Asian Mid-session Update: AUD slides as RBA keeps the door on further rate cuts open; Rio Tinto iron ore output declines
***Economic Data***
- (AU) Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index: 108.8 v 109.8 prior
***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +0.8%, S&P/ASX +0.6%, Kospi flat, Shanghai Composite -0.2%, Hang Seng +1.4%, Jun S&P500 +0.2% at 2,094
***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Jun gold +0.1% at $1,195/oz, Jun crude oil -0.4% at $57.63/brl, May copper flat at $2.73/lb
- SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings rise to 10,150 tonnes from 10,105 tonnes prior; Highest since Mar 22nd
- (CN) PBoC won't conduct open market operations (OMO) in today's session (1st halt after 15 consecutive injections)
***Market Focal Points/FX***
- After the jawboning by RBA Gov Stevens reassuring investors regarding the likelihood of further policy easing during the early US session, the release of the latest RBA meeting minutes have signalled just as much. Recall this month's meeting was a rather close call - although a narrow majority favored a hold at 2.25%, fixed income markets tipped well on the side of another rate cut. Instead, the minutes relayed that RBA saw an advantage to awaiting more data, including the quarterly inflation figures which incidentally will be released tomorrow. RBA added that household consumption and home building have picked up, but GDP growth would likely remain below trend. Moreover, the central bank saw non-mining business investment as softer than expected, with the possibility of continued decline this year. RBA did acknowledge that excessively low rates risk the fuelling of housing market imbalances. AUD/USD fell nearly 30pips on the release toward $0.7680, also re-approaching parity with NZD.
- Rio Tinto put out its first quarter production figures, showing a 12% sequential slide in iron ore shipments. The miner attributed the decline to weather-related disruptions from the cyclone as well as a train derailment blocking port traffic. Production of copper also fell 10% y/y, while output of coking coal rose 10%. Rio Tinto still affirmed its 2015 target of 350M tonnes of iron ore, along with production of alumina and copper.
- Japan Econ Min Amari remarked there were still gaps in Trans-Pacific Partnership trade discussions, particularly in heavily guarded areas of autos and agriculture. Further ministerial talks can still be held, however both Amari and US Trade Rep Froman said they are allowing working level officials to tackle the remaining issues. Froman also added some momentum toward agreement has been achieved.
***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- LRCX: Reports Q3 $1.40 v $1.30e, R$1.39B v $1.37Be; +9.6% afterhours
- FTNT: Reports Q1 $0.08 v $0.06e, R$213M v $204Me; +9.4% afterhours
- IBM: Reports Q1 $2.91 v $2.84e, R$19.6B v $19.7Be; +0.2% afterhours
- CNI: Reports Q1 C$0.86 v C$0.75 y/y, Rev C$3.10B v C$2.69B y/y; flat afterhours
- RCI: Reports Q1 $0.53 v $0.49e, RC$3.18B v C$2.56Be; -0.3% afterhours
- HRL: Discusses Impact of Recent Avian Influenza Outbreaks; Maintains FY15 guidance of $2.50-2.60, with expectation earnings toward the lower end; -0.9% afterhours
- ZION: Reports Q1 $0.37 v $0.36e, R$539.2M v $553Me; -1.0% afterhours
- BMI: Reports Q1 $0.29 v $0.40e, R$83.6M v $88.3Me; -4.3% afterhours
- SANM: Reports Q2 $0.50 v $0.52e, R$1.53B v $1.61Be; -10.5% afterhours
Notable movers by sector:
- Materials: Rio Tinto RIO.AU +1.6% (Q1 production results)
- Energy: China Shenhua Energy 1088.HK -0.5% (Mar coal production results); Ausdrill ASL.AU +3.6% (awarded contract)
- Industrials: Leighton Holdings LEI.AU +1.4% (Q1 results); WDS Ltd WDS.AU +4.2% (amends contract)
- Technology: Brambles Limited BXB.AU -2.8% (9-month results); NEC Corp 6701.JP +1.0% (speculation on FY15/16 results)
- Utilities: Yaskawa Electric 6506.JP -3.9% (FY14/15 results)
- Telecom: China Mobile 941.HK +4.6% (Q1 results); China Unicom 762.HK +2.6% (Mar op results)