Asian Market Update: Japan employment continues to brighten while household spending sags
***Notable Economic Data*** - (CN) CHINA MAY INDUSTRIAL PROFITS Y/Y: 8.9% V 9.6% PRIOR; YTD Y/Y: 9.8% V 10.0% PRIOR - (JP) JAPAN MAY OVERALL HOUSEHOLD SPENDING Y/Y: -8.0% (2nd consecutive decline) V -2.3%E - (JP) JAPAN JUNE TOKYO CPI Y/Y: 3.0%V 3.1%E; CPI CORE Y/Y: 2.8% V 2.8%E - (JP) JAPAN MAY NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: 3.7% V 3.7%E; CPI CORE Y/Y: 3.4% (fastest pace since Apr 1982) V 3.4%E - (JP) JAPAN MAY JOBLESS RATE: 3.5% (6-year low) V 3.6%E; JOB-TO-APPLICANT RATIO: 1.09 (20-year high) V 1.08E - (JP) JAPAN MAY RETAIL SALES M/M: 4.6% V 2.9%E; RETAIL TRADE Y/Y: -0.4 % V -2.0%E - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND MAY TRADE BALANCE (NZ$): 285M (7th consecutive month of surplus) V 250ME - (KR) SOUTH KOREA MAY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: -2.7% V % -0.1%E; Y/Y: -2.1% V 1.0%E - (KR) SOUTH KOREA MAY CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE: $9.3B V $7.1B PRIOR; GOODS BALANCE: $9.4B V $10.6B PRIOR - (UK) UK JUN HOMETRACK HOUSING SURVEY M/M: 0.3% V 0.5% PRIOR; Y/Y: 6.0% V 6.1% PRIOR
***Index Snapshot (as of 03:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 -0.5%, S&P/ASX flat, Kospi -0.2%, Shanghai Composite -0.4%, Hang Seng flat, Sept S&P500 flat at 1,948
***Commodities/Fixed Income/Currencies*** - Aug gold +0.1% at $1,318, Aug crude oil -0.1% at $105.70/brl, Sept copper flat at $3.17/lb - SLV: Spot silver rises above $21.15; 3-month high - (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥300B in 1-3yr JGB, ¥200B in 3-5yr JGB, ¥100B in 10-25yr JGB, ¥30B in JGB with maturity over 25-yr as well as ¥1.5T in T-bills - (US) Weekly Fed Balance Sheet Total Assets Week ending June 25th: $4.37T v $4.37T prior; Reserve Bank Credit: $4.33T v $4.33T prior; M1: -$3.0B (first decline in 3 weeks) v +$3.3B prior; M2: +$4.3B v -$9.3B prior; M1 y/y change: 10.5% v 10.3% w/w; M2 y/y change: 6.3% v 6.3% w/w
***Market Focal Points/Key Themes*** - Nike shares are up 3% afterhours following impressive Q4 numbers, beating on the top and bottom line. Futures orders were up 11%, while gross margins rose 170bps to 45.6%. Even China - previously a soft spot - appears to have made a fully recover from its inventory adjustment with a 4% rise in sales.
- A set of economic data from Japan came in mixed. Household spending is down sharply, even though finance min Aso said the decline was within expectations and still reflects adjustment from higher sales tax. Moreover, the y/y drop in retail sales was not nearly as bad as expected. Jobless rate hit a 6-year low however, and job-to-applicant ratio expanded to a 20-year high. National CPI continued its steady climb to 3.7%, while core rate hit its highest since 1982, potentially further diminishing the outlook for more BOJ easing. USD/JPY hit a 1-month low below 101.40, also helped by the falling US yields.
- NZD hit a 3-year high above $0.8790, with a slightly higher than expected trade surplus serving as catalyst. Later in the day, RBNZ Gov Wheeler released the 2014-17 central bank outlook, claiming RBNZ will steer policy to avoid damage of high inflation.
- China industrial profits growth slowed but not sufficiently to signal a pronounced retreat. In the property sector, local press reported Shanghai developer "Yuehe Real Estate" halted construction, entering a technical default. Developer was said to have run up about NY240M in debt, requiring CNY300-400M in funding to continue construction.
***Equities*** US markets: - MTW: Activist investor Relational said to have taken an over 8% stake; urging Manitowoc to split off its food service equipment business - press; +12.1% afterhours - NKE: Reports Q4 $0.78 v $0.76e, R$7.43B v $7.35Be; FY15 outlook largely unchanged from guidance given last quarter; Able to continue raising prices; +3.0% afterhours - GM: House Committee release new document indicating VP of products Doug Parks knew of ignition switch issues in 2005 - financial press; -0.2% afterhours - DD: Guides FY14 lower to $4.00-4.10 v $4.30e ($4.20-4.45 prior); updates redesign and restructuring initiative, sees restructuring charge of $0.20; -2.1% afterhours
Notable movers by sector: - Consumer Discretionary: Tabcorp TAH.AU -5.8% (court rules against company); Bosideng International Holdings 3998.HK -6.1% (FY14 results) - Materials: Paladin Energy Limited PDN.AU +6.8% (provides updates) - Industrials: NARI Technology Development 600406.CN +% (awarded contract) - Technology: Sony Corp 6758.JP -1.3% (cuts jobs in VAIO unit); Alco Holdings 328.HK +6.8% (FY14 results)
After Hours Summary: PRGS +9.5%, NKE +3.2%, ANAD -6.7%, DD -2.3% following earnings/guidance
After Hours Gainers: Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: PRGS +9.5%, NKE +3.2%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: AWRE +19.7% (declared special cash dividend of $1.75 per share), MTW +11.1% (Relational Investors disclosed 8.52% active stake in 13D filing; urges spin-off of food business), DRRX +3.8% (co secured $20 mln in debt financing), TEX +2.1% (trading higher in sympathy with MTW), QEP +0.9% (filed Form 10 registration statement for spin-off of midstream business), EXPE +0.8% (announced agreement to purchase Auto Escape Group, a European care rental reservation company; terms not disclosed)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: ANAD -6.7%, DD -2.3%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: ANAD -6.7% (announced strategic restructuring, with workforce reduction of ~140 positions), ISIS -5.7% (trading lower on negative blog mention), IG -4.9% (announced public offering of common stock), TOO -0.8% (filed for $500 mln offering of common units)
2014-06-26 20:20:43.355 GMT
By Courtney Dentch
June 26 (Bloomberg) -- Nike 4Q EPS, rev., futures orders
top ests.; China rev., futures beat ests. Shrs gain 2.8% post-
mkt.
* 4Q EPS cont ops 78c vs est. 75c
* 4Q rev. cont ops $7.43b vs est. $7.34b
* N. America rev. $3.29b, est. $3.13b (Consensus Metrix
avg. of 25); W. Europe rev. $1.31b, est. $1.32b; China
rev. $702m, est. $666.4m
* 4Q global futures orders constant currency 12%, est. 11.7%
(Consensus Metrix avg of 14)
* N. America 11%, est. 9.8%
* China 6%, est. 2.5%
* W. Europe 22%, est. 19.9%
* Central & Eastern Europe 14%, est. 11.5%
* Japan unchanged y/y, est. -0.2%
* Emerging mkts 9%, est. 19%
* Call 5pm 866-602-1302
* NOTE: FINL reports pre-mkt tmrw, earnings preview
Earnings preview
Statement: NSN N7SLL0MEQTXH <GO>
For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>
To contact the reporter on this story:
Courtney Dentch in New York at +1-212-617-8732 or
cdentch1@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Brad Skillman at +1-212-617-2763 or
bskillman1@bloomberg.net
Closing Market Summary: Stocks End Little Changed Despite Early Slide
The major averages posted modest losses on Thursday, but a daylong rebound off the early lows helped the indices retrace the bulk of the decline. The S&P 500 shed 0.1% with six sectors ending in the red.
Stocks did not waste any time this morning, sliding to session lows within the first 30 minutes of action. All ten sectors participated in the early retreat with financials (-0.3%) leading the market lower.
Earlier this week, the financial sector struggled to keep pace with the broader market, but today's intraday losses were large enough to pressure the S&P 500. Citigroup (C 47.23, -0.59) was the weakest performer among the majors, while European financials also struggled. Most notably, Barclays (BCS 14.55, -1.16) fell 7.4% after New York Attorney General announced fraud charges against the company. In addition, news out of the Bank of England related to higher mortgage caps and stricter lending standards may have contributed to the losses.
Like the second-largest sector, the top-weighted technology space (-0.2%) also had a tough time keeping pace with the S&P 500. The tech sector suffered from losses among large cap names like Google (GOOGL 584.77, -1.16) and Microsoft (MSFT 41.72, -0.31), while chipmakers fared only a bit better. The PHLX Semiconductor Index slid 0.4%.
On a side note, GoPro (GPRO 31.34, +7.34) was a bright spot within the sector, soaring 30.6% on its first day as a publically traded company.
Elsewhere, industrials (-0.2%) also lagged amid broad weakness in transport and defense stocks. Notably, the Dow Jones Transportation Average (-0.2%) narrowed its June gain to 0.6%, but it is worth pointing out the bellwether complex soared more than 5.5% last month.
On the upside, four sectors—consumer discretionary (+0.1%), energy (+0.1%), health care (+0.1%), and utilities (+0.2%)—posted slim gains with the utilities space extending its year-to-date gain to 15.1%.
Treasuries spent the bulk of the trading day in the green, ending just below their highs. The 10-yr note added nine ticks, sending its yield lower by tree basis points to 2.53%.
Participation was well below average with less than 600 million shares changing hands at the NYSE.
Economic data was limited to initial claims and income/spending data for May:Tomorrow, the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey for June will be released at 9:55 ET (consensus 81.7).
- The weekly initial claims level fell to 312,000 from an upwardly revised 314,000 (from 312,000), while the consensus expected a reading of 310,000.
- For most of 2014, the initial claims level was bound between 320,000 and 330,000. Over the past few weeks, claims have come down into the 310,000-320,000 range. The current levels should spark an acceleration in payroll growth and show clear improvement in labor market conditions.
- Personal income levels increased 0.4% in May following a 0.3% increase in April. The consensus expected personal income to increase 0.4%.
- The May employment data showed a 0.4% increase in aggregate wages, which correlated nicely with a 0.4% increase in employee compensation.
- Personal spending increased 0.2% in May after no growth in April. The consensus expected spending to increase 0.4%.
- Adjusted for inflation, spending declined 0.1% on the heels of a 0.2% decline in real PCE in April. That will not factor all that favorably in the calculation for Q2 GDP.
- S&P 500 +5.9% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite +4.9% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +1.6% YTD
- Russell 2000 +1.4% YTD