>>> What to look at today - 30th of June 2025

Stock-index futures advanced and Asian equities edged up as progress in several trade negotiations boosted risk appetite. Contracts for the S&P 500 rose 0.4% after the index closed at a record Friday. Futures for European stocks advanced 0.4%. Asian shares rose 0.2% with the Nikkei-225 index jumping 1.5% after Japan’s top negotiator extended his stay in the US for further talks. The Canadian dollar strengthened after the country rescinded its digital services tax to advance discussions with the US. A gauge of the dollar dipped 0.2% as Senate negotiations continued over President Donald Trump’s $4.5 trillion tax-cut package. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index has posted its worst start to a year since at least 2005. Crude oil fell 0.5% as traders wound back risk premiums before the OPEC+ meeting.  On Friday, US stocks rose to a fresh all-time high for the first time since February, underscoring the conviction the economy is withstanding policy uncertainties. Trump in April put tariffs on dozens of trading partners on pause for three months, providing a boost for equities. A gauge of Asian stocks is set to climb more than 4% for a second month as investors look past tariff angst and recent tensions the Middle East. India’s trade team also extended its stay in Washington to iron out differences as the two sides look to clinch a deal before the July 9 deadline, people familiar with the matter said. The in-person negotiations were initially supposed to run through June 27 but were extended by a day, raising hopes of an interim trade deal. Canada withdrew its digital services tax on technology companies in a move to restart talks with the US. Prime Minister Mark Carney and Trump agreed that the two countries will resume negotiations with a view toward agreeing on a deal by July 21. Taiwan too said it’s made “constructive progress” in a second round of trade talks with the US. Wall Street traders have dodged a flurry of tariff headlines to drive stocks to all-time highs. A surge in equities after April’s meltdown drove the S&P 500 to its first record since February, with the gauge topping 6,170. The index has gained 10% this quarter, its sixth advance in seven quarters. Separately, negotiations over Trump’s tax-cut bill are continuing as Republicans seek to convince holdouts to support it for final passage, with a vote set to spill into Monday. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimates the measure would add nearly $3.3 trillion to US deficits over a decade. Republicans in Congress broadly support the $4.5 trillion worth of tax cuts in the package, which extend the 2017 tax cuts and create new breaks for tipped and hourly workers, along with seniors and car buyers. But the $1.2 trillion worth of spending cuts have created numerous problems. Trump has not delved into the details of the legislation. Instead, the president has pushed for speed, demanding that Congress deliver the bill to him by July 4. The House will also need to vote on the Senate-passed version before it can go the president’s desk to be signed into law. Meanwhile, China’s factory activity improved for a second month - but remained in contraction - as trade rebounded after the ceasefire in the tariff war with the US. The offshore yuan extended its gain after the data release and was 0.2% stronger at 7.1626 per dollar. Shares in Hong Kong and mainland China fluctuated.

Nikkei +0.74% Hang Seng -0.36% CSI +0.17% Shanghai +0.40% Shenzen +0.7%

Eur$ 1.1730 CNH 7.1619 CNY 7.1644 JPY 143.97 GBP 1.3729 CHF 0.7985 RUB 78.6454 TRY 39.8962 WTI$ 65.22 -0.46% Gold 3,285 +0.33% BTC 108,400 +0.92% ETH 2,497 +2.61%

S&P +0.45% Nasdaq +0.57% EuroStoxx +0.24% FTSE +0.01% Dax +0.29% SMI +0.14%

Macro :
- Japan Says Still Actively Pursuing US-Japan Tariff Agreement
- Canada Drops Tax That Enraged Trump to Restart Talks (Correct)
- California Says Low Carbon Fuel Changes to Take Effect July 1
- EU Set to Open Doors to Imported Carbon Credits Under 2040 Goal
- Japan Chief Trade Negotiator Akazawa Met With Lutnick Friday
- OPEC+ Is Set to Weigh Another Super-Sized Oil Output Increase
- Credit for Hydrogen Producers Extended in Senate’s New Tax Bill

Keep an eye on :
- 2630 TT : AirAsia Plans Gulf Hub, New European Destinations This Year: FT
- ARGX BB : Argenx to Advance Clinical Development of ARGX-119 in CMS
- BST IM : Banca CF+ Launches Offer for Banca Sistema at € 1.80/Share
- BA US : Boeing Wins Buy Rating as Redburn Sees ‘Healthier’ Company
- ALCAR FP :Carmat Files for Insolvency, Requests Receivership
- CSZ US : SL Green, Caesars, Partners Submit Proposal for NYC Casino
- ATD CN : Seven & I’s NDA With Couche-Tard Is Valid for 1 Year: Nikkei
- DUE GY : Dürr Sells Its Environmental Tech Business to Stellex Affiliate
- EVR LN : Atlas Holdings Confirms Deal to Buy Evraz North America
- FM CN : First Quantum Starts Shipping Stockpiled Copper From Panama Mine
- FORN SW : Forbo CFO & Interim CEO Andreas Jaeger to Leave During 4Q
- GOOGL US : *OPENAI RENTING GOOGLE’S AI CHIPS TO POWER CHATGPT: INFORMATION
- GRF SM : Grifols Paid Family-Linked Firm More for Plasma (Correct)
- HLT US : Hilton Heads Into Cruise Industry With Waldorf Astoria Nile Ship (Correct)
- IBE SM : Iberdrola’s Scottish Power, Ovo in Early Merger Talks, Sky Says
- IBM US : Raytheon, IBM Bidding on Air Traffic Control System, Trump says
- INTC US : Intel’s Top Strategy Officer to Depart This Month: Reuters
- KER FP : Parvus Asset Management Holds 5% Stake in Kering: AMF
- LEON SW : Leonteq to Propose Reduction of Executive Compensation at EGM
- META US : Meta seeks $29bn from private credit giants to fund AI data centres
- NFG LN : Next 15 Rebounds Amid Early Talks on Potential Brand Sales
- NVDA US : Nvidia taps two young Chinese AI experts to strengthen research
- OVS IM : OVS Makes Bid for Stricken Home Goods Chain Kasanova: Corriere
- PLTR US : Palantir Stock Price Falls Over 10%: Jim Cramer Wonders If It Was A Casualty Of Russell Rebalance Days After Calling It A $200
- PJT US ; Saks Global Confirms $600m Committed Financing From Bondholders
- RED SM : *RED ELECTRICA PARENT EYES `RECORD' SPENDING: CHAIR TO EXPANSION
- RIVN US : VW to Pay Rivian $1 Billion as Part of Partnership Rampup: DPA
- ROSN RM : Rosneft in Talks With Reliance For Stake Sale in India Unit: PTI
- SAN FP : Sanofi’s Riliprubart Gets Orphan Drug Designation in Japan
- SKAB SS : Skanska Gets Order Worth About SEK460m
- SLG US : SL Green, Caesars, Partners Submit Proposal for NYC Casino
- TGXN SW : SMG Sees 2025 Revenue Growth Between 13% to 15%
- SOBI SS : Sobi’s Gamifant OK’d by FDA to Treat MAS in Still’s Disease
- TSLA US : Elon Musk Says First Tesla Drove Itself From Factory to Customer
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Says Not Involved in Saturday Flight Disruptions
- TTE FP : Total Is Said to Receive Offers for Argentina Shale Oil Assets
- 2330 HK : TSMC TSMC Affiliate May Expedite Schedule of $8 Billion Singapore Fab
- UBSG SW : UBS to Start Buyback Program for Up to $2b in Shares July 1 (1)
- VK FP : Vallourec Gets ‘Significant’ Tubular Goods Order With ADNOC
- VOW GY : VW to Pay Rivian $1 Billion as Part of Partnership Rampup: DPA
- WMT US : Trump Officials Met with Walmart on Direct-to-Patient Drug Sales
- YAR NO : Yara CEO Warns Mideast Tensions Could Cause Food Price Shock: FT