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Greenbrier Comp beats by $0.29, beats on revs; guides Q4 EPS above consensus; guides FY14 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus

Reports Q3 (May) earnings of $1.03 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.29 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $0.74; revenues rose 36.8% year/year to $593.3 mln vs the $572.4 mln consensus.
Q3 highlights:
  • Revs were up 18.1% sequentially, primarily due to increased deliveries
  • GMs were 16.3%, up from 11.5% in Q2 - Margins were up 480 bps driven by improved efficiencies, pricing and product mix
Backlog/Deliveries/Orders:
  • Railcar backlog as of May 31, 2014 was 26,400 units with an estimated value of $2.75 billion (average unit sale price of $104,000), compared to 15,200 units with an estimated value of $1.54 billion (average unit sale price of $101,000) as of February 28, 2014.
  • New railcar deliveries totaled 4,300 units for the quarter, compared to 3,400 units for the quarter ended February 28, 2014.
  • Orders for 15,600 new railcars valued at $1.65 billion received during the quarter. After quarter end, Greenbrier received orders for an additional 2,700 units valued at approximately $320 million.
  • Marine backlog as of May 31, 2014 totaled approximately $110 million.
Share repurchase update:
Repurchased 352,000 shares of common stock at a cost of $16.0 million during the quarter. To date, repurchased 641,327 shares of common stock at a cost of $26.3 million under a $50 million share repurchase program.

Guidance:
  • Co issues upside guidance for Q4, sees EPS of $0.95-1.05, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.87 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
  • Co issues upside guidance for FY14, sees EPS of $2.98-3.08, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $2.62 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate
  • Co also sees FY14 revs of over $2.2 bln vs. $2.16 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
  • Deliveries in the fourth quarter to be between 4,300 units and 4,600 units, resulting in fiscal 2014 deliveries of 15,700 units to 16,000 units