>>> What to look at today - 13th of December 2024

Stocks and bonds slid in Asia following Friday’s stronger-than-expected US jobs data, while oil climbed to a four-month high as a fresh wave of American sanctions on Russia threatened to crimp supplies. MSCI’s index of regional equities slipped for a fourth day as the US payroll numbers damped bets on further Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. US equity futures pointed to further losses on Wall Street after the S&P 500 fell 1.5% on Friday. Japanese markets are shut for a holiday, meaning there’s no trading in cash Treasuries in Asia. The downward pressure in Asia markets is tied to Friday’s payrolls data, said Lynn Song, chief greater China economist at ING Bank NV. “Hawkish developments from the US jobs data also adds extra pressure on emerging markets, as markets have gone from pricing in three-to-four cuts prior to Trump’s election victory to just one cut now.”  The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped as much as 1.1%, with benchmarks in Hong Kong, Taiwan and South Korea leading declines among major regional markets. Chinese shares extended losses even after local data showed exports rose to a record last year. This may be one of the last high points for the country’s trade, with US President-elect Donald Trump promising to impose even higher tariffs on Chinese goods when he takes office next week.  Any recovery in China stocks “is predicated upon further policy announcements,” Stephanie Leung, chief investment officer of Stashaway, said on Bloomberg Television. What investors are looking for are “more pro-consumer, pro-consumption policies coming out from China,” she said. Brent crude climbed above $81 a barrel, after surging almost 4% Friday. That was after the US imposed its most aggressive and ambitious sanctions yet on Russia’s oil industry, targeting two large exporters, insurance companies, and more than 150 tankers. The jump in oil prices is set to provide an extra challenge for central bankers, including the Fed, if it leads to stickier inflation. Bonds dropped in Asia following last week’s Treasury declines. Australian 10-year yields climbed as much as 12 basis points to 4.66%, while New Zealand’s rose seven basis points. US sovereign bonds had slumped on Friday after the December payroll data, sending the 30-year yield above 5% for the first time in more than a year. The dollar strengthened against most of its major peers in Asia after jumping Friday following the payroll report. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index climbed 0.2%, rising back toward a two-year high set last week.  China ramped up its support for the yuan with a warning and tweaks to its capital controls, after the currency dropped close to a record low against the dollar in offshore trading. The People’s Bank of China and other regulators will strengthen their management of the foreign-exchange market, deal with any behavior that may disrupt market order and prevent the risks of an overshoot in the yuan. Beijing will make sure the currency is basically stable at reasonable levels, the central bank said in a statement. The next key number from the US will be inflation figures due Wednesday. Traders will also be watching the New York Fed’s one-year inflation expectations due Monday, producer prices on Tuesday and jobless claims on Thursday. Bank of America Corp., which previously expected two quarter-point Fed rate cuts this year, said it no longer expects any, and said there’s a risk the next move is a hike. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees two cuts this year versus three.

Nikkei Closed Hang Seng -1.23% CSI -0.57% Shanghai -0.51% Shenzen -0.28%

Eur$ 1.0211 CNH 7.3568 CNY 7.3317 JPY 157.52 GBP 1.2140 CHF 0.9177 RUB 101.9166 TRY 35.4443 WTI$ 78.15 +2.06% Gold 2;687 -0.10% BTC 94,380 +0.07% ETH 3,232 -1%

S&P -0.37% Nasdaq -0.50% EuroStoxx -0.30% FTSE -0.16% Dax -0.19% SMI -0.25%

Macro :
- UK Will Explore Nuclear Power for New AI Data Center Plan
- JPM Healthcaqre Conference in SF -13/01--16/01 - https://bit.ly/3BRUNXe
- S&P’s $18 Trillion Rally Threatened by Psychology of 5% Yields
- Russia Foreign Ministry: New US sanctions against energy sector are an effort to harm Russia's economy at the cost of risking destabilization of global markets; Russia will respond to Washington's hostile actions
- China approved shipment of nearly 3M bbl of oil stockpiled for Iran; Reportedly the proceeds could be used to fund allied militias in the Middle East - press
- OpenAI, Meta, Uber CEOs Plan to Attend Trump Inauguration Events
- Option Trades in China ETFs Swing From Gain to $100 Million Loss
- US Proposes $21 Billion Medicare Payment Boost to Insurers , *HUMANA SHARES JUMP 7%, CVS RISES 2.8% ON MEDICARE PROPOSAL
- Blue Origin Rocket Set to Debut in Crucial SpaceX Challenge, Bezos Says Space Industry Has Room for ‘Multiple Winners’

Keep an eye on :
- ATUS US : Altice’s Optimum Removes Nexstar Content as Carriage Talks Fail
- AAL LN : BofA Mining Veteran, Former Anglo CEO Seek to Catch Deal Revival
- AAPL US : Apple Opposes Holder Proposal to Cease DEI Efforts
- AAPL US : IPhone Loses Global Market Share With Apple AI Absent in China
- ARGX BB : Argenx Prelim 4Q Cash and Cash Equivalents About $3.40B
- ASML NA : Barrons Article : "ASML Is the Chip-Equipment Leader. Its Stock Is Poised to Bounce Back."
- ASML NA : ASML-Backed Dutch University Suspends Classes After Cyber Attack
- BHVN US : Biohaven, Merus to Co-Develop Three Bispecific ADC Programs
- BIM FP : BioMerieux to Buy Remaining 80% of SpinChip for About €111m
- 325 HK : Ultraman Toymaker Bloks Surges After Blockbuster HK IPO (Friday) - +11% today
- CBK GY : Commerzbank Chairman Skeptical on Hostile UniCredit Takeover: HB
- EIX US : Fire Agencies to Probe Possible Edison Link to LA Hurst Fire (1)
- EL US : EL: Estee Lauder rumor highlighted in Betaville alert
- EBS AV : Erste Overweight at Morgan Stanley on CEE Region Growth Outlook
- HSBA MN : HSBC’s Ellam Will Be Named to Lead EU-UK Reset Talks: FT
- HPE US : HPE Wins $1 Billion AI Server Deal for Elon Musk’s X
- HOLX US : Hologic Prelim 1Q Revenue $1.02B, in Line With Estimate
- HUM US : *HUMANA SHARES JUMP 7%, CVS RISES 2.8% ON MEDICARE PROPOSAL!
- IDIA SW : Idorsia to Propose Bond Extension as Aprocitentan Deal Stalls
- ITCI US : Johnson & Johnson Is Said to Explore Bid for Intra-Cellular
- IFL AU : Bain Sweetens Insignia Bid to A$4.30/Shr, Matching CC Capital
- PSH NA : Ackman Says Pershing to File Amended Howard Hughes 13D on Monday
- RLAY US : Eli Lilly in talks to acquire Scorpion Therapeutics, FT says; Relay Therapeutics surges
- STJ LN : St James’s Place hands £5.2bn fund to Schroders in blow to Impax
- META US : Trump Met With Meta’s Zuckerberg at Mar-A-Lago Friday: CNN
- NXST US : *OPTIMUM SAYS NEXSTAR CONTENT REMOVED FROM OPTIMUM TV
- NDX1 GY : Nordex Gets 247MW Wind Turbine Orders From Canada
- NOVN SW : Weight-Loss Drugmaker Metsera Files for IPO
- OLTH GA : Thessaloniki Port as Leonidsport Wants to Acquire 21%
- PEAN SW : Peach Property Offers to Buy Back up to €100M of 4.375% Notes
- P911 GY : Porsche AG FY Global Deliveries Fall 3% Y/y to 310,718 Units
- QIA GY : Qiagen to Return About $300 Million to Shareholders
- ROG SW : Roche's VENTANA ISH Test Secures FDA Clearance For Accurate B-Cell Lymphoma Diagnosis
- SAGE US : Sage Therapeutics Shares Jump After Biogen Buyout Proposal
- SAN FP : Sanofi Says Sarclisa Gets China Approval for Multiple Myeloma
- SOBI SS : Sobi Says Full Year 2024 Revenue Was Higher Than Prior Guidance, Sobi CEO Sees Altuvoct Market Share at Higher End of Range: DI
- 1918 HK : Sunac Shares Rebound After Drop Spurred by Wind-Up Petition
- SWTX US : SpringWorks Shares Jump as Betaville Reports M&A Speculation
- 7203 JP : Toyota to Reshuffle Japan Production Amid Labor Crunch: Yomiuri
- TSLA US : Europe’s Largest Pension Fund Sells Tesla Stake Over Musk’s Pay
- UBSG SW : UBS’ Khan Says Diversification Is Key in Charged Environment (1)
- UCG IM : Italy Readying Review of UniCredit’s BPM Bid Under Golden Power
- X US : US Extends Deadline for Nippon Steel to End US Steel Bid to June
- X US : Japan’s Ishiba Urges Biden Allay US Steel Deal Concerns : Kyodo