FT : Mexico senate approves telecom reform

Mexico senate approves telecom reform

After a marathon all-night debate, Mexico’s Senate approved a bill establishing the legal framework for a sweeping reform of the telecoms and broadcast sector aimed at curbing the dominance of phone mogul Carlos Slim and TV giant Televisa.
The bill, finally endorsed by 85 votes to 12 after a string of objections stretched the debate to 17 hours, now passes to the lower house where it is expected to be approved early next week.

That would bring to an end months of delays to one of the main planks of the reform agenda by President Enrique Peña Nieto.
The telecoms overhaul – the bill will enact a constitutional reform passed last year – has sparked the ire of Mr Slim but is designed to boost competition in a high-profile sector that has long escaped reform efforts.
The curbs to Mr Slim’s América Móvil telecoms empire – comprising both fixed-line operator Telmex and the Telcel cellphone service which have some 80 and 70 per cent of their respective markets – are clear: he will have to allow interconnection services to other phone companies for free, something his company has thundered is “confiscatory”.
Much of the debate in recent days however has revolved around whether the limits on Televisa, whose media machine is widely considered to have favoured the re-election of the ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party, are in fact tough enough.
Earlier this year, the telecoms regulator, IFT, declared both Mr Slim’s companies and Televisa dominant players in the telecoms and broadcast sectors. But some senators had wanted to narrow the definition to “services” rather than “sectors”, arguing that Televisa could otherwise boost its market share in the pay-TV sector without facing curbs.
Televisa has more than 60 per cent of the free-to-air TV market and, if its cable and satellite businesses are counted together, is also the biggest pay TV player. However, it was not declared dominant in the pay-TV niche by the regulator. In the end, the definition by sector was maintained in the bill.

There was no immediate reaction from either Mr Slim’s camp or from Televisa, controlled by mogul Emilio Azcárraga to approval of the bill, which has been delayed in Congress by more than six months.
The government says the reform, which, for example, eliminates long-distance phone charges from 2015, will save consumers nearly 20bn pesos ($1.5bn) a year.
The delay in passing the telecoms secondary legislation has had a knock-on effect on approval of laws to regulate the energy sector, the centrepiece of Mexico’s reform agenda. Those measures are now not expected to be passed until early August.

Barrons : At Yara, Expect a Bumper Crop of Gains

At Yara, Expect a Bumper Crop of Gains
A bumper crop of dividends awaits investors, too.

Yara International investors can expect to harvest total returns of 20% in the next year as the Norwegian fertilizer company reaps the rewards of expansion. Yara also is benefiting from growing sales of value-added products, which has helped it offset the effects of lower commodity prices.

Yara (ticker: YAR.Norway) is the world's leading producer of ammonia, nitrates, NPK (a combination of nitrogen, phosphorous, and potash), and specialty fertilizers. It is also engaged in the distribution and sale of nitrogen chemicals. Half its profit derives from its marketing and distribution network, and the sale of chemicals with environmental and civil-explosives applications.

Misconceptions surrounding Yara run deep. "People misprice the stock because they see the company as a commodity urea producer," says Bernard Horn, president and portfolio manager at Polaris Capital in Boston, which owns the shares. Urea sales accounted for less than 20% of Yara's 2013 revenue of 85.05 billion Norwegian kroner ($13.79 billion).

Yara closed Thursday at NOK307.10, giving the company a market value of more than NOK84 billion. The stock has climbed 17% since Jan. 1, outperforming the Oslo bourse's 16% gain in the same period. Oslo has been the best-performing major market in Europe this year.

Yet, Yara remains relatively inexpensive. The stock trades for about 12 times forecast 2014 and 2015 earnings, in line with CF Industries Holdings (CF) but below the price/earnings multiples accorded Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT.Canada) and Syngenta (SYNN.Switzerland).

Yara also has American depository receipts that trade in New York under the ticker YARIY.

Analysts generally are unenthusiastic about Yara's prospects. Two-thirds of those who follow the stock rate it Hold or Underweight. That is understandable given the complexities of the industry. Last year's falling prices for energy, a critical ingredient in the manufacture of nitrogen fertilizers, exacerbated an oversupply of products in the marketplace, driving down prices.

Yara is a low-cost producer, making its fertilizers from natural gas, but its advantage was diminished. Its net income fell by almost half in 2013, to NOK5.75 billion, despite a slight increase in revenue. Higher-margin fertilizers like nitrates and NPK mitigated some of the negative impact.

The outlook is brighter, however, in 2014. Earnings per share, which fell to NOK20.63 in 2013 from NOK37.48 in 2012, are forecast to climb to NOK24.30, according to a consensus of analysts' projections.

Yara, which was spun out of aluminum producer Norsk Hydro (NHY.Norway) in 2004, could get some relief as China toughens its environmental regulations. Chinese fertilizer producers, which ramped up exports last year, are adding capacity for coal-based urea, but tougher environmental-protection laws could trip up some. Much depends on how strictly the new rules are enforced.

YARA ISN'T WAITING FOR the market to turn in its favor. Last year it spent more than $1 billion expanding its footprint in South America. It is the No. 1 supplier of fertilizers in Brazil, the world's third-largest food exporter. The Americas now account for more than one-third of sales.

Management maintains a healthy balance sheet to make acquisitions and to pay dividends. At the end of 2013, the company had NOK3.38 billion of debt compared with NOK6.82 billion in cash, and undrawn bank facilities of NOK14.61 billion.

Yara pays out between 40% and 45% of net income to shareholders. The stock currently offers a dividend yield of 3.3%. Horn reckons Yara could be worth NOK360 to NOK375 per share, more than 18% above Thursday's close. With a generous dividend, the overall return is tempting.

BNP PARIBAS (BNP.France) paid a high price for violating U.S. sanctions, but the settlement removes a major uncertainty and clears the way for its shares to advance.

Penalties of $9 billion were toward the top end of expectations. Yet, the French bank will be able to pay up without needing to raise capital; its Basel III Core Tier One capital ratio will dip to 10% from 10.6% at the end of the first quarter. BNP even pledged to pay shareholders a 2014 dividend of 1.50 euros ($2.05) per share, the same as last year. A temporary suspension of some dollar clearing activities doesn't look too onerous.

The bank's reputation might be tarnished, but it looks like business as usual. At Thursday's close of €51.25, BNP Paribas traded for only 9.4 times projected 2015 earnings and 0.7 times book value. The post-settlement relief rally could continue, lifting the shares 15% to 20% in the next 12 months.

>>> Air France-KLM to put cargo division, including Martinair, up for sale

Air France-KLM to put cargo division, including Martinair, up for sale

Air France KLM is set to put its full freighter cargo division, which includes Martinair, up for sale, Dutch financial daily De Financieele Telegraaf reported, citing well informed industry sources. KLM has not confirmed the matter yet, but said a decision will be taken this month.

According to the report, Goldman Sachs has been appointed to find a buyer. It is also expected that the whole cargo division would have to move to France, the report said.

Air France KLM's passenger flights in Europe, which includes Transavia, are also a cause of concern for the airline, as its results continue to be negative.

Abu Dhabi's Etihad had previously expressed interest in buying parts of KLM, including Martinair, but could not confirm the matter when the paper got in touch yesterday, the item said.



Source De Financieele Telegraaf

(BFW) Ecclestone Preps Bid for Formula 1 as CVC Looks to Sell: Express


Ecclestone Preps Bid for Formula 1 as CVC Looks to Sell: Express
2014-07-05 12:57:14.454 GMT


By Gavin Finch
     July 5 (Bloomberg) -- CVC Capital Partners Ltd., a U.K.-
based buyout firm, is looking to sell its controlling stake in
Formula One, the Daily Express reports, citing an interview with
Chief Executive Officer Bernie Ecclestone.
  * Former owner Ecclestone is preparing a bid, as are other
    companies: Express
  * Ecclestone held talks with CVC head Donald Mackenzie:
    Express
  * CVC has made a GBP5b return on its GBP1.5b investment:
    Express


For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Gavin Finch in London at +44-20-3525-3627 or
gfinch@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Heather Smith at +44-20-3525-2724 or
hsmith26@bloomberg.net
Zoe Schneeweiss

France’s Phone Company Orange to Test German Market Entry: WiWo

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France’s Phone Company Orange to Test German Market Entry: WiWo 2014-07-05 12:10:47.732 GMT

By Sheenagh Matthews July 5 (Bloomberg) -- A unit called Orange Horizons is developing business ideas for countries where French company doesn’t have own mobile infrastructure, WirtschaftsWoche reports, citing unidentified people from Orange. WiWo also says: * Orange plans to offer Germans holidaying in France a SIM card without surcharges * NOTE: Richard says Orange ready to participate in French consolidation: NSN N88H2R6S9728<GO>

For Related News and Information: First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO> First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story: Sheenagh Matthews in Frankfurt at +49-69-92041-217 or smatthews6@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Simon Thiel at +44-20-7673-2814 or sthiel1@bloomberg.net Zoe Schneeweiss

Richard Says Orange Ready to Participate in French Consolidation

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Richard Says Orange Ready to Participate in French Consolidation 2014-07-05 09:59:15.28 GMT

By Francois de Beaupuy and Caroline Connan July 5 (Bloomberg) -- Orange CEO Stephane Richard sees need for consolidation in French telecoms * Orange CEO Richard makes comments in Bloomberg TV interview * Richard says Orange doesn’t want lead role in French merger * Richard sees no more room for price cuts in French mobile market * Richard says Orange eyeing consolidation in Spain, Romania, Poland and Belgium.

Link to Company News:{EN FP <Equity> CN <GO>} Link to Company News:{ILD FP <Equity> CN <GO>} Link to Company News:{NUM FP <Equity> CN <GO>} Link to Company News:{ORA FP <Equity> CN <GO>}

For Related News and Information: First Word scrolling panel: {FIRST<GO>} First Word newswire: {NH BFW<GO>}

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Vidya Root at +33-1-5365-5018 or vroot@bloomberg.net

>>> Clay Paky in final talks with Osram

Clay Paky in final talks with Osram

Clay Paky, a private Italian lighting company, is in the final stage of discussions with German LED lamp manufacturer Osram, three sources with knowledge of the situation said.

The group receives advice from KPMG, as previously reported by this news service. Information memoranda were dispatched in March.

Founded in 1976, the group is wholly held by Italian entrepreneur Pasquale Quadri. In 2013 the group generated turnover of EUR 70m with no debt.

Clay Paky's valuation should be around EUR 170m on the basis of the value of the company's products, know-how, and market position.

Clay Paky provides lighting for entertainment industries, primarily for television production, concerts and theatres.

Clay Paky and KPMG declined to comment.

FT : Spy agencies fear export of jihadi terror

Spy agencies fear export of jihadi terror In the Syrian city of Raqqa, the nominal “capital” of the caliphate proclaimed last weekend by the militant Islamist group Isis, a picture recently surfaced of a young French jihadi sitting behind a sturdy desk, like a clerk of terror. Tacked to the wall behind him was a doodle of the Eiffel Tower, its top snapped off by a bomb blast – a perverse reminder of a far away home in lieu of the usual family snapshot.

The image illustrates the fear gripping European, Russian and US intelligence agencies. The prospect of their own citizens returning from Syria to conduct terror attacks against them is universally shared. In recent days, these concerns appear to have become all the more acute. US counter-terrorism authorities have now requested airports in Europe and the Middle East significantly to heighten their scrutiny of passengers. The ostensible cause, according to security officials, is evidence that al-Qaeda’s most virulent offshoot, al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), has begun to share its bomb-making knowledge with Syrian groups. Such a combination could prove lethal. AQAP has long been the repository of al-Qaeda’s bombmaking knowhow. The plots of Ibrahim al-Assiri, the 32 year old AQAP chemist behind the 2009 underpants bomb plot and 2010 printer cartridge bomb plot, have until now been held in check by near constant US drone attacks in the terror group’s Yemen heartlands. For AQAP to spread its influence to Syria, where more than 3,000 European fighters are waging war in a complex milieux of jihadi groups whose activities western intelligence agencies are only able to partially monitor, would be a disaster. Foreign fighters in Syria have already proved willing to blow themselves up in the name of Islam. “They are obedient and they are willing,” says Peter Neumann, director of the International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation at King’s College London. “They are like child soldiers. They do what they are told to.”

The picture, however, is complex. The threat to Europe and the US is far from immediate or certain. According to security officials on both sides of the Atlantic no concrete plot controlled and guided by a Syria-based group has yet been uncovered, with or without input from AQAP. AQAP’s engagement in Syria has also been specific. The group has been in contact with Jabhat al-Nusra, the official al-Qaeda affiliate in Syria, American intelligence suggests. The two groups have been in contact for months, most notably in discussing how al-Qaeda should deal with the challenge to its authority posed by Isis. Compared with Isis, Jabhat al-Nusra has so far played a quieter, more focused and moderate game in waging jihad in Syria. But with Isis’s declaration last week of a caliphate – and with it a direct challenge to the authority of al-Qaeda’s chief Ayman al-Zawahiri – the stakes have been raised. Both groups, in struggling for leadership of the global jihadi movement, may now look to lay stake to their claims by staging spectacular terror attacks on their traditional foes. I am very afraid the next step might be a terror attack in Europe – America is too far - Jean Pierre Filiu, Sciences Po Isis has already indicated it may look to do so – particularly if the US intervenes in the Iraqi conflict further. In a Twitter campaign last week, Isis’s accounts kicked off a threatening campaign under the hashtag “#CalamitywillbefallUS”, featuring images of 9/11 and dead American soldiers. “I am very afraid the next step might be a terror attack in Europe – America is too far,” says Jean Pierre Filiu, professor of Middle East studies at Sciences Po in Paris. “As Caliph, [Abu Bakr al Baghdadi, Isis’s leader] can proclaim offensive jihad. Militarily, he is now overstretched so to try to gain momentum he needs terror to strike global targets.” It is a concern echoed by one senior Israeli intelligence officer: “It’s a dynamic that is a definite danger to European and US security,” he says. “Either Isis or Nusra may want to do a huge terror attack. Someone needs to be the new bin Laden.” Map :{http://www.ft.com/ig/sites/2014/isis-map/}

FT : Dubai World in talks to extend term of $10.5bn loan

Dubai World in talks to extend term of $10.5bn loan

The Atlantis Hotel was one of the assets sold by Dubai World's investment arm Dubai World is in talks with creditors to extend a $10.5bn debt maturity due in 2018, sparking divided reactions among lenders over whether to take such a deal when the emirate’s economy has recovered so strongly. The government conglomerate was at the heart of Dubai’s debt crisis in 2009, agreeing a restructuring of $25bn of loans in 2010. Last week, it proposed an early repayment on the $4.1bn maturity due in September 2015 if creditors agreed to extend the 2018 maturity to 2022, people aware of the matter say.

Despite the Dubai stock market’s steep correction over the past few weeks, the underlying economy has rebounded on strong trade and tourism flows thanks to the emirate’s haven status. Some lenders, taking a tough line as negotiations start, are calling for repayment rather than an extension to the landmark restructuring that laid the foundations for Dubai’s recovery. “Dubai keeps saying how well it is doing, but they don’t seem willing to repay,” said a banker at one leading creditor. Dubai World declined to comment. Banks such as HSBC, Standard Chartered and Lloyds are major lenders among the more than 100 creditors to Dubai World. Blackstone and Clifford Chance are representing the conglomerate in the talks. Other lenders are welcoming the early tabling of what they described as a “reasonable” proposal. Dubai’s head-in-the-sand approach in 2009 sparked a debt crisis that required $20bn in bailout loans from its richer neighbour Abu Dhabi to prevent a default. “It’s refreshing to see Dubai come to the table early like this,” said a banker at another creditor. State owned enterprises have been repaying debts when they can, but the emirate has also borrowed more and is still sitting on a $130bn debt pile. An official close to Dubai World said the company would continue to negotiate with lenders over details of the proposal. Dubai World said it had sufficient cash to repay the $4.1bn due in September 2015 after selling assets held by its investment arm, Istithmar. Investment Corporation of Dubai, the state holding company, has bought some Istithmar assets, such as the Atlantis hotel on the emirate’s Palm island. The government is reluctant to consider selling shares in Dubai World’s prized assets, such as fast-growing ports operator, DP World. “This is about optimising where we are, not restructuring,” said the official. “If the banks go for it, great, if they don’t, we can wait.”

WSJ : New Wall Street Trading Reality Eludes Obama

New Wall Street Trading Reality Eludes Obama

President Obama's View of How Good Wall Street Traders Have It Is in Need of an Update

Whether it is the best of times or the worst of times on Wall Street depends on where you sit: From a trading desk, the view is markedly different from that of the Oval Office.

In an interview this week, President Barack Obama said that, "Right now, if you are in one of the big banks, the profit center is the trading desk, and you can generate a huge amount of bonuses by making some big bets."

That is in marked contrast to the numbers being reported by big banks. In the first quarter, most of the biggest banks saw trading revenue decline year over year. More broadly, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency this week reported that total U.S. bank tradinfor a first quarter since 2008.

—g revenue declined 18% from a year earlier and was at its lowest ebb

Meanwhile, J.P. Morgan JPM +0.14% Chase and Citigroup C +0.48% already have warned that trading revenue in the second quarter will be down from the prior year.

All this reflects both a more subdued trading environment, marked by low volatility and an unexpected downward turn in long-term bond yields, as well as structural changes on Wall Street. The latter is in large part due to regulatory changes such as the Dodd-Frank Act and the "Volcker rule" prohibiting proprietary trading.

Consider that in 2013, J.P. Morgan generated a return on equity in its corporate and investment bank of 15%, versus 23% for its consumer-and-community-banking business. And over the past two years, both revenue and net income from the consumer-and-community-banking business have outpaced that of J.P. Morgan's corporate and investment bank. A similar picture emerges at Bank of America. BAC +1.14%

While more needs to be done to make big banks and the financial system safer, traders aren't partying like it's 2006.