Cyber security names near morning highs -- FEYE +6%, PFPT +3.6%, PANW +3.3%, IMPV +2.6%, FTNT +1.3%, SYMC +0.7%, CTXS +0.4%, CHKP +0.2%
Sector strength follows several Goldman ratings/target changes before the open
PANW +3.3% assumed with a Buy at Goldman tgt $97 and added to Conviction Buy list; FEYE +6% assumed with a Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt $42
FTNT +1.3% initiated with a Neutral at Goldman tgt $26; CHKP +0.2% / LOCK assumed with a Neutral at Goldman; SYMC +0.7% assumed with a Neutral at Goldman tgt $23
From: LAURENT CHEKROUN ()
Subject: Fwd:(GS) Tailwinds put Security in the spotlight; Buy PANW (CL), FEYE; initiate on P
Tailwinds put Security in the spotlight; Buy PANW (CL), FEYE; initiate on PFPT (Buy), FTNT* Why we are Bullish on Security stocksWe assume coverage of Security Software with anAttractive coverage view, given several tailwindsthat we believe put Security in the spotlight.These include: (1) an evolving cyber threatlandscape producing larger and more costly databreaches; as a result of this (and a potentialfirewall refresh), enterprises are reviewing, and inmany cases, increasing Security spend to avoidsignificant financial/reputational damage in theevent of a breach, (2) a number of factors that aresupportive of increased M&A and capitalallocation for our stocks looking forward.* Breaches, refreshes support shift to next-genWe view recent high-profile data breaches (e.g.,TGT) and an expected firewall refresh as positivecatalysts for our stocks, with a preference fornext-gen/APT-centric providers. Our proprietaryIT surveys support our bullish call, highlighting:(1) Security spending is accelerating at its highestrates since 2010, (2) a firewall refresh appearsmore likely within the next 12 months, and (3)new budget is being created to fight APTs, with ahigh preference for solutions from new vendors.* Breaches, refreshes support shift to next-genWe view recent high-profile data breaches (e.g.,TGT) and an expected firewall refresh as positivecatalysts for our stocks, with a preference fornext-gen/APT-centric providers. Our proprietaryIT surveys support our bullish call, highlighting:(1) Security spending is accelerating at its highestrates since 2010, (2) a firewall refresh appearsmore likely within the next 12 months, and (3)new budget is being created to fight APTs, with ahigh preference for solutions from new vendors.* Stock views: Buy PANW (CL), PFPT, FEYEPalo Alto Networks (PANW, CL-Buy) is our toppick, offering disruptive long-term growth andaccelerating profitability that should exceed streetforecasts. We also initiate coverage of Proofpoint(PFPT) at Buy, given our above-consensus view onnear-term growth/FCF trends, and potential upside viaM&A. We upgrade FireEye (FEYE) to Buy, asproprietary survey data indicates increased budget(with new vendors) to counter APTs, a more positiveview on FCF, and potential M&A tailwinds over thelong-term. We also initiate coverage of Fortinet(FTNT) with a Neutral rating.