NYT : Apollo Secures $18.4 Billion War Chest for Private Equity

Apollo Secures $18.4 Billion War Chest for Private Equity

Leon D. Black, the head of Apollo Global Management, said last year that his firm was “selling everything that’s not nailed down.”

But this year, the private equity giant has more than $18 billion of fresh buying power.

Apollo has finished raising $17.5 billion from outside investors for its eighth private equity fund, the firm said on Thursday. It is the largest such fund the firm has ever raised, underscoring investors’ confidence that Apollo can find buying opportunities at a time when stock prices have risen drastically.

In addition to the outside capital, the fund includes $880 million from Apollo and affiliated investors, including employees of the firm, bringing the total to about $18.4 billion.
Apollo has raised the new money after a strong year for the private equity industry. With the Federal Reserve helping push stock prices higher, many private equity firms focused on selling their holdings to the investing public. In one closely watched deal, the Blackstone Group had increased the value of its investment in Hilton Worldwide Holdings by about $10 billion when it took the hotel company public in December.

Apollo was particularly active in selling its holdings. In the third quarter, the firm sold shares in the chemical maker LyondellBasell Industries, an investment that is expected to be the most profitable in the firm’s history, Marc Spilker, Apollo’s president, said on a conference call at the time.

Mr. Black, Apollo’s chief, remarked in April that it was a “fabulous environment to be selling.”

Reaping big gains, private equity firms returned a record amount of net cash to investors last year, according to the placement agent Triago. Now, investors with Apollo are betting that the firm can replicate its past successes.

“We are very grateful for the overwhelming support for Fund VIII, which includes significant commitments from a preeminent global investor base consisting of both longstanding existing limited partners as well as many new investors,” Mr. Black said in a statement on Thursday.

It’s not just Apollo that has managed to attract a large amount of money for private equity deals. Over all, the industry raised $365 billion last year, Triago said in December, predicting that fund-raising would rise in 2014.

Apollo’s private equity business, which had assets under management of about $43 billion as of Sept. 30, focuses on buyouts, distressed investments and corporate carve-outs. The firm as a whole had assets under management of about $113 billion as of the end of September.

NYT : Ex-SAC Trader Was Expelled From Harvard Law School

A federal jury will decide whether Mathew Martoma, the former hedge fund manager, cheated when he worked at SAC Capital Advisors, but there’s no denying he cheated when he falsified his grades at Harvard Law School some 15 years ago.

In 1999, Mr. Martoma was expelled from Harvard for creating a false transcript when he applied for a clerkship with a federal judge, court papers unsealed on Thursday showed. Mr. Martoma used a computer program to change several grades from B’s to A’s, including one in criminal law, and then sent the forged transcript to 23 judges as part of the application process.

Then, during a Harvard disciplinary hearing to determine whether he should be expelled, Mr. Martoma tried to cover his tracks by creating a fake paper trail that included fabricated emails and a counterfeit report from a computer forensics firm that Mr. Martoma had created to help conceal his activities.

After Harvard expelled him, Mr. Martoma, who at the time was known as Ajay Mathew Thomas, legally changed his name to Mathew Martoma.

Nearly a decade after he was kicked out of Harvard, federal prosecutors contend, Mr. Martoma carried out one of the largest insider trading schemes while working at Steven A. Cohen’s hedge fund. He is charged with using inside information to help SAC avoid losses and generate profits totaling $276 million by recommending the firm sell all of its holdings in two drug companies, Elan and Wyeth, in July 2008.

The disclosure of Mr. Martoma’s expulsion from Harvard came as a jury of seven women and five men was seated for his trial after two days of selection. Lawyers for the prosecution and defense are expected to deliver opening statements on Friday in a Lower Manhattan federal courtroom. The trial is expected to last four weeks.

It is not clear whether the bizarre twist in the case will ever be introduced into evidence, because Mr. Martoma is unlikely to testify in his own behalf. Negative character evidence can generally be used at trial only to impeach a person’s testimony or rebut a line of argument raised by the defense as a potential alibi.

The prosecution argues in court papers that Mr. Martoma’s deception is relevant to show that he has the technical knowledge to alter computer files. That could be relevant, prosecutors say, if Mr. Martoma’s lawyers seek to argue he never received a copy of a confidential report that discussed problems with a clinical trial for an experimental Alzheimer’s drug being developed by Elan and Wyeth.

Prosecutors charge that Mr. Martoma recommended that SAC sell its shares in Elan and Wyeth after receiving the report from a key cooperating witness in the case, Dr. Sidney Gilman, and then flying to Ann Arbor, Mich., to discuss the results of the trial with him.

Mr. Martoma’s lawyers at Goodwin Procter, in the run-up to the trial, have raised questions about the government’s failure to find any email evidence that Dr. Gilman sent Mr. Martoma a copy of the report. Dr. Gilman, 81, who received a nonprosecution agreement from the government, is expected to testify that he sent the report to Mr. Martoma and discussed the findings both on the phone and when the two men met a few days before SAC began selling the companies’ shares.

Prosecutors have conceded they have not found any email evidence to support Dr. Gilman’s contention that he sent a copy of the report to Mr. Martoma. But they said Mr. Martoma’s pattern of deception at Harvard is “evidence of the defendant’s capacity to destroy or fabricate electronic forensic evidence.”

Lou Colasuonno, a spokesman for Mr. Martoma, said: “This event of 15 years ago is entirely unrelated to, and has no bearing on, this case.” He added that the prosecution, in raising the issue, was trying to “unduly influence the ongoing court proceedings.”

James M. Margolin, a spokesman for Preet Bharara, the United States attorney in Manhattan, declined to comment.

When he was at Harvard, Mr. Martoma told the law school administrators that he had falsified his transcript as a joke and did it mainly to impress his parents.

A Harvard Law School spokeswoman said on Thursday that the university had no record of Mr. Martoma’s graduating but could not comment further. She could not confirm whether he had attended or was expelled.

In the weeks leading up to the trial, Mr. Martoma’s lawyers had sought to keep their client’s expulsion from Harvard quiet, arguing the issue had nothing to do with the charges he faces.

But Judge Paul G. Gardephe rejected that argument and in a Dec. 28 decision ordered that the court papers be unsealed. The filings remained sealed until Thursday while Mr. Martoma’s lawyers appealed unsuccessfully.

It is not clear whether SAC knew about Mr. Martoma’s expulsion from Harvard or the reason he changed his name when he was hired as a health care portfolio manager in 2006. An SAC spokesman, Jonathan Gasthalter, declined to comment.

Erik M. Gordon, a professor at the University of Michigan Law School, said SAC had to be given the benefit of doubt that it did not know about Mr. Martoma’s expulsion. But he said the fact that Mr. Martoma landed a job at SAC would seem to justify the government’s contention that the firm has been a “magnet for bad people who do bad things.”

To date, eight people, including Mr. Martoma, have been criminally charged with insider trading while working for Mr. Cohen. Except for Mr. Martoma, all of them have either pleaded guilty or been convicted at trial.

The jurors who will sit in judgment of Mr. Martoma come from the Bronx, Manhattan and Westchester and Rockland Counties. They include the chief executive of the Jones Group, the shoe and accessory company, and a New York City bus driver.

Some of the jurors have training in law and finance. One juror said she was an insurance underwriter for the American International Group, while another has a law degree and works at the accounting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers. Another juror is an employment and labor lawyer who said his firm’s work included internal investigations for corporations related to the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act.

Barron's : Emerging Market Stocks Are too Cheap to Ignore

Emerging Market Stocks Are too Cheap to Ignore

Emerging market shares may rise 13% to 15% over the next five years, trouncing expected U.S. gains.

Slumping emerging-market stocks are now priced to return an average of 13% to 15% a year over the next five years. But soaring U.S. shares are priced to return just 2% to 4% over the same stretch. That's according to Jason Hsu, chief investment officer at Research Affiliates, a Newport Beach, Calif. money manager with more than $150 billion linked to its strategies.

Over the past three years, U.S. shares have shined, returning 13.1% a year, according to index publisher MSCI. That compares with 6.4% for euro zone shares and a yearly loss of 5.3% for emerging markets. A popular explanation for the wide performance gap is that the U.S. economic recovery appears to be gaining strength, while growth is slowing in markets like China.

However, there are two problems with that reasoning. First, China's economy with its slowing growth rate has nonetheless expanded more than twice as fast as the U.S. economy in recent years. Second, the link between economic growth and stock returns is a weak one, according to a Vanguard white paper published last September, which looked at country returns from 1970 through 2012.

Stock valuations are a more important factor, according to that paper, which builds on similar research presented in a 2010 report. In a sign of how quickly emerging markets have fallen out of favor with stock investors, the first report argued against betting too heavily on emerging markets because of their speedy economic growth. The second report argued against betting too lightly on emerging markets because of their slowing growth. Price-to-earnings ratios across regions are now similar, suggesting future returns could be similar, too, according to Vanguard.

Not so, says Hsu. He prefers to look at price-to-earnings ratios based on a 10-year average of earnings in order to smooth results for boom and bust periods of corporate profitability. That's important now, because U.S. profit margins are near record highs, while those in emerging markets are normal. Based on cyclically adjusted earnings, emerging markets have a P/E ratio of 13, compared with 25 for the U.S., according to Hsu. An examination of past returns from those starting levels tells him that emerging markets are poised to perform three to four times as well as U.S. shares.

Hsu's firm is best known for its fundamental indexes, which weight companies by economic factors like cash flow and dividend spending. The approach gives the indexes more exposure to value-priced shares and less to expensive ones than traditional stock indexes, which weight companies by stock market value. That should afford them a long-term performance edge. PowerShares FTSE RAFI US 1000 Portfolio (ticker: PRF), an exchange-traded fund based on a Research Affiliates index for U.S. shares, has returned 21.3% a year over the past five years, versus 17.6% for the Standard & Poor's 500, according to Morningstar.

Last August, Schwab launched a series of exchange-traded funds based on Research Affiliates indexes. Among them is Schwab Fundamental Emerging Markets Large Company (FNDE). It carries yearly expenses of 0.46%, versus just 0.15% for Schwab Emerging Markets Equity (SCHE), which uses a traditional index approach. The higher costs may be worth it though. The cyclically adjusted-P/E ratio for the Research Affiliates emerging market index is just nine and the dividend yield is nearly 4%, according to Hsu. That makes the newer fund, ticker FNDE, a bargain hunter's approach to a bargain-priced region.

FT : Make way for more wolves of Wall Street

The people who once would have been gangsters can now be found in the darker corners of finance

I suspect that many readers of the Financial Times will find something objectionable in Martin Scorsese’s latest film, The Wolf of Wall Street. Running at three hours, it explores the pleasures of snorting cocaine, swallowing sedatives, lying, stealing, cursing, cheating on your wife, hiding money in Switzerland, taking part in orgies and dwarf tossing.
But for anyone interested in business – and the way it is practised in New York – the movie is food for thought. Mr Scorsese is a leading chronicler of the American underworld, and he has documented a disturbing chapter in its evolution. The auteur himself has noticed that the kinds of people who used to do terrible things in his old mob films have found profitable homes in the darker corners of finance.


The Wolf of Wall Street is based on the memoirs of a New Yorker called Jordan Belfort. Before he was sent to a federal prison for 22 months in the last decade, he made millions of dollars in the 1980s and 1990s running a brokerage called Stratton Oakmont on Long Island (where I grew up). It specialised in a racket known as “pump and dump” – using high-pressure sales tactics to con people into buying dodgy stocks in smaller companies as a way to generate commissions.
By his own admission, Belfort is a bad person. After his release, he boasted to CNBC in 2007 that he had “played the game of crime very carefully for many, many years, and covered my tracks with zest and zeal”. As portrayed in the film by Leonardo DiCaprio, he is an archetypical Scorsese “wise guy”, familiar to anyone who has seen the director’s later Mafia movies, such as Goodfellas and Casino. He chases after the easy money, and flaunts it when he gets it. He cracks jokes with the boys – in this case, mostly former small-time pot dealers – and he cannot resist the blondes.
The big difference between Belfort and earlier Scorsese hoodlums is in their choice of weaponry. Belfort has no need to pick up a gun to make money. He never has to wield an ice pick or use his fists to take care of a business problem (although he punches his wife in the stomach when the marital going gets tough). Belfort only has to pick up a phone to become another Robert De Niro, Joe Pesci or Ray Liotta.
It makes for a very different initiation. In the old Mafia movies, a gangster made his bones – that is to say, qualified for membership – by killing someone. In this film, Belfort lets his fingers do the walking. At his first brokerage, the neophyte nogoodnik’s initial orders involve making 500 calls a day.
Yet Belfort soon learns he can get away with murder, as it were, with the right rap. At Stratton Oakmont, he inspires his troops by speaking of their telephones in martial terms. He describes the devices as M16s wielded by killers “who will not take no for an answer” when they are pushing a public offering. He tells them that, to get rich, they have to become “telephone f***ing terrorists”.
Guns in the movie are almost a symbol of low status. They are wielded by people who do not make the really big money. The first time a firearm is fired it is being used for target practice by Belfort’s pursuer, a strait-laced FBI agent who notes later, almost sheepishly: “You get a free handgun when you join the bureau.”
The agent ultimately brings down Belfort, but Mr Scorsese depicts the winner of the battle as a somewhat sad sack. Towards the end of the film, the agent is seen reading about the case in the Long Island newspaper Newsday as he rides the subway alone, surrounded by beaten-down commuters.
Belfort, on the other hand, emerges from prison with a career as a motivational speaker, teaching the poor saps in lesser burgs (the name of which was changed in the film to Auckland, New Zealand) how to sell stuff. The viewer is left with the sense that his story is not over.
Nor, I would argue, have we seen the last of the Belforts in our financial midst. Now that the wise guys can make serious money by picking up phones (or plugging in laptops, for that matter) rather than wielding guns, crime has become easier. What the economists call the barriers to entry have come down.
The gangsters in Mr Scorsese’s older oeuvre did dirty work; they saw the blood of their victims and heard their cries of pain. Belfort and his ilk found cleaner hustles. They were tough guys at a distance, and we will see more of them in the years to come. There are plenty of other people on Long Island who want to party.

(BFW) Dutch Court Orders Probe Into KLM Dividend Policy

--> -ve Air France, LHA +6.65% this morning, big distorcion in the sector

+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Dutch Court Orders Probe Into KLM Dividend Policy 2014-01-10 08:31:58.972 GMT

By Martijn van der Starre Jan. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Air France-KLM Dutch unit’s dividend policy in 2004-2008, 2010/’11 to be probed, Amsterdam appeals court’s Enterprise Chamber says in statement on website. * Ruling follows request by KLM minority shareholders * Court to appoint investigator * KLM ordered to pay probe costs of max. EU75,000 * Statement (Dutch): http://tinyurl.com/o4sfv59

Link to Company News:{AF FP <Equity> CN <GO>}

For Related News and Information: First Word scrolling panel: {FIRST<GO>} First Word newswire: {NH BFW<GO>}

To contact the reporter on this story: Martijn van der Starre in Amsterdam at +31-20-589-8507 or vanderstarre@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Maud van Gaal at +31-20-589-8530 or mvangaal@bloomberg.net

>>> Poste Italiane's 30-40% stake to be privatised

Poste Italiane's 30-40% stake to be privatised 

The Italian government intends to privatise a 30-40% stake in the Italian post office Poste Italiane, Italian language daily Milano Finanza reported.

The unsourced report claimed the sale was discussed at a government meeting held yesterday, 9 January.

The item said Poste Italiane had net assets of EUR 5.7bn and profits of EUR 362m, at the end of June 2013.

Source Milano Finanza daily edition

>>> CS Pre-Market Indications

ABI -0.5% Negative read from weakness in Brazil (-2.5% o/night)
Actelion +1% Tracleer Qui Tam case dismissed by US DOJ
APR +2-3% Announce contract win Libya and upgraded away
Atos +0.5% Positive read from Infosys raising sales guidance (+3%)
Berkeley +1-2% Wins approval to build 1800 homes in Tower Hamlets
Cap Gem +0.5% Positive read from Infosys raising sales guidance (+3%)
GFS -1% Negative story in UK press regarding asylum seeker contract
Implenia +1-2% Wins CHF 770m major order from Austrian Federal Railways
Lufthansa +1% CS pushing post encouraging 2014 guidance
Luxuries +1% Positive read from Swatch no's.
Metro +3-5% Spec co may be broken up and CEO replaced
Miners +0.5% China -0.7%, Copper +0.6%
Orange +1% Bid spec in press (AT&T @ €15/sh) Note CS d/graded yday
Rexam unch Montagu Pri Eq in talks to buy unit for $823m (px inline)
Richemont +1-2% Positive read from Swatch no's
Serco -1-2% Negative story in UK press regarding asylum seeker contract
Statoil +1% Scraps Norwegian sea pipeline due to costs (upgrade away)
Swatch +2-3% Sls no inline but strong start to year & outlook +ve
Tullow +1% Bid spec in FT (Statoil mentd). Strong yday due to upgrades
Wartsila +1% Finnish press spec RR/ LN may make another for marine unit

(BofA-ML) Flow Show : The Slow EM Bleed Continues

11 straight weeks of EM equity redemptions = longest outflow streak in 11 years!
- But note that EM outflows while persistent have not been deep, which explains why our EM Flow Trading Rule remains firmly in neutral territory, too soon for a contrarian “buy” signal.
- Bond funds halt 5-week outflow streak with biggest inflows in 35 weeks (Chart 2);
coincides with modest outflows from equity & commodity funds

*Asset Class Flows
- Bonds: Largest weekly inflows since May’13 (Table 1)
- Equities: small $0.4bn outflows
- Commodities: 9 straight weeks of redemptions

*Equity Flows
- EM: 11 straight weeks of outflows ($1.3bn – tied with Aug/Oct’11 as the longest
- outflow streak in 11 years) (Table 3)
- Europe: 28 straight weeks of inflows
- Japan: largest weekly inflows since May’13 ($1.7bn)
- US: $2.2bn outflows

*Fixed Income Flows
- Largest inflows to IG bond funds since May’13 ($3.0bn)
- 3 straight weeks of inflows to HY bond funds ($1.0bn)
- Largest inflows to Govie/Tsy in 18 weeks ($0.9bn)
- 81 straight weeks of inflows to floating-rate debt (Table 2)
- 34 straight weeks of outflows from MBS
- 15 straight weeks of outflows from Munis
- 15 straight weeks of outflows from EM debt; interesting that LDM actually ekes
out tiny inflows

>>> Wartsila may get another offer from Rolls-Royce

Wartsila may get another offer from Rolls-Royce

Wartsila, the Finnish power engine company, could get another offer from Rolls-Royce, according to Helsingin Sanomat. The Finnish language paper cited Pekka Spolander, an analyst from Pohjola Bank, who said that despite the fact that Wartsila had rejected the bid by the British company, Rolls-Royce could make a higher bid.

He added that there may well be a price the seller is keen to accept. He said that Wartsila represents a chance to grow for Rolls-Royce, according to the report. It was reported yesterday that Rolls-Royce had made an offer to buy Wartsila’s ship power unit.

Meanwhile, the Finnish newspaper Kauppalehti cited an analyst named Jari Harjunpaa from Pareto who said that it is likely Rolls-Royce had made an offer for the whole company, not just the marine unit because the company’s other businesses are strongly tied together.
 
Source Helsingin Sanomat, Kauppalehti