, only just beating returns from the wider UK equity income sector. Jason Hollands, of adviser Bestinvest, says: "The news that Neil Woodford, the biggest beast in the UK equity income sector, is to leave Invesco Perpetual sets the seal on 2013 being a year of major moves among leading fund managers." In June, Anthony Bolton, one of the UK’s best-known and most successful fund managers, announced he was to retire from running the Fidelity China Special Situations investment trust, admitting it had proved more difficult to make money from China than he had anticipated. "We have seen the retirements announced for Jupiter’s Tony Nutt and Fidelity’s Anthony Bolton, the defection of Richard Buxton from Schroders to Old Mutual and the exit of Fidelity’s Sanjeev Shah from managing money," says Mr Hollands. Mr Woodford’s departure will be a significant blow for Invesco Perpetual, which is likely to see billions of pounds move to Mr Woodford when he opens his new venture in April next year. Invesco said his responsibilities would shift to Mark Barnett, a longstanding member of Invesco’s UK equities team. However, this is not likely to appease investors, according to experts, who noted that about £1.5bn followed Richard Buxton out of Schroders’ UK Alpha fund when he left. Chelsea Financial Services immediately downgraded the Invesco Perpetual High Income and Income fund to a hold following the news. It said while there was no urgent need for investors to switch out of these funds, it advised against investing any new money. The price of Edinburgh Investment Trust, which is quoted on the stock market, fell about 5 per cent following the news. "The two equity income funds have been the core of many investors’ portfolios for years now and it will be a huge blow to thousands of investors that Neil is leaving. I think you will see a lot of investors follow Neil when he launches his new venture," says Mr McDermott.

FT : BMW family gave €690,000 to Merkel party

BMW family gave €690,000 to Merkel party

Angela Merkel’s political party received three donations totalling €690,000 from the family that in effect controls BMW just as the German chancellor was lobbying fellow EU leaders to block tougher exhaust emission standards for big cars, it emerged on Tuesday. Details of the contributions – the largest private gifts to any German political party in election year – were published on the Bundestag website just a day after the German government successfully delayed a decision on the new standards at a meeting of EU environment ministers. The German parliament revealed that Johanna Quandt, widow of Herbert Quandt, who transformed BMW into one of the country’s most successful carmakers, and her children Stefan and Susanne, each gave the Christian Democratic Union €230,000 on October 9. The three jointly own 46.7 per cent of shares in the Munich-based company. They have been supporters of the party for many years, according to a statement from CDU headquarters in Berlin. Ms Quandt and her children donated €450,000 immediately after the previous election campaign in 2009. "The donations are not connected with any single political decision," the statement said. The same message was repeated by a spokesman for the publicity-shy family: "The donations are in no way connected to industrial policies," he said. "They are not involved in political talks about emission regulations or anything like that." He said the donations were made after the election was over to ensure they did not become part of the election campaign. But LobbyControl, an organisation campaigning for greater transparency in political financing in Germany, said the timing of the gifts was "extremely problematic". Quite apart from choosing to pay the money after the campaign was over, the choice of timing was "highly explosive" because of its proximity to the latest delay in agreement on the new EU standards for CO2 in car exhausts, said Christina Deckwirth, Berlin representative of the organisation. Ms Merkel personally intervened to delay the Brussels decision, which would benefit small car manufacturers from countries such as France and Italy, but penalise the bigger cars in which Germany specialises. She sent her chief of staff, Roland Pofalla, to Paris last week for high-level talks, and contacted many of the other EU leaders, including those with big industries supplying parts to the German manufacturers. She was seeking a solution that would both protect the environment and jobs in the motor industry, and did not suggest trade-offs with other countries that would mix the emissions issue with other unrelated questions such as banking regulation, as suggested in some UK reports, a senior official said. In a front-page report on Tuesday, the business newspaper Handelsblatt dubbed her the "car chancellor", underlining her frequent and intensive contacts with senior motor industry executives. It reported that she had invited various senior managers more than 65 times to the chancellor’s office during the last four-year parliamentary term, not simply for big events, but also for one-on-one meetings. The German car industry is a mainstay of the German economy, accounting for around 715,000 employees and 600 manufacturers and suppliers, according to the VDA car industry association. One in every seven German university graduates starts a career in the industry. Ensuring its car companies flourish is therefore of high importance for any government in Berlin. The issue of political financing remains a bone of contention in Germany, with Transparency International, the anti-corruption campaign, calling for a ceiling of €50,000 a year for any personal or company donation. Christian Humborg, executive director of TI in Germany, said the Berlin government was lagging behind standards proposed by the Council of Europe, although it now required publication of details of donations over €50,000 within six days. He said that Joachim Gauck, state president, should convene a new party finance commission to regulate donations more strictly.