>>> premarkets and unconfirmed broker changes

BAML
3I - Blow out at 701p v BAML 695p for the FY so well ahead of cons (975)..+4-5%

NEX - Has reaffirmed cost guidance, tax rate 22-24% is down from 27% (610)+3-4%

BBVA - Solid P&L in Q4 slightly offset by capital, divi and NAV/s miss (7.7)+2%

INDIVIOR - Tax rate for '18 onwards to be 'high teens' v 24.4% in 2016 (411)+2%

BT - Announcing 3m FTTP target up from 2m. This was already leaked info(260)+2%

DASSAULT SY - Q4 beat but mixed '18 guide, implies declining margin (94.7)..+2%

LUNDIN - Divi announcement; '18 US$175m (c2% yield); '19 US$350mn+ (199.2)+1-2%

RDSA - Clean NI $4.3b v $4.25b cons. DPS unchanged as was expected (2487)...+1%

UNILEVER - Org sales 4% v 3.7%,driven by better vols. Op margin inline(4040)+1%

ROCHE - EPS 1% miss, sales inline. EPS to grow broadly inline with sales(232)+1%

UNIBAIL - Earnings +7% inline & guidance for similar growth in FY18 (208.7).+1%

ICP - AUM bang inline with BAML ests. Reassuring. CMD is also today (1158)..u/c

VOD - Group headline, org service growth 1.1% inline cons. Guide reit'd(225)u/c

ORANGE - Will no longer be able to sell its subscribers access to TF1 (14.5)u/c

GLENCORE - Prodn looks broadly inline with copper a little better (403.7)...u/c

SKANSKA - EBIT SEK5.5b v pre-release SEK5.3b, EPS inline. Backlog down (160).u/c

JD SPORTS - Formally completed its acquisition of Sports Zone on 31 Jan(366)u/c

TF1 - Co says that it has ended its distribution accords with Orange (12)...u/c

ACACIA - More hedges in place to protect against downside in gold pxs (185).u/c

STM - Negative read across from Qualcomm (-1% a/hs) on weak guidance (19).-0.5%

MINERS - Copper -0.25%, Iron Ore fut -1% and BHP OZ +1.52%, RIO OZ +1.11%.-0.5%

DIALOG - Negative read from Qualcomm (-1% aft hrs) on weak guidance (24.4)-0.5%

SIG - Reports overstatement of profits in 2016; totalling £3.7m in '16 (161).-1%

DAIMLER - EBIT miss, 10% below cons. Trucks looks weaker than ests (73.7).-1-2%

NOKIA - Mixed. Q4 beat but IP licensing & networks gross margins weak (3.8).-3%

FERRAGAMO - Q4 sales -5.1% cFX, a miss v cons 0.2%, wholesale driven (21.9).-3%

NOVOS - Weak Q4 and disappointing outlook in DKK on 10% EBIT FX impact (317)-5%

 

 

 

CS
3I            +1%    3Q NAV 701p, back in November this was 652p

AIB           -1%    CS INITIATE with UNDERPERFORM (Valuation)

BBVA         +1-2%   4Q net income EU70M est loss EU143.5M, Spain strong

Covestro     +0.5%   ICIS reports TDI plant in Geismar impacted by freeze damage

Daimler       -2%    Q4 revs inline but earnings light, Mercedes margin light

Dassault Sys  +1%    4Q non-IFRS EPS EU0.89; est. EU0.82, guidance encouraging

DNB          +2-3%   Headline profit 27% better, capital 10bps better

Ferragamo    -3-4%   Retail LFL -3%, wholesale -10%

Glencore      UNCH   Production. Net neutral Copper beat CSe, Coal, Nickel miss

H&M           UNCH   CS DOWNGRADE to NEUTRAL (Challenging outlook)

ICP           M/P    AuM €27.4bn from €23.8bn in May, Q3 trading inline

Miners       +0.5%   Copper -0.30%, Brent +1.00%, Iron Ore -0.10%, China -1.00%

Nex Group    +1-2%   Tax rate down to 22-24% from 26-28%

Nokia         -1%    Q4 Adj EPS eu 0.13, est EU 0.11, betwork guidance ahead

Novo Nord     -5%    FY Sales DK112b est DK112.13b, guidance light

Outokumpu    -1-2%   CS DOWNGRADE to NEUTRAL (Cost pressures)

Ørsted       +1-2%   2017 EBITDA inline, dividend ahead

Peugeot       +1%    French registrations up +2.5% y/y in Jan, Peugeot strong

PGS           M/P    Revs for Q4 $235.6m vs cons 212.8m, outlook inline

Qiagen       +1-2%   FY17 numbers in-line, bottom-line bit better

Roche        +0.5%   FY Core EPS CHF 15.34, EPS CHF 15.53, sales growth stable

Royal Dutch  -1-2%   Bottom line 5% ahead, cashflow weak

RPC           UNCH   H1 revs inline, tax rate better

Siltronic    -3-5%   Q4 sales €328m vs cons €325m, EBIT slightly light

SIG         -7-10%   Identified a historical overstatement of profit

Steels        +1%    US Steel strong overnight on earnings, Asia peers strong

Unibail       M/P    EPRA NAV of €211.0, up 2.3% in H2, guidance inline

Unilever      +1%    Underlying sales up 4% est 3.8%

Vodafone      M/P    Q3 Org serv rev growth +1.1% est +1.2% Re-affirms guidance

 

 

MainFirst
*ROCHE-FY EPS 15.34(15.53),Sales 53.3b(53.11),OP 19.01b(19.35)......-1%

*NOKIA-Q4 Sales 6.7b(6.44),EPS 13c(11),Cuts FY N/Wrk mkt grwth......-2%

*SILTRONIC-FY Sales 1.18b(1.18),Ebit 236m(237.2),'18 Sales DD.......-7%

*BBVA-Q4 NI 70m(-143.5),NII 4.6B(4.36),CET1 11.1%,BLR 4.4%..........+1%

*DNB-Q4 NI 6.37b(5.12),CET1 16.4%,NII 8.86b(8.85),New B/Back........+1%

*DASSAULT SYS-EPS 2.68(2.61),Rev 3.24b(3.21),Q1 Rev 750-770m........+3%

*FERRAGAMO-FY Rev €1.39b(1.41),Sales Constant FX -1.4%(+0.2%).......-5%

*SKANSKA-FY Rev 160.8b(159.03),OP 5.5B(5.39),Divi 8.25).............+2%

*NOVO NORDISK-FY Ebit 49b(49.3),Sales 112b(112.13),Div 7.85.........-5%

*QIAGEN-Q4 EPS 43c(41),Sales 396.9m(1% beat),Buyback of $200m.......U/C

*DAIMLER-Q4 Ebit 3.47b(3.73),Rev 43.59b(43.47),Ebit flat YoY........-1%

*UNILEVER-Sales 4%(3.8),Vol 3.2%(1.6),Pricing 0.7%(2.2),H2 Prov.....-1%

*GURIT-FY17 Sales CHF361m(359),OP margin at upper end, FY 13/3.......+1%

 

Broker Changes

 

AIB Group Rated New Underperform at Credit Suisse; PT 4.60 Euros

Airbus Reinstated Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 115 Euros

ArcelorMittal Upgraded to Add at AlphaValue

BAE Reinstated Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 5.50 Pounds

BCP Downgraded to Underperform at BPI; PT 35 Cents

Burberry Rated New Hold at Jefferies; PT 16.50 Pounds

Capita Downgraded to Hold at Jefferies

Dechra Pharma Downgraded to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 24 Pounds

Freenet Downgraded to Sell at UBS; PT 27.50 Euros

Galp Downgraded to Sell at Goldman

H&M Downgraded to Neutral at Credit Suisse; PT 150 Kronor

Hamburger Hafen Raised to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 24 Euros

IMCD Upgraded to Buy at ING

Imerys Upgraded to Add at AlphaValue

Inchcape Rated New Underweight at Barclays; PT 6.95 Pounds

 Medistim Downgraded to Hold at DNB Markets; PT 76 Kroner

Meggitt Reinstated Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 5 Pounds

MTU Aero Rated New Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 140 Euros

 NOS Downgraded to Underweight at Barclays; PT 6 Euros

Outokumpu Downgraded to Neutral at Credit Suisse; PT 7.50 Euros

Prosegur Cash Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 3.25 Euros

Prosegur Upgraded to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 7.65 Euros

Rolls-Royce Reinstated Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley

 Rosneft GDRs Downgraded to Hold at HSBC; Price Target $6.50

Safran Reinstated Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 98 Euros

Salvatore Ferragamo Downgraded to Underperform at Jefferies

Sartorius Stedim Upgraded to Add at Gilbert Dupont; PT 69 Euros

Statoil Upgraded to Neutral at Goldman

 Straumann Downgraded to Sell at Berenberg

Subsea 7 Upgraded to Neutral at Goldman; PT 124.70 Kroner

TalkTalk Upgraded to Outperform at RBC; PT 1.50 Pounds

Unipol Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; Price Target 4.60 Euros

Vivendi Downgraded to Hold at HSBC; Price Target 24 Euros

Yara Upgraded to Hold at Norne Securities; PT 380 Kroner