>>> What to look at today - 26th of June 2025

The dollar declined and Treasury yields edged lower on bets that US rate cuts could come sooner than expected, after a report that President Donald Trump is considering an early appointment for the next Federal Reserve chairman. A Bloomberg gauge of the currency dropped as much as 0.4% to hit its lowest level since April 2022. Its big losses were against the Japanese yen and Taiwan‘s currency. Treasury yields declined at every major maturity, with 10-year yields down two basis points to 4.27%.  The moves came after a Wall Street Journal report that Trump may announce Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s replacement by September or October, an unusually early appointment that may effectively create a shadow Fed chair with the power to influence market sentiment. That has bolstered expectations that US interest rates will be cut sooner than previously expected. A broad gauge of regional equities was up around 0.5%, while US equity futures were slightly higher. Tech stocks got a boost from the overnight rally in Nvidia Corp., which pushed the giant chipmaker’s shares to an all-time high. Oil gained for a second day as investors grappled with an uneasy ceasefire in the Middle East. Despite stabilizing prices, the market remains on edge. Russia said it was open to another output hike at the next OPEC+ meeting. Trump’s combative relationship with the Fed has fueled uncertainty about the pace of interest rate cuts at a time when traders are being forced to weigh up a series of mixed signals.  Economists widely expect rising tariffs to be passed on to consumers, putting pressure on inflation — but there are also hopes the Fed will look ahead to the likely impact on real incomes and labor market activity when deciding its next move. Fed governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman recently signaled they would be open to lowering rates as soon as July if inflation remains contained. But Powell remains guarded: He told a Senate committee on Wednesday that it was “very hard to predict” the inflationary impact of the levies, after reiterating his message earlier this week that the Fed doesn’t need to rush to rate cuts.  The dollar has tumbled more than 8% this year, as traders responded to on-again, off-again tariffs and raised broader questions about the role of the greenback in global trade. A basket of Asian currencies hit an eight-month high against the dollar on Thursday, and fund managers think there may be more gains to come. Elsewhere, Hong Kong’s de-facto central bank spent more than a billion dollars propping up the city’s exchange rate, as it manages a currency peg that has been strained by volatility in the dollar.  US After Hours MU +2.2%, WS +13.7%, MLKN +9.9% higher on earnings; SCS -3.4%, JEF -2.7% lower on earnings; KTOS -5.5% on stock offering

Nikkei +1.39% Hang Seng -0.51% CSI +0.00% Shanghai +0.10% Shenzen +0.39%

Eur$ 1.1679 CNH 7.1614 CNY 7.1657 JPY 144.81 GBP 1.3702 CHF RUB TRY WTI$ Gold BTC ETH

S&P +0.13% Nasdaq +0.18% EuroStoxx +0.15% FTSE -0.14% Dax +0.22% SMI +0.14%

Macro :
- *TRUMP CONSIDERS NAMING NEXT FED CHAIR EARLY: WSJ
- Dollar’s Worst Drop in Decades Risks Ending 2008 Bull Trend
- Emerging FX Gain on Recovering Risk Sentiment, Fed Cut Wagers
- US Allows Ethane Cargoes to Sail to China But Not Discharge
- Brazil Senate Votes to Overturn IOF Tax Increase
- Steepener Trade Has Legs Even After a Two-Year Run: Macro View
- Mamdani’s Rent-Freeze Agenda Sparks Slide in NYC-Linked REITs
- World Liberty Token Draws Accumulators’ Attention, Folkman Says
- Fannie, Freddie to Draft Plan Adding Crypto as Borrowers’ Assets
- The winners and losers of the first round of the 2025 NBA draft
- Poland could fail to meet defence workforce needs as spending set to more than double by 2035


Keep an eye on :
- AIR FP : Taiwan’s China Airlines to Add 13 Aircraft from Airbus
- Ambienta spa (Private Co) : Ambienta Raises €500 Million for Sustainable Small-Cap Strategy
- AMZN US : Amazon Says Denis Villeneuve Will Direct Next James Bond Film
- ATRL CN : AtkinsRéalis to Buy Back 7m Shares From La Caisse at C$90.87/Shr
- AVOL SW : Avolta Confirms Mid-Term Outlook And Capital Allocation
- BMED IM : Banca Mediolanum Reviews Sale of Mediobanca Stake: Sole
- BNP FP : BNP Says CPBF to Improve Profitability to >17% RONE by 2028
- BA US : Boeing to Replace Air Force One Program Head: Breaking Defense
- BP/ LN : Shell Is in Early Talks to Acquire Oil Rival BP, WSJ Reports
- BP/ LN : Shell Says It Isn’t in Talks to Take Over Oil Rival BP
- 3750 HK : CATL to bring battery-swapping technology to Europe - FT
- Chemring Nobel (Private co.) : Norway, Chemring Nobel Mull Hurum for New Explosives Facility
- CBK GY : Commerzbank Shares Slide as Option Volume Hits Record
- ATD CN : Couche-Tard 4Q US Comp Merchandise Rev. Misses Estimates
- COVEAFI FP : Covea Names Petit CEO, Derez Becomes Chair of Board From July 1
- ACA FP : Worldline Woes Draw Credit Agricole Staff Queries on 2024 Stake
- DB1 GY : Deutsche Boerse Said to Add Banks to $1 Billion IPO of ISS
- EDEN FP : Edenred Says Planned Govt Reform Would Reinforce Meal Vouchers
- FMCC US : Fannie, Freddie to Draft Plan Adding Crypto as Borrowers’ Assets
- GJF NO : Gjensidige Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 259 kroner
- JEF US : Jefferies 2Q Net Revenue Beats Estimates
- Jefferson Capital IPO : JC Flowers-Backed Jefferson Capital’s IPO Raises $150 Million
- HOT GY : Thiess Gets A$2.3b Contract Extension at Jellinbah Group’s Mine
- K US : Mars, Kellanova Deal Doesn’t Meet Anticompetitive Standard: FTC
- K US : Kellanova, Mars Delay Expected Deal Close Date After EU Probe
- KTOS US : Kratos Defense Prices Offering of 13m Shares at $38.50/Share
- KYMR US : Kymera $250 Million Share Sale Said to Be One-Day Offering
- MAERSKB DC : Maersk Sues Over Being Barred From Brazil Port Auction: Reuters
- MBG GY : Mercedes Unveils Electric Hypercar Concept Ahead of Key Summer
- META US : Meta Poaches Three OpenAI Researchers -- WSJ
- MU US : Micron 4Q Adjusted Revenue Forecast Beats Estimates: Snapshot
- MU US : Micron's $200 Billion US Chip Investment Plan Gets Backing From Trump Admin As AI Demand Soars
- NKE US : Nike’s New Products, Inventory Clearout Grab Attention: Preview
- NOK1V FH : Nokia Is Set to Cut Thousands of Jobs, Helsingin Sanomat Says
- NOS PL : Portugal’s NOS Secures €100m Loan From Banco BPI Due in 2029
- NVDA US : Nvidia Shares Reach All-Time High on AI Growth: TMT Wrap
- OGC CN ; OceanaGold Sees ‘Boring’ Dual-Listing Boosting Shares: ECM Watch
- PNDORA DC : Pandora, Amazon Track Down Counterfeit Jewelry Network: Borsen
- RCO FP : Remy Cointreau New CEO Marilly to Get €800,000 Base Salary
- SKAB SS : Skanska Signs US Contract Worth About SEK2.6b
- STB NO : Storebrand Completes NOK750 Million Share Buyback Program
- Terra Quantum (Private Co.) : Terra Quantum CEO in Spat With Lakestar Amid Fundraising Talks
- TMO US : Thermo Fisher, Solventum Narrow Asset Purchase Agreement
- UCG IM : Some Delfin Holders Request UniCredit, Generali Stakes Sale:Sole
- VLA FP : Valneva Reaffirms Full Year 2025 Forecast at General Meeting
- VLA FP : Valneva Unveils Germany Vaccine Marketing Agreement With CSL
- Visma IPO : Visma Picks London Over Amsterdam for IPO Next Year: FT
- VOR US : Vor Bio to Pay $125m to RemeGen to Develop Autoimmune Treatment
- WHA NA : Wereldhave Secures EUR125 Million via Private Placement Transactions
- WLN FP : Worldline Woes Draw Credit Agricole Staff Queries on 2024 Stake
- WLN FP : Worldline CEO Says Company Has Been ‘Attacked’ by Media Campaign