>>> What to look at today - 11th of December 2024

Asian shares retreated as traders await key US inflation data for clues on whether the Federal Reserve will cut or hold interest rates next week. The dollar steadied after a three-day gain.  Stocks in Hong Kong and mainland China fluctuated as an annual economic meeting begins in Beijing on Wednesday, while those in Taiwan and Australia dropped. South Korean equities rose for a second session, continuing a recovery after last week’s short-lived martial law event that thrust the country into political turmoil.  A Bloomberg index of dollar strength was steady in the runup to American consumer price index data. S&P 500 contracts were little changed on Wednesday.  Wednesday’s CPI will offer Fed officials another look at inflation ahead of their next meeting. Swap trading projects about an 85% chance of a quarter-point rate reduction this month. Meanwhile, China’s two-day Central Economic Work Conference is expected to map out policies for next year, with traders emboldened by stimulus signals from top leaders. China may raise its budget deficit to the highest in three decades and make the deepest interest-rate cuts since 2015, according to economists. At least seven Chinese brokerages forecast that next year’s fiscal deficit target could reach 4% of gross domestic product, the widest since a major tax reform in 1994. Beijing has historically kept its budget deficit ratio at or below 3%. Chinese and Hong Kong shares were positive through much of the Asian morning, then erased gains. With little follow-through from China’s politburo announcements, “it may be a case of once bitten, twice shy for investors, who are becoming more skeptical and less willing to buy into stimulus, given the lack of follow through with past policy promises,” said Kyle Rodda, a senior market analyst at Capital.com. Treasury 10-year yields rose slightly. In Japan, the yen strengthened slightly after inflation in corporate goods prices accelerated to the fastest pace in 16 months, an outcome that points to growing inflationary pressure in the economy and supports the central bank’s further normalization of policy.  Yet, the local currency remained weak as traders dialed back their bets on a December rate hike. Overnight indexed swaps priced in about a 20% chance of a December rate increase, tumbling from 60% at the beginning of last week. Meanwhile, the bid by Nippon Steel Corp. to buy United States Steel Corp. looks to be entering its endgame, with President Joe Biden to formally block the $14.1 billion sale on national security grounds once the deal is referred back to him later this month, people familiar with the matter said. Chinese President Xi Jinping opened a probe into Nvidia Corp. and banned the export of several rare materials with military applications, getting a head start on a looming trade war with the US. Beijing has also limited sales to the US and Europe of key components used to build drones. Oil gained ahead of key US inflation data and a monthly report from OPEC that will provide a snapshot on the market. Gold fell for the first time in four days. US After Hours GM +3.2% to no longer fund Cruise's robotaxi development work; SFIX +20.4%, GME +2% higher on earnings; PLAY -9.8%, GEV -2.8% lower on earnings/guidance.

Nikkei -0.17% Hang Seng -0.64% CSI -0.45% Shanghai -0.07% Shenzen +0.15%

Eur$ 1.0527 CNH 7.2548 CNY 7.2497 JPY 151.73 GBP 1.2767 CHF 0.8835 RUB 103.1118 TRY 34.8633 WTI$ 69.06 +0.70% Gold 2,689 BTC 97,546 +0.66% ETH 3,661 +0.56%

S&P +0.07% Nasdaq +0.10% EuroStoxx -0.20% FTSE -0.42% Dax -0.24% SMI

Macro :
- China to Restrict Visas to US Officials for Threatening HK Curbs
- Watch French Stocks as Macron Plans to Name New PM Within Days
- *ITALY MAY SEEK ADDITIONAL EU400M FROM BANKS, INSURERS: CORRIERE

Keep an eye on :
- SLRN US : *ACELYRIN: PHASE 2B/3 OF IZOKIBEP DID NOT MEET PRIMARY ENDPOINT
- ADS GY : Adidas ADRs Turn Negative on Tax Raid Report by Manager Mag
- ALV GY : Allianz’s Baete Says Asset Manager AGI ‘Very Important’ to Group
- AWE LN : Alphawave IP to Launch Offering of About $150m Convertible Bonds
- GOOGL US : Alphabet Climbs After Breakthrough With Willow Quantum Chip (1)
- AAPL US : Apple’s Next Smartwatch Will Be Able to Send Texts via Satellite
- BLCO CN : Blackstone Could Pull Out of Takeover Bid for Bausch + Lomb: FT
- GBF GY : Bilfinger Approves Share Buyback of Up to €50 Million
- BA US : Boeing Wins $450.5 Million U.S. Air Force Contract
- BMW GY : BMW Proposes Nicolas Peter as New Supervisory Board Chairman
- AFX GY : Carl Zeiss Meditec FY Revenue Meets Estimates
- COLR BB : Colruyt 1H Gross Margin Beats Estimates
- ACA FP : Credit Agricole CEO Emerges as Key Player in Italy Bank Standoff
- CVC NA : CVC Backers Seek to Raise About €300 Million in Share Sale
- ENGI FP : Two Mexico Families Sue Engie Over Gas Leaks: Le Monde
- ENI IM : Eni Fuel Depot Hit by Blast Won’t Reopen Until Probe Is Complete
- GRF SM : Grifols Holder Flat Footed Calls for Further Board Reform
- HSY US : Mondelez’s Takeover of Hershey Would Rank as Top Deal of 2024
- ITX SM : Inditex 9M Ebit Misses Estimates
- 1310 HK : I Squared Capital Is Said to Begin Due Diligence Work on HKBN
- LION US : Activist Anson Takes Lionsgate Studios Stake, May Push for Sale
- MKL US : Activist Jana Pushes Insurer Markel to Separate Venture Unit
- B4B GY :Metro AG FY Net Sales Meets Estimates
- MSFT US : Google Asks FTC to Kill Microsoft’s Exclusive Cloud Deal with OpenAI
- 7201 JP : Nissan to Name Jérémie Papin CFO on Wed., Yomiuri Says
- PHARM NA : Pharming Group Posts Positive Topline Data of Leniolisib Phase 3
- QIA GY : Qiagen, Hologic Gets Buys as Jefferies Rates Diagnostics Firms
- SAN FP : Sanofi Gets FDA Fast Track Label for Two Flu/Covid Combo Jabs
- SMCI US : Super Micro CEO Confident Won’t Be Delisted From Nasdaq: Reuters
- SOON SW : Sonova Names Elodie Carr-Cingari CFO From July at Latest
- S32 AU : South32 Hopeful Trump Will Allow Access to Alaska Copper Region
- SWECB SS : Sweco Gets Contracts for Two ‘Major’ German Hospital Projects
- TTWO US : Take-Two Named Top Media Pick at Citi on Game Pipeline
- TLX GY : Talanx Proposes 2024 Dividend of €2.70/Shr; Posts 2027 Goals (1)
- TE FP : Technip and GE Vernova Secure Contract for NZT Power Project
- TSLA US : *SPACEX VALUE SET AT ABOUT $350 BILLION IN INSIDER SHARE SALE
- TUI1 GY : TUI Sees 2025 Underlying Ebit +7% to +10%
- X US : Biden Plans to Finally Kill Nippon Steel Bid for US Steel
- VOD LN : Vodafone UK Sued for £120 Million for Breaching Franchise Deals