Closing Stock Market SummaryThe S&P 500 increased 0.4% on Thursday, overcoming a 0.7% intraday decline on no specific news catalysts. The Nasdaq Composite (+0.1%) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.3%) also recouped intraday losses while the Russell 2000 (-0.4%) still closed lower despite a recovery effort.
Two early headwinds for the market included technical resistance at the S&P 500's 200-day moving average (4492) and upwards pressure in long-term interest rates. The 10-yr yield settled higher by five basis points to 2.66% after trading at 2.56% overnight.
Investors, also cognizant of a hawkish-minded Fed, continued to lean defensively as the market drifted lower throughout the morning. Equities, however, turned around in the afternoon without a news catalyst, perhaps amid a contrarian mindset as sentiment had gotten too bearish.
The S&P 500 reclaimed its 200-day moving average on a closing basis with the help of seven of its 11 sectors. The health care (+1.9%), energy (+1.4%), and consumer staples (+1.2%) sectors led the advance with gains over 1.0%.
Conversely, the real estate (-0.9%), communication services (-0.7%), utilities (-0.3%), and financials (-0.1%) sectors closed lower. The CBOE Volatility Index (21.55, -0.55, -2.5%) did, too, as hedging interest waned amid the rebound-minded action.
In corporate news, shares of Costco (COST 608.05, +23.26, +4.0%) hit an all-time high after the company reported adjusted March comparable sales growth of 12.2% while HP Inc. (HPQ 40.06, +5.15, +14.8%) surged 15% after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B 346.51, +1.80, +0.5%) disclosed a stake in the company.
Back in the Treasury market, the 2s10s spread increased to 19 basis points from 12 basis points yesterday. The 2-yr yield decreased two basis points to 2.47% while the 10-yr yield, as noted above, settled at 2.66%. The U.S. Dollar Index increased 0.2% to 99.79. WTI crude futures fell 0.3%, or $0.29, to $96.30/bbl.
Reviewing Thursday's economic data:
- Initial claims for the week ending April 2 dropped by 5,000 to 166,000 ( consensus 200,000). Continuing claims for the week ending March 26 increased by 17,000 to 1.523 million.
- The key takeaway from the report is that it was influenced by revisions to seasonal adjustment factors. Still, the low level of initial claims following the revisions remains indicative of a tight labor market.
- Consumer credit increased by $41.8 billion in February ( consensus $15.5 billion). The prior month saw an upward revision to $8.9 bln from $6.8 bln.
- In February, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 11.3%. Revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 20.7%, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 8.4%.
Looking ahead, investors will receive the Wholesale Inventories report for February on Friday.
- Dow Jones Industrial Average -4.8% YTD
- S&P 500 -5.6% YTD
- Russell 2000 -10.5% YTD
- Nasdaq Composite -11.2% YTD